Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$532

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.0%

Resolved

100

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$8.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 08-18 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

83% 10% -$547

Crypto

17% 77% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	7	$2.0K	2,933	2,933	+0	No	-$53	08-12 07:42
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	3	$890	702	352	+350	Yes	+$40	08-11 13:21
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	2	$720	1,022	1,022	+0	No	-$20	08-11 12:56
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	4	$395	2,399	2,399	+0	No	+$35	08-12 02:39
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$392	1,044	1,044	+0	Yes	-$8	08-12 06:49
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$390	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$10	08-12 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 13?	4	$379	604	604	+0	No	-$21	08-12 11:30
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$306	2,666	2,666	+0	No	-$94	08-12 04:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?	4	$250	383	283	+100	No	-$42	08-12 12:07
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 16?	3	$244	211	211	+0	No	-$80	08-16 07:11
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$211	1,010	1,010	+0	No	-$9	08-11 13:14
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$154	5,692	5,692	+0	No	-$46	08-12 04:16
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$131	1,044	1,044	+0	No	+$31	08-12 05:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 23:00 UTC	3	$108	167	66	+101	Up	+$25	02-08 23:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 13:45 UTC	3	$106	166	65	+101	Up	+$25	02-08 14:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?	1	$100	240	0	+240	No	-$100	08-15 03:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 13:15 UTC	1	$100	118	0	+118	Up	-$100	02-03 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$93	68	68	+0	Down	+$43	07-20 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 15?	2	$89	102	102	+0	No	-$1	08-14 07:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 08:15 UTC	2	$80	61	60	+1	Up	+$41	02-08 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$75	102	0	+102	Up	+$27	07-20 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 17?	2	$69	102	102	+0	No	-$25	08-17 06:19
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	2	$66	981	981	+0	No	-$4	08-11 12:57
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	3	$66	4,262	3,216	+1,046	No	-$18	08-11 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 17?	1	$65	99	0	+99	No	-$65	08-17 06:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:55 UTC	2	$58	34	34	+0	Up	+$8	07-20 15:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 09:15 UTC	2	$57	38	37	+1	Up	+$17	02-08 09:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:30 UTC	2	$56	31	31	+0	Down	+$6	07-20 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$53	28	28	+0	Down	+$3	07-20 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:00 UTC	2	$53	28	28	+0	Down	+$3	08-18 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 13:12:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x965bf2…
08-18 13:10:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc95d55…
08-18 13:06:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf5a42c…
08-18 13:05:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xb27cd5…
08-18 13:01:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xe7e5f5…
08-18 12:52:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xa103c8…
08-18 12:51:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x8e0d75…
08-18 12:47:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xabaa2d…
08-18 08:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	161	6¢	$9	0x44141c…
08-17 06:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	102	22¢	$22	0x7f4200…
08-17 06:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	99	66¢	$65	0x352173…
08-16 23:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	102	46¢	$47	0xab4567…
08-16 07:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	211	39¢	$82	0xb594e7…
08-16 06:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	102	81¢	$82	0x55c7b9…
08-16 06:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	109	73¢	$80	0x1b55cb…
08-16 01:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	239	1¢	$2	0x6c68ff…
08-16 00:53:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	99	31¢	$31	0x210bbf…
08-16 00:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	103	41¢	$42	0x744eec…
08-15 07:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	239	14¢	$33	0xcc10dd…
08-15 03:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?	Yes	BUY	240	42¢	$100	0x455d6b…
08-15 02:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	108	17¢	$18	0x088052…
08-14 12:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	102	43¢	$44	0x37ef0d…
08-14 07:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	102	43¢	$44	0xa453a9…
08-14 07:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	102	44¢	$45	0xd56348…
08-13 08:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	105	21¢	$22	0xb9e38a…
08-13 08:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	102	45¢	$46	0x93cf18…
08-12 12:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x3f484f…
08-12 11:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	97	36¢	$35	0xa2de29…
08-12 11:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	305	27¢	$82	0xab5bd7…
08-12 11:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	305	33¢	$100	0x698846…
08-12 09:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	299	32¢	$97	0xf3c239…
