Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.14K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

154

Trades

663

lifetime

Volume

$49.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-27

last 09-01 16:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Politics

62% 42% +$1,599

Other

34% 32% -$805

Tech

2% 67% +$9

Crypto

1% 75% +$407

Sports

0% 50% -$74

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	3	$2.7K	1,689	1,689	+0	Yes	+$621	08-19 12:06
iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	11	$1.6K	1,462	1,462	+0	No	+$906	07-19 09:28
iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	13	$1.6K	1,380	1,380	+0	No	+$1,005	07-28 07:25
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	10	$1.5K	1,774	1,774	+0	open	—	08-13 19:00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	19	$1.3K	6,528	1,729	+4,799	No	-$850	07-29 22:45
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	9	$1.2K	1,728	1,314	+415	Yes	+$532	08-01 18:30
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	6	$1.2K	5,111	5,111	+0	No	-$605	08-10 18:43
will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	17	$1.1K	1,143	1,143	+0	Yes	+$4	08-20 14:04
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	7	$1.1K	2,163	2,163	+0	open	—	08-09 08:34
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	3	$1.0K	5,170	5,170	+0	No	-$186	08-18 12:39
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	10	$952	684	684	+0	No	+$268	08-25 07:25
iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	10	$930	677	677	+0	No	+$306	07-26 03:09
iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	8	$905	692	692	+0	No	+$256	07-17 05:35
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	7	$789	834	834	+0	No	+$89	08-26 11:33
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	8	$785	4,738	4,738	+0	No	-$431	08-20 23:31
will iran target a arab country on august 18 2026 20260801004719135	5	$775	684	684	+0	No	-$25	08-18 16:50
iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	26	$772	738	738	+0	No	+$270	07-24 07:07
iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	3	$718	508	508	+0	Yes	+$238	07-07 13:24
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$716	651	651	+0	Yes	+$116	09-01 16:30
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 17, 2026?	8	$684	669	669	+0	Yes	+$107	08-29 09:26
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?	9	$681	572	426	+145	Yes	+$144	08-30 00:32
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	4	$664	724	724	+0	No	-$368	09-01 16:31
moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260720155944305	7	$655	1,128	1,128	+0	Yes	+$305	08-09 14:37
iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	2	$621	523	523	+0	Yes	+$321	07-30 08:17
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	4	$618	469	469	+0	No	+$318	08-01 09:34
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	7	$609	1,126	1,126	+0	Yes	-$395	09-01 16:30
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	20	$580	5,828	867	+4,962	No	-$455	08-30 20:57
iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	5	$579	868	868	+0	No	-$21	07-31 06:32
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 28, 2026?	5	$572	381	381	+0	No	+$168	08-03 14:34
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	10	$559	720	420	+300	Yes	+$34	07-13 09:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 16:31:36	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	92	0¢	$0	0x226802…
09-01 16:31:33	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	SELL	164	0¢	$0	0xef59c3…
09-01 16:31:30	Will the Centre Party (C) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	68	19¢	$13	0x1b3fa8…
09-01 16:31:28	Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?	No	SELL	102	34¢	$35	0x747270…
09-01 16:31:25	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	408	17¢	$68	0x94bfcd…
09-01 16:31:24	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	909	9¢	$82	0x3cabb0…
09-01 16:31:21	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	912	13¢	$119	0x640301…
09-01 16:31:15	Iran successfully targets shipping on August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x0a257e…
09-01 16:31:12	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	209	0¢	$0	0x3e94fd…
09-01 16:31:09	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	645	3¢	$18	0x4026e7…
09-01 16:31:06	Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	65	32¢	$21	0x3e3dad…
09-01 16:31:03	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	153	19¢	$28	0xb5b4c7…
09-01 16:31:01	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	106	44¢	$47	0x7a70eb…
09-01 16:30:58	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,394	3¢	$37	0x1561ec…
09-01 16:30:52	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	651	64¢	$416	0x1679cd…
09-01 16:30:49	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	535	12¢	$63	0xd2aea1…
09-01 16:30:46	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	SELL	74	85¢	$63	0xf3652c…
09-01 16:24:09	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	No	SELL	1,053	4¢	$45	0x63aec6…
09-01 16:23:57	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	Yes	BUY	74	82¢	$60	0x065ef7…
09-01 15:55:24	Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?	No	BUY	102	56¢	$57	0x96aa48…
09-01 14:11:49	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	SELL	312	98¢	$307	0x051f21…
09-01 13:50:34	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	No	SELL	1,200	1¢	$10	0x4343ff…
09-01 13:39:33	Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	No	BUY	1,200	5¢	$60	0xfd5d13…
09-01 11:02:28	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	No	BUY	300	41¢	$124	0x8c8262…
09-01 10:50:01	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	No	BUY	307	49¢	$150	0x4c6b19…
09-01 10:18:13	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	No	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0x300592…
09-01 09:56:19	Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	No	BUY	320	37¢	$118	0xa51b0c…
09-01 06:09:19	ChatGPT Outage by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xa90b25…
08-31 16:32:31	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	850	1¢	$10	0x0f6100…
08-31 13:44:33	Iran successfully targets shipping on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x6f3a29…
08-30 20:57:42	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x1dacec…
08-30 20:23:07	Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	24¢	$50	0x28482d…
