Realized P&L
+$276
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
62.7%
Resolved
200
Trades
948
lifetime
Volume
$10.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$209
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 00:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Other
76% 68% +$343
Politics
22% 76% -$61
Sports
1% 100% +$1
Crypto
1% 30% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +55 $49 96¢ $53 +$4 10-19 16:28
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +34 $24 72¢ $25 +$0 10-03 00:38
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +55 $32 43¢ $24 -$8 10-14 19:00
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +20 $16 86¢ $17 +$1 09-07 03:53
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +20 $18 83¢ $17 -$1 10-15 13:31
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +18 $14 72¢ $13 -$1 10-03 10:21
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +13 $10 80¢ $10 +$0 10-10 05:07
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +9 $8 94¢ $8 +$0 10-26 10:06
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +10 $6 70¢ $7 +$1 10-01 00:37
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +8 $7 86¢ $7 $0 10-13 19:17
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -7 -$6 94¢ $-6 +$0 07-07 12:42
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +16 $4 34¢ $6 +$1 09-24 17:40
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 10-26 10:06
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 10-02 12:49
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +3 $3 93¢ $3 +$0 10-26 10:04
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 09-16 22:22
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-26 10:06