Identical-Node — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$213

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

Trades

152

lifetime

Volume

$8.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 05-25 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

49% 67% -$31

Crypto

32% 73% +$1

Politics

17% 58% -$184

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	4	$418	219	219	+0	No	+$7	01-28 07:04
highest temperature in paris on april 4 2026 14c	2	$400	201	201	+0	No	+$1	04-04 13:29
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	4	$290	150	150	+0	Yes	+$1	03-13 06:01
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$266	138	138	+0	No	-$2	02-28 09:33
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	1	$265	265	0	+265	No	+$0	03-31 16:55
highest temperature in london on april 1 2026 16c	1	$250	250	0	+250	No	+$0	04-01 16:57
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	16	$242	199	219	-20	$80k	$0	04-20 06:47
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$231	117	117	+0	No	+$2	02-23 03:40
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	2	$228	115	115	+0	No	+$2	02-22 03:33
bitcoin up or down february 14 2am et	2	$219	110	110	+0	Up	+$1	02-14 07:53
highest temperature in london on april 5 2026 12c	1	$214	215	0	+215	No	+$0	04-05 06:15
highest temperature in warsaw on april 4 2026 17c	1	$214	214	0	+214	No	+$0	04-04 13:50
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 19c	1	$212	214	0	+214	Yes	+$2	04-03 06:07
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$212	106	106	+0	No	$0	01-26 08:37
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	2	$211	107	107	+0	Gold	$0	01-24 11:37
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$211	106	106	+0	No	$0	01-26 09:01
will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	2	$211	106	106	+0	No	+$0	01-26 10:50
will solana reach 200 in january 2026	2	$211	106	106	+0	No	$0	01-26 10:55
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	4	$208	121	121	-0	Yes	-$10	02-28 11:41
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$204	103	103	+0	No	+$0	03-16 13:49
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$1	03-16 02:26
will germany strike iran by march 31	2	$200	106	106	+0	No	+$0	03-05 13:57
highest temperature in ankara on april 2 2026 19c	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	04-02 16:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$195	200	0	+200	Yes	-$195	04-05 14:40
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$150	75	75	+0	Yes	+$0	03-22 17:29
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 23	1	$116	117	0	+117	No	+$0	02-23 13:11
will bitcoin reach 84k february 9 15	1	$112	113	0	+113	No	+$0	02-14 10:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 08:15 UTC	1	$111	113	0	+113	Down	+$1	02-14 08:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 08:00 UTC	1	$111	111	0	+111	Up	+$0	02-14 08:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 07:55 UTC	1	$110	111	0	+111	Down	+$1	02-14 07:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 17:09:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfb90c2…
05-19 18:10:47	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	186	1¢	$2	0xace9fc…
05-17 14:41:13	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	186	3¢	$5	0x7f41e5…
05-10 09:27:25	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcc0fb4…
05-07 06:56:49	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x38425d…
04-25 19:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xbe84de…
04-25 11:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xaa5981…
04-20 06:47:10	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x3e51a2…
04-19 17:24:14	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xfe3cd7…
04-19 05:22:54	highest temperature in nyc on april 19 2026 50 51f	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x95ac42…
04-19 05:22:22	highest temperature in nyc on april 19 2026 50 51f	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x3490d9…
04-17 14:47:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x51df45…
04-17 13:03:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xa7b8d0…
04-15 18:21:56	highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xa42ab2…
04-15 17:56:00	highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 84 85f	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x08837e…
04-15 17:54:14	highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 84 85f	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x14154a…
04-15 17:27:46	highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 84 85f	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xc5b59f…
04-15 17:27:28	highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 84 85f	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1a4e95…
04-15 17:25:40	highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 82 83f	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xa8ee4d…
04-10 14:39:53	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	78	45¢	$35	0xca96cb…
04-05 14:40:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x993426…
04-05 06:15:09	highest temperature in london on april 5 2026 12c	No	BUY	215	100¢	$214	0x8bdf5f…
04-04 13:50:01	highest temperature in warsaw on april 4 2026 17c	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x44c7f8…
04-04 13:29:43	highest temperature in paris on april 4 2026 14c	No	SELL	201	100¢	$200	0x909647…
04-04 06:48:55	highest temperature in paris on april 4 2026 14c	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x1b7dc2…
04-03 06:07:29	highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	214	99¢	$212	0x0e38b7…
04-02 18:56:29	highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 13c	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x3c258f…
04-02 18:36:57	highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 13c	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0xd7447b…
04-02 18:29:33	highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 13c	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x5878db…
04-02 17:40:17	highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x377e2c…
04-02 17:39:31	highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x518b7f…
04-02 17:39:31	highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x43670f…
04-02 17:39:31	highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x2a4be8…
04-02 17:39:29	highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xdea01b…
04-02 17:39:23	highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xcab7c6…
04-02 17:37:23	highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x8093e7…
