Salty-Prohibition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$398

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

1,218

Trades

6,046

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-24

last 11-01 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 72% -$378

Other

12% 71% -$19

Politics

6% 67% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 651 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes		+2	-$1	71¢	$2	+$3	10-31 13:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	120	$897	476	446	+30	No	+$2	05-26 22:32
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Group Stage	69	$236	196	176	+20	ex-RUSTEC	+$8	10-23 19:38
bitcoin up or down august 30 2026 6pm et	51	$176	90	167	-77	Down	-$3	08-30 22:48
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 28?	16	$171	178	198	-20	No	-$22	05-28 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11AM ET	25	$160	72	90	-18	Up	$0	05-27 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	73	$156	318	0	+318	Up	+$0	09-12 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5AM ET	33	$152	310	156	+154	Down	-$7	09-11 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	41	$141	127	127	+0	Down	+$1	09-11 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	42	$135	161	89	+72	Up	-$7	09-11 01:03
LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	29	$131	113	103	+10	CTBC Flying Oyster	-$2	10-23 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	50	$120	175	84	+91	Down	-$2	09-13 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	48	$120	240	0	+240	Down	+$6	09-13 22:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 20:35 UTC	45	$116	236	42	+194	Down	+$1	09-14 20:39
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FaZe (BO3) - Tesla Cup Playoffs	13	$110	97	87	+10	FaZe	-$3	10-29 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	47	$107	216	0	+216	Up	+$1	09-12 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	45	$103	198	6	+192	Down	+$2	09-13 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	6	$101	88	88	+0	Up	-$8	10-25 09:22
bitcoin up or down august 30 2026 5pm et	43	$101	0	200	-200	Up	+$1	08-30 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3PM ET	21	$96	187	2	+185	Up	+$1	09-11 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	41	$95	176	36	+140	Down	+$7	09-13 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 20:30 UTC	33	$89	168	0	+168	Up	-$17	09-14 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	21	$87	120	30	+90	Up	+$2	09-13 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	36	$86	125	54	+72	Down	-$1	09-10 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	32	$83	244	144	+100	Up	+$1	09-11 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	22	$83	70	70	+0	Down	+$1	09-11 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	35	$82	163	0	+163	Down	-$4	09-12 23:34
bitcoin up or down august 31 2026 6am et	23	$80	50	76	-26	Up	-$2	08-31 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	22	$80	45	50	-5	Up	+$1	05-27 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	13	$79	59	59	+0	Up	+$7	09-09 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	10	$77	103	59	+44	Down	-$12	10-26 00:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 16:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x5c32e7…
11-01 15:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x2ef6e7…
11-01 15:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xdc587d…
11-01 13:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x323f67…
11-01 13:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x7ca476…
11-01 13:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x6a9f5a…
11-01 13:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xe598d6…
11-01 13:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x9865b2…
11-01 13:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xbf21f9…
11-01 12:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd634db…
11-01 12:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x022a13…
11-01 12:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf25474…
11-01 12:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xc24d00…
11-01 12:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x022af3…
11-01 12:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xcbdebc…
11-01 12:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x6d0c93…
11-01 12:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x38663c…
11-01 12:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xb5529d…
10-31 13:18:06	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x8ff5bc…
10-30 22:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x415e7e…
10-30 22:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x22a987…
10-30 22:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x36522c…
10-30 22:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfa6c52…
10-30 22:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x80793c…
10-30 22:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6843ff…
10-30 22:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfbc945…
10-30 22:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0b038f…
10-30 22:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x7bc1e4…
10-30 21:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x43f2ce…
10-30 21:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x08c4c5…
10-30 21:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x17ae68…
10-30 21:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x360090…
10-30 21:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8f65bd…
10-30 21:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x30db61…
10-30 21:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x18e624…
10-30 20:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x1b4443…
10-30 20:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x12f12d…
10-30 20:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1497bd…
10-30 20:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa23f58…
10-30 20:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc3c8ed…
10-30 20:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x14936e…
10-30 20:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1d2133…
10-30 20:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xad8068…
10-30 20:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc7dc41…
10-30 19:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x770cf3…
10-30 19:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x045b28…
10-30 19:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x553af6…
10-30 19:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd6192f…
10-30 19:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe42f36…
10-30 19:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xecebe6…
10-30 19:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x95336f…
10-30 19:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x05e299…
10-30 19:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5bcb7d…
10-30 18:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb2af2c…
10-30 18:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x80f44a…
10-30 18:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5912a3…
10-30 18:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xb661b6…
10-30 18:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x812e16…
10-30 18:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd8752c…
10-30 18:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xeb60b1…
10-30 18:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbeddb4…
10-30 18:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7229c0…
10-30 17:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdc9080…
10-30 17:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x093b27…
10-30 17:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6a265b…
10-30 17:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x92c8af…
10-30 17:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xda87ad…
10-30 17:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xb88c2d…
10-30 17:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x85badf…
10-30 17:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa783fc…
10-30 16:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3622ef…
10-30 16:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x789895…
10-30 16:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x29dc81…
10-30 16:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x5b67f5…
10-30 16:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb286ab…
10-30 16:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5adafb…
10-30 16:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7466c8…
10-30 16:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdfeedb…
10-30 16:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x84f794…
10-30 15:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9dcac8…
10-30 15:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x3d4857…
10-30 15:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x29ad40…
10-30 15:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x517c64…
10-30 15:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3174f4…
10-30 15:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x27cc2a…
10-30 15:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd0b46d…
10-30 15:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe5adda…
10-30 15:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd97b5f…
10-30 14:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x7a45ba…
10-30 14:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x98d0f1…
10-30 14:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x1fcae7…
10-30 14:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd56811…
10-30 14:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0xac22d5…
10-30 14:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	31	25¢	$8	0xd58134…
10-30 14:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x0bfba0…
10-30 14:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xfcf3b2…
10-30 14:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x05d256…
10-30 14:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x548c7d…
10-30 14:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0xc9dd60…
10-30 14:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xc5fb33…