08-30 19:20:46	Iran successfully targets shipping on August 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0xeb31ea…
08-30 19:20:06	Iran successfully targets shipping on August 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0x2caff6…
08-30 00:32:04	Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?	Yes	SELL	426	97¢	$412	0x111720…
08-29 21:37:46	Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x345073…
08-29 21:37:22	Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?	No	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0x37f62e…
08-29 21:33:19	Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?	No	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x8aa96e…
08-29 20:39:31	Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xef95a7…
08-29 20:39:19	Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xbcaae1…
08-29 20:38:52	Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?	Yes	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0x8a3668…
08-29 20:15:58	Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?	Yes	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x4e67d7…
08-29 20:15:57	Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x0b769e…
08-29 18:48:36	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x53161f…
08-29 18:35:01	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	9¢	$36	0x4c47f9…
08-29 18:24:36	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	10¢	$10	0x4bdfb5…
08-29 15:15:03	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	204	15¢	$31	0x7c175d…
08-29 11:53:00	Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	106	66¢	$70	0xdb3796…
08-29 11:33:24	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0x1caee1…
08-29 11:02:42	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x79ceee…
08-29 10:08:25	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?	No	SELL	189	38¢	$72	0x525579…
08-29 10:07:55	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	409	25¢	$102	0x24f5a9…
08-29 09:26:18	Iran successfully targets shipping on August 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	88¢	$16	0x16861a…
08-29 02:27:07	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	33¢	$50	0x1ade75…
08-28 15:16:36	ChatGPT Outage by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	71¢	$24	0x346bc5…
08-28 14:53:01	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	No	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0x208d88…
08-28 14:52:57	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	No	BUY	183	14¢	$26	0x3463e8…
08-28 14:44:46	Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31?	Yes	SELL	284	3¢	$9	0x1584e2…
08-28 14:29:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	145	50¢	$72	0x06c4cc…
08-28 13:46:42	Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?	No	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0x616601…
08-28 09:33:18	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	172	23¢	$39	0x7e0575…
08-28 09:33:12	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xa34865…
08-27 13:02:51	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x3445fc…
08-27 08:43:33	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	24¢	$20	0xd4f17f…
08-27 08:37:49	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	504	30¢	$150	0x7a13a8…
08-27 08:34:15	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	639	31¢	$200	0x2b35fc…
08-27 07:59:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,351	13¢	$176	0x1b584e…
08-26 21:14:00	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	10¢	$41	0xfe1266…
08-26 19:31:01	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$52	0xdb6692…
08-26 15:05:24	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x7c69c2…
08-26 15:04:55	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	104	58¢	$60	0x989be0…
08-26 12:50:54	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	BUY	175	23¢	$40	0x0e688f…
08-26 12:31:57	Will the Centre Party (C) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xc0f5cc…
08-26 12:16:10	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	SELL	183	28¢	$51	0x02729e…
08-26 12:14:01	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x7f01d9…
08-26 12:13:33	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	SELL	68	26¢	$18	0x7d6a3a…
08-26 12:03:13	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	SELL	90	18¢	$16	0xb0391c…
08-26 11:48:48	ChatGPT Outage by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0xb64147…
08-26 11:33:34	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	SELL	132	57¢	$75	0xc8ae9b…
08-26 11:11:04	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	SELL	240	51¢	$123	0xdedc4b…
08-26 10:50:48	Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x6b502b…
08-26 10:30:42	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	28¢	$30	0x21d0e2…
08-26 10:24:39	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	SELL	49	50¢	$25	0x431f60…
08-26 10:20:45	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	SELL	43	57¢	$25	0x362762…
08-26 10:09:43	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x7ac345…
08-26 00:09:09	Will MrBeast hit 516 million subscribers by August 31?	No	SELL	80	76¢	$61	0xce38d8…
08-25 20:55:49	Will MrBeast hit 516 million subscribers by August 31?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$6	0xf4c7dc…
08-25 20:36:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x0c175f…
08-25 20:06:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0xb1833b…
08-25 20:01:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	510	10¢	$50	0xf355b4…
08-25 19:56:58	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	BUY	361	28¢	$100	0xcbc138…
08-25 15:36:42	Will "Red" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 24?	No	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xf9b383…
08-25 12:44:30	Iran successfully targets shipping on August 17, 2026?	No	SELL	51	70¢	$36	0x7ff7a1…
08-25 12:44:30	Iran successfully targets shipping on August 17, 2026?	No	SELL	388	70¢	$271	0x60cfaf…
08-25 11:08:40	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x1345c5…
08-25 11:08:22	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	92	17¢	$16	0xc43778…
08-25 11:02:13	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x934ea9…
08-25 11:02:01	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x1fc960…
08-25 10:36:54	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	152	23¢	$35	0xc8c77f…
08-25 09:59:04	Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	Yes	BUY	405	37¢	$150	0x000aa5…