04-02 16:39:21	highest temperature in ankara on april 2 2026 19c	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x46a5e4…
04-02 16:32:47	highest temperature in ankara on april 2 2026 19c	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe6250b…
04-02 16:15:41	highest temperature in ankara on april 2 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x3d928e…
04-02 15:59:19	highest temperature in ankara on april 2 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf9b6e6…
04-02 15:27:51	highest temperature in ankara on april 2 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x8c7ddf…
04-02 15:24:43	highest temperature in ankara on april 2 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x77302e…
04-02 11:30:01	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x6990c1…
04-02 06:18:35	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xaa9341…
04-02 06:06:31	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x9b85d2…
04-02 05:23:41	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x057b56…
04-01 16:57:15	highest temperature in london on april 1 2026 16c	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x345c6e…
03-31 16:55:21	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0x50da17…
03-25 18:03:49	highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 7c	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x585bb3…
03-24 14:37:15	highest temperature in ankara on march 24 2026 13c	No	BUY	76	100¢	$75	0xafb9a0…
03-23 10:32:57	highest temperature in nyc on march 23 2026 54 55f	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xa9d4b6…
03-22 18:35:33	highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 7c	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x986024…
03-22 17:29:03	Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x7f9749…
03-22 16:59:03	Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x1dd198…
03-22 13:06:07	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x7efb28…
03-21 07:26:45	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x082140…
03-20 09:11:39	highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x276879…
03-20 09:11:19	highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	32	17¢	$5	0x5f6611…
03-20 09:11:03	highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x4c7616…
03-20 09:11:03	highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 9c	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0c5d64…
03-20 09:08:55	highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 9c	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x070162…
03-20 09:06:47	highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x8256e7…
03-20 09:05:37	highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x47d6f2…
03-20 09:04:35	highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb0ad7c…
03-20 09:03:23	highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x84cdfe…
03-20 09:01:37	highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x740126…
03-20 09:00:43	highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	37	26¢	$10	0x4f2bd8…
03-20 09:00:19	highest temperature in seoul on march 21 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x31b8b0…
03-19 17:24:11	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0xf33ace…
03-19 16:45:23	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x9235ca…
03-18 14:57:15	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x7ca522…
03-18 14:53:59	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x44200e…
03-17 10:44:11	highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 12c	Yes	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0xffcd5b…
03-17 09:05:41	highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 11c	Yes	SELL	52	9¢	$5	0x39634b…
03-17 09:00:11	highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 11c	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x3b83c1…
03-17 08:59:35	highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 11c	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x415946…
03-17 08:59:21	highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 11c	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x4ce4c6…
03-17 08:58:35	highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xeb6141…
03-17 08:58:09	highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xf3da4f…
03-17 08:57:41	highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xd636d5…
03-16 13:49:05	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0xbc77ec…
03-16 11:18:01	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x2a4435…
03-16 06:22:03	highest temperature in seattle on march 15 2026 54forhigher	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xa7ad03…
03-16 02:32:51	will one battle after another win exactly 8 awards at the oscars	No	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0x118ad5…
03-16 02:26:59	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	102	100¢	$101	0x01d3f3…
03-15 14:45:29	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x05bd37…
03-14 10:15:59	highest temperature in tokyo on march 14 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x0930d9…
03-13 08:36:33	nflx above 70 on march 13 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe8dbdc…
03-13 08:36:17	nflx above 120 on march 13 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x788a78…
03-13 06:01:41	will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xabdc60…
03-12 22:06:55	will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x05a2fd…
03-12 06:12:45	highest temperature in seattle on march 11 2026 54forhigher	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x0230c7…
03-12 05:43:13	will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x1e7571…
03-12 04:44:07	will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xca05cf…
03-11 09:55:29	highest temperature in tokyo on march 11 2026 13corhigher	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x6737bc…
03-10 14:14:45	will trump say hezbollah or hamas during ohio visit 861 272	No	SELL	29	69¢	$20	0x216967…
03-10 13:45:55	will trump say hezbollah or hamas during ohio visit 861 272	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xb2ed8d…
03-10 11:56:21	will trump say hezbollah or hamas during ohio visit 861 272	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xc7d5ee…
03-10 11:39:29	will trump say hezbollah or hamas during ohio visit 861 272	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x27f13c…
03-09 07:35:03	will trump say transgender during miami address	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x413743…