Icy-Bowling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$106

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

29.1%

Resolved

145

Trades

302

lifetime

Volume

$945

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-13 18:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 22% -$79

Other

4% 12% -$13

Politics

1% 0% -$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+7	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	05-08 14:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	9	$58	1,642	40	+1,602	Down	-$28	05-08 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$28	27	27	+0	Up	+$24	05-08 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$25	86	30	+56	Up	+$69	05-08 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$25	64	0	+64	Up	+$39	05-08 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	8	$22	139	12	+127	Up	+$0	05-08 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	5	$22	78	0	+78	Down	-$2	05-08 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	5	$21	169	0	+169	Up	-$21	05-13 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	5	$21	874	0	+874	Down	-$21	05-13 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$21	114	0	+114	Up	-$21	05-08 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	7	$20	46	0	+46	Down	+$13	05-08 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	6	$18	51	0	+51	Down	-$7	05-08 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$17	87	87	+0	Down	-$13	05-08 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	4	$16	334	0	+334	Up	-$2	05-13 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$16	72	0	+72	Up	-$11	05-13 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	5	$14	27	0	+27	Up	+$13	05-08 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$13	212	100	+112	Up	-$3	05-13 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	5	$13	235	0	+235	Down	-$13	05-13 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	5	$13	29	0	+29	Up	-$13	05-13 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	4	$13	39	0	+39	Down	-$8	05-13 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$12	265	0	+265	Down	+$3	05-13 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$12	106	0	+106	Down	-$9	05-08 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$11	44	0	+44	Down	+$33	05-08 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$11	35	0	+35	Up	-$11	05-08 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$11	14	0	+14	Down	-$11	05-13 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$11	147	0	+147	Down	-$11	05-08 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$11	31	0	+31	Down	-$11	05-08 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	5	$11	290	0	+290	Down	-$11	05-13 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$11	183	0	+183	Up	+$0	05-13 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$11	214	0	+214	Down	-$11	05-08 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$11	18	0	+18	Up	+$7	05-08 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 18:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x8fa2c5…
05-13 18:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x66f93f…
05-13 18:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x81ad08…
05-13 18:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdb89a3…
05-13 18:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x22b1ca…
05-13 18:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x3d3d75…
05-13 18:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe84da3…
05-13 18:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xadc218…
05-13 18:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf576ac…
05-13 18:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf581c5…
05-13 17:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6d114b…
05-13 17:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xab4e93…
05-13 17:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xe9795b…
05-13 17:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe91f42…
05-13 17:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x99d932…
05-13 17:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc21de2…
05-13 17:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe0e422…
05-13 17:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x546c73…
05-13 17:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1c74d6…
05-13 17:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0e3466…
05-13 17:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x54c7e9…
05-13 17:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb4c64e…
05-13 17:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xaf3b99…
05-13 17:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1bbda5…
05-13 17:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1a14d4…
05-13 17:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3fae8d…
05-13 17:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xc76a70…
05-13 17:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x08a79f…
05-13 17:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb68952…
05-13 17:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x31ef75…
05-13 17:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xeae45a…
05-13 17:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x466b70…
05-13 17:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x67a894…
05-13 17:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2d7758…
05-13 17:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xa56dc7…
05-13 17:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x4bfbed…
05-13 17:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf26a2b…
05-13 17:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xa35712…
05-13 17:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x98f80c…
05-13 17:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xba56f9…
05-13 17:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb92b22…
05-13 17:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc32836…
05-13 17:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdb46ba…
05-13 17:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x08615b…
05-13 17:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb4382d…
05-13 17:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc2a3cb…
05-13 17:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc35e5b…
05-13 17:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x75fed5…
05-13 17:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc12102…
05-13 16:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa9bdc5…
05-13 16:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x930fc2…
05-13 16:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa92ffd…
05-13 16:48:51	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x7b6fda…
05-13 16:46:52	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x4f6d71…
05-13 14:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x1a667a…
05-13 14:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x83aa65…
05-13 13:51:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	253	0¢	$1	0x3fe7c9…
05-13 13:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x18bb98…
05-13 13:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf59e0c…
05-13 13:48:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0x86a929…
05-13 13:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x95c78d…
05-13 13:46:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x451935…
05-13 13:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0670c6…
05-13 13:45:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x7b4b1f…
05-13 13:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x77df3f…
05-13 13:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x4d7c03…
05-13 13:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe9536f…
05-13 13:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb980b2…
05-13 13:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xd4eb58…
05-13 13:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8c9a2f…
05-13 13:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x07ae45…
05-13 13:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x3d405e…
05-13 13:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbfc21f…
05-13 13:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0f03b8…
05-13 13:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xf82bd3…
05-13 13:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x782868…
05-13 13:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1c0015…
05-13 13:09:08	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x193d41…
05-13 13:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x92fec7…
05-13 13:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x8b15c6…
05-13 12:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x23f5c4…
05-13 12:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xf05e3a…
05-13 12:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd55540…
05-13 12:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xbb1e54…
05-13 12:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x929fb5…
05-13 12:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6400a1…
05-13 12:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x53b84d…
05-13 12:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x2aee37…
05-13 12:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x202e11…
05-13 12:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7fb737…
05-13 12:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0xf9accf…
05-13 12:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x2ff5c3…
05-13 12:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd7d971…
05-13 12:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x5b471c…
05-13 12:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x607bd1…
05-13 12:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1114db…
05-13 12:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3dc512…
05-13 12:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x1256eb…
05-13 12:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x802d62…
05-13 12:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x5abad2…