Wiry-Arrow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$87

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$1.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 08-28 15:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 48% -$68

Politics

1% 0% -$19

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:30 UTC	2	$100	159	159	+0	Up	+$60	08-20 16:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:20 UTC	2	$60	248	248	+0	Down	+$20	08-20 15:21
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:30 UTC	2	$59	42	42	+0	Up	+$19	08-19 06:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:45 UTC	2	$59	43	43	+0	Up	+$19	08-20 15:47
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:40 UTC	3	$56	117	117	+0	Up	+$16	08-21 01:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 12:00 UTC	2	$49	74	70	+4	Up	+$9	04-24 12:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:20 UTC	3	$48	59	59	+0	Down	+$8	08-21 06:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 11:15 UTC	2	$48	87	82	+5	Up	+$13	04-24 11:22
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:35 UTC	2	$44	39	39	+0	Up	+$4	08-21 06:36
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:15 UTC	2	$43	38	38	+0	Up	+$3	08-21 10:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:55 UTC	2	$25	18	18	+0	Up	+$5	08-21 08:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:20 UTC	1	$25	130	0	+130	Up	-$25	08-19 06:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 12:30 UTC	2	$25	56	53	+3	Down	-$15	04-24 12:38
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:10 UTC	2	$24	163	163	+0	Down	-$16	08-21 06:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 13:45 UTC	2	$23	31	29	+1	Up	+$3	04-21 13:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 10:30 UTC	2	$23	29	29	+0	Down	+$3	08-21 10:37
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:15 UTC	2	$21	76	76	+0	Up	-$19	08-21 07:16
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:50 UTC	2	$21	19	19	+0	Up	+$11	08-21 04:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:25 UTC	2	$20	48	48	+0	Up	-$20	08-20 15:27
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 03:50 UTC	1	$20	171	0	+171	Up	-$20	08-19 03:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:25 UTC	1	$20	68	0	+68	Up	-$20	08-21 06:25
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:15 UTC	1	$20	60	0	+60	Up	-$20	08-21 06:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:30 UTC	1	$20	87	0	+87	Up	-$20	08-21 06:31
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 07:15 UTC	1	$20	76	0	+76	Up	-$20	08-21 07:17
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:30 UTC	1	$20	227	0	+227	Up	-$20	08-21 01:31
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 12:15 UTC	1	$20	61	0	+61	Down	-$20	04-24 12:18
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	1	$19	6,253	0	+6,253	Yes	-$19	07-21 12:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 13:50 UTC	3	$19	22	21	+1	Up	-$4	04-21 13:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 13:40 UTC	2	$19	15	14	+1	Up	+$4	04-21 13:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	3	$18	110	10	+100	Up	-$2	05-31 04:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 15:26:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 15:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x82ad44…
08-28 15:25:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x16a709…
08-28 15:23:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x482f32…
08-28 15:03:54	Solana Up or Down - August 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xb172e5…
08-28 15:01:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7bb818…
08-28 14:58:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd9a84e…
08-28 14:57:57	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x75870a…
08-28 14:51:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xfc9bdd…
08-28 14:48:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xf2c51f…
08-28 14:45:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe99c66…
08-28 13:37:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xa91222…
08-28 13:35:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcc3ef1…
08-23 14:02:25	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x9f793c…
08-23 14:00:58	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd42460…
08-23 13:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xd79ecf…
08-23 13:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8d660e…
08-23 13:49:19	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd543ec…
08-23 13:46:54	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x747fd0…
08-23 12:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x32583e…
08-23 12:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd37b6a…
08-23 08:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4c785a…
08-23 08:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x318cb7…
08-21 10:37:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	29	44¢	$13	0x30c2a9…
08-21 10:33:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xfdaa2b…
08-21 10:33:28	Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0x648937…
08-21 10:32:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x598f39…
08-21 10:15:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	38	61¢	$23	0xce0309…
08-21 10:15:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x6dc5c6…
08-21 10:02:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x39f072…
08-21 08:58:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:55 UTC	Up	SELL	18	87¢	$15	0x9ce8da…
08-21 08:56:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xa38628…
08-21 08:53:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	89	2¢	$2	0x123d58…
08-21 08:51:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0xac3314…