08-12 09:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	283	37¢	$104	0x66ead0…
08-12 08:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdd2120…
08-12 07:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	180	37¢	$66	0x99a7ce…
08-12 07:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	299	33¢	$100	0x0b03f8…
08-12 07:42:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,030	42¢	$432	0x181e90…
08-12 07:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	103	32¢	$33	0xd4849b…
08-12 06:56:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,030	42¢	$430	0x7562e1…
08-12 06:49:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	19¢	$190	0xd6ab40…
08-12 06:49:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,044	18¢	$192	0x35d35f…
08-12 06:06:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0xb262a3…
08-12 06:06:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,044	19¢	$200	0x0a9f6a…
08-12 05:58:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	955	36¢	$340	0x43faa9…
08-12 05:57:34	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,044	8¢	$81	0x14599f…
08-12 05:46:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	955	40¢	$380	0xe1ae6c…
08-12 05:44:51	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,067	3¢	$29	0x05f8be…
08-12 04:16:19	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,692	1¢	$54	0xb05dcc…
08-12 04:16:16	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,666	4¢	$106	0x6c649b…
08-12 02:48:01	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,666	8¢	$200	0xd36821…
08-12 02:47:54	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,692	2¢	$100	0xe3787b…
08-12 02:39:09	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,044	11¢	$118	0x349830…
08-11 13:21:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	86¢	$300	0x1046f0…
08-11 13:16:24	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x7c8559…
08-11 13:16:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x793c3b…
08-11 13:16:09	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa8760b…
08-11 13:16:09	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa0fbd8…
08-11 13:14:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,010	10¢	$101	0x27b790…
08-11 13:12:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,010	11¢	$110	0xe71d30…
08-11 13:12:07	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,044	5¢	$50	0x5e23aa…
08-11 13:11:51	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,067	1¢	$16	0x6bcfc9…
08-11 13:11:36	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,023	1¢	$8	0xfb768a…
08-11 13:11:15	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,008	0¢	$2	0xa7b545…
08-11 13:11:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x47a05f…
08-11 13:08:16	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2d8d46…
08-11 13:05:06	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x672ce5…
08-11 13:00:46	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,044	8¢	$80	0xdd8a53…
08-11 12:58:42	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,046	1¢	$12	0x6e6ac2…
08-11 12:57:13	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,216	1¢	$24	0xf8c183…
08-11 12:57:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	981	3¢	$31	0xe34566…
08-11 12:56:58	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,354	7¢	$97	0x4ee9e7…
08-11 12:56:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	948	19¢	$185	0xd1412f…
08-11 12:56:39	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,022	34¢	$350	0x2349c4…
08-11 12:51:24	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,022	36¢	$370	0xeda73e…
08-11 12:51:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	472	21¢	$100	0xb21415…
08-11 12:50:09	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	352	82¢	$290	0x44b85a…
08-11 12:48:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	981	4¢	$35	0x91e073…
08-11 12:47:55	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,016	1¢	$13	0x4667f0…
08-11 12:47:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,038	1¢	$7	0xc59486…
08-11 12:47:31	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x8c449f…
08-11 12:47:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9ba225…
08-11 12:47:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	734	0¢	$1	0xfcf323…
08-11 12:46:58	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7cdeeb…
08-11 12:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc2adbb…
08-11 12:46:48	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc71a4e…
08-11 12:46:43	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x788f6b…
08-11 12:46:37	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x78ca17…
08-11 12:46:34	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf32752…
08-11 12:46:27	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8dfc79…
08-11 12:46:21	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5b5295…
08-11 12:46:13	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x92462c…
08-11 12:46:09	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa154c6…
08-11 12:44:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,035	1¢	$6	0x43ae92…
08-11 12:44:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdfa473…
08-11 12:43:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa278cd…
08-11 12:43:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2dcb51…
08-11 12:43:46	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xcfcee3…
08-11 12:43:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0dc713…
08-11 12:43:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x17ea22…
08-11 12:43:31	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x85c696…
08-11 12:43:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd5273b…