Realized P&L
+$20
Unrealized P&L
+$25
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
12
Trades
19,107
lifetime
Volume
$1.30M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$1.33K
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-03
last 06-29 23:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
63% 100% +$19
Politics
20% 100% +$1
Crypto
13%
Tech
3%
Sports
1% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 488 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +273 $268 100¢ $273 +$5 06-29 23:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +191 $186 100¢ $190 +$4 06-18 06:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +178 $173 100¢ $178 +$4 06-18 17:39
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +148 $146 100¢ $148 +$2 06-21 09:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +97 $92 100¢ $97 +$5 06-26 20:06
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +76 $75 100¢ $76 +$1 06-13 02:40
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +76 $75 100¢ $76 +$1 06-22 11:33
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? No +76 $75 100¢ $76 +$1 06-17 17:34
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +72 $71 100¢ $72 +$2 06-10 03:45
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No -45 $-45 100¢ $-45 $-0 06-23 21:20
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -25 $-25 100¢ $-25 $-0 06-04 15:38
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$1 06-14 21:27
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 06-21 14:05
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +25 $25 98¢ $25 $-0 06-25 00:01
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-17 19:35