08-21 07:32:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3307c8…
08-21 07:32:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x245d2e…
08-21 07:17:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0x9156ed…
08-21 07:16:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	76	2¢	$1	0xf04d4e…
08-21 07:15:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0xf920ca…
08-21 06:36:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:35 UTC	Down	SELL	39	61¢	$24	0xdac5f1…
08-21 06:35:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xee7263…
08-21 06:31:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xde46b7…
08-21 06:25:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	68	30¢	$20	0xce4017…
08-21 06:21:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x2b2914…
08-21 06:21:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0xf66d35…
08-21 06:21:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x01e624…
08-21 06:15:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x939a89…
08-21 06:11:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:10 UTC	Up	SELL	163	2¢	$4	0x057f7a…
08-21 06:11:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	163	12¢	$20	0x7ae3dc…
08-21 06:03:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x10d00f…
08-21 06:01:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd2653f…
08-21 05:57:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x0d7fb8…
08-21 04:54:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:50 UTC	Up	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0x574a13…
08-21 04:51:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xfc392f…
08-21 04:48:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:45 UTC	Down	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x353c00…
08-21 04:47:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x7c23c7…
08-21 01:41:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:40 UTC	Down	SELL	68	36¢	$25	0x039206…
08-21 01:40:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:40 UTC	Down	SELL	49	23¢	$11	0x929726…
08-21 01:40:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	117	17¢	$20	0x3abe05…
08-21 01:31:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	227	9¢	$20	0x700007…
08-21 01:21:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe87c5c…
08-21 01:18:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:15 UTC	Down	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0x4af06b…
08-21 01:17:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:15 UTC	Down	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x6790ac…
08-21 01:17:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xcc11a7…
08-21 01:13:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:10 UTC	Down	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x545eb4…
08-21 01:13:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8a94e5…
08-20 16:33:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	159	50¢	$80	0x41d890…
08-20 16:31:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	159	13¢	$20	0x40ab00…
08-20 15:47:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	43	92¢	$39	0x74c8b4…
08-20 15:46:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x89f85d…
08-20 15:42:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	105	10¢	$10	0xbd9efb…
08-20 15:33:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	57	13¢	$8	0xae4883…
08-20 15:32:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	57	8¢	$5	0x6ef793…
08-20 15:27:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:25 UTC	Down	SELL	48	1¢	$0	0x22b88c…
08-20 15:26:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0x888d0c…
08-20 15:21:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:20 UTC	Down	SELL	248	16¢	$40	0x3792dd…
08-20 15:21:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	248	8¢	$20	0xbf27b9…
08-19 06:33:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	42	93¢	$39	0xe44f65…
08-19 06:30:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x04d6dd…
08-19 06:21:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	130	19¢	$25	0xd0937e…
08-19 03:50:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	171	12¢	$20	0xd0d076…
07-21 12:49:24	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	6,253	0¢	$19	0xd0380e…
06-01 09:03:23	T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain	Hong Kong, China	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x55f97a…
05-31 16:48:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x0411fa…
05-31 16:46:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xcd1168…
05-31 16:40:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x038be1…
05-31 16:35:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe43fa7…
05-31 16:30:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x140c98…
05-31 16:30:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1ebe19…
05-31 16:21:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	69¢	$7	0x559d25…
05-31 16:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5078e2…
05-31 16:10:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	69¢	$8	0x68f550…
05-31 16:00:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa445b6…
05-31 15:47:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xaa8dee…
05-31 15:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5119bf…
05-31 15:33:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3b6d3c…
05-31 04:23:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9a2d08…
05-31 04:19:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xfc703b…
05-31 04:16:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6dd931…
05-30 13:32:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x6dc3df…
05-30 13:30:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x422b4d…