Shimmering-Oversight — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

2,963 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$129.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 09-06 01:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 35% -$7,751

Other

3% 15% -$1,827

Politics

2% 43% -$169

Sports

1% 22% +$412

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 02:30 UTC	5	$3.2K	2,776	2,644	+132	Down	+$1,024	03-26 02:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 03:00 UTC	8	$2.8K	4,193	3,933	+260	Up	+$644	03-26 03:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 02:50 UTC	4	$2.7K	2,104	2,075	+30	Up	+$422	03-17 02:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 03:00 UTC	7	$2.2K	2,187	1,875	+311	Up	+$737	03-24 03:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 03:45 UTC	5	$2.0K	3,055	2,393	+662	Up	-$373	03-24 03:56
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	9	$1.9K	2,978	2,556	+422	No	-$235	04-06 16:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 02:15 UTC	2	$1.9K	2,733	0	+2,733	Down	+$173	03-17 02:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 02:30 UTC	5	$1.6K	1,912	1,574	+339	Down	+$196	03-24 02:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 02:15 UTC	4	$1.5K	1,901	1,050	+850	Down	-$1	03-26 02:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 00:45 UTC	5	$1.4K	1,779	1,311	+467	Down	+$38	03-26 00:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 02:25 UTC	4	$1.4K	2,527	0	+2,527	Up	-$859	03-17 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 00:30 UTC	8	$1.3K	1,989	1,798	+191	Up	+$32	03-26 00:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 02:15 UTC	12	$1.3K	1,823	1,502	+321	Up	+$143	03-24 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 02:40 UTC	3	$1.3K	1,291	577	+714	Down	-$156	03-17 02:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 02:00 UTC	4	$1.3K	1,734	1,291	+443	Down	+$53	03-26 02:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 04:00 UTC	7	$1.3K	2,567	835	+1,732	Up	-$406	03-24 04:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 21:15 UTC	11	$1.2K	1,176	988	+188	Up	-$49	03-28 21:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 03:15 UTC	5	$1.2K	1,746	1,029	+716	Up	-$131	03-24 03:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 21:30 UTC	6	$1.1K	1,757	851	+906	Down	-$203	03-29 21:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 01:00 UTC	2	$1.1K	846	835	+11	Down	+$537	03-26 01:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 02:45 UTC	5	$1.1K	1,602	904	+698	Down	+$75	03-24 02:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 20:45 UTC	8	$1.0K	2,081	1,072	+1,009	Up	+$474	03-29 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 01:50 UTC	4	$1000	1,502	0	+1,502	Down	-$68	03-17 01:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 22:15 UTC	3	$966	1,149	516	+633	Up	-$72	03-30 22:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 22:00 UTC	3	$905	1,131	1,115	+16	Down	+$220	03-30 22:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 00:00 UTC	4	$877	1,458	660	+798	Down	-$111	03-30 00:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 01:15 UTC	5	$853	1,073	1,057	+16	Up	-$6	03-26 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 23:35 UTC	2	$840	1,588	0	+1,588	Down	+$481	03-16 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 00:40 UTC	1	$832	1,051	0	+1,051	Down	+$219	03-17 00:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:50 UTC	3	$832	657	648	+9	Down	+$41	03-17 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 01:46:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x0049b5…
09-06 01:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xf446a6…
09-04 20:26:19	Solana Up or Down - September 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x184d20…
09-02 01:02:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x92ce3b…
09-02 01:01:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x73eaef…
09-02 00:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x802ac8…
09-02 00:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xafaba5…
09-01 22:06:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 1, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x20bd89…
09-01 22:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x66079b…
09-01 22:05:36	Solana Up or Down - September 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x7b2956…
09-01 22:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x8bf73b…
08-29 00:36:22	ethereum up or down august 28 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x2ad4f4…
08-29 00:35:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x06728a…
08-29 00:34:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0xa22b8c…
07-31 20:46:51	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	78	25¢	$20	0x1ec1be…
07-30 13:58:12	xrp up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xe81378…
07-30 13:58:02	solana up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x07f378…
07-30 13:57:51	ethereum up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xad9bfa…
07-30 13:57:32	ethereum up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x952d30…
07-30 06:02:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x76aa06…
07-30 05:54:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0x324792…
07-29 22:18:54	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xe1e19a…
07-29 22:18:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x5aac6d…
07-29 11:23:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xb24a84…
07-29 01:05:21	Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xf9f744…
07-29 01:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x59e95a…
07-29 01:03:01	XRP Up or Down - July 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x8fc1f5…
07-29 01:02:37	Solana Up or Down - July 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8248de…
07-29 01:02:19	Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x375fde…
07-29 01:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x05312c…
07-29 00:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xec59ec…
07-29 00:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xb86be8…
07-28 23:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xc286ad…
07-28 23:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x44cdff…
07-28 23:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc156dd…
07-17 21:29:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x82f9f5…
06-30 16:43:17	ethereum up or down june 30 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x10f786…
06-30 16:42:58	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1c2993…
06-30 16:41:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1a8ee7…
06-30 16:40:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x45e157…
06-30 16:39:25	Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	517	3¢	$15	0x28b0bc…
06-30 16:38:53	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xb477ff…
06-30 06:44:16	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x6957e2…
06-30 06:43:28	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7eb51a…
06-30 02:24:04	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x7ee21c…
06-30 02:22:56	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9e38a4…
06-30 02:18:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x63b07b…
06-30 01:12:17	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xd0d1a6…
06-30 01:11:02	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xf9291d…
06-28 05:48:34	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0bb070…
06-28 05:48:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6f85da…
06-28 05:47:25	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0b2bdd…
06-28 05:47:08	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x302188…
06-28 05:46:59	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x6478ec…
06-27 21:32:32	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x9d3962…
06-27 21:31:35	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7023c9…
06-27 21:31:26	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x5258c1…
06-27 21:31:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x5c52d9…
06-27 21:31:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x10f0b3…
06-27 16:04:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x098999…
06-27 15:03:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xb9074f…
06-27 06:32:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbb1fcb…
06-27 02:16:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x11f1ac…
06-27 02:15:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x7d4680…
06-27 02:14:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5efaa9…
06-27 02:04:14	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xfbd00c…
06-27 02:03:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xfe2d7a…
06-27 02:03:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x60ac15…
06-27 01:58:50	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xcca1db…
06-27 01:58:50	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x5bcbe2…
06-27 01:58:49	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3689bf…
06-27 01:57:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb1132b…
06-27 01:57:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf2e11a…
06-26 21:22:14	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x558fc7…
06-26 21:21:35	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x577e71…
06-26 21:21:14	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xcaa44c…
06-26 21:20:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x35cd4c…
06-26 21:19:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	22	25¢	$5	0x6c6389…
06-26 19:41:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	15	57¢	$8	0xf28003…
06-26 19:40:47	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xaa2766…
06-26 19:39:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9159f9…
06-26 19:39:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe7a85a…
06-26 19:38:52	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc34c37…
06-25 23:01:11	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x38116f…
06-25 22:57:31	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6a2950…
06-25 22:57:04	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xfc5ffa…
06-25 22:56:46	Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xeda921…
06-25 22:41:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x4f7a6e…
06-25 22:26:50	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x714eee…
06-25 22:26:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x16b3a5…
06-25 22:26:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xbde706…
06-25 22:25:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xdb0279…
06-25 22:03:02	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x5a0c07…
06-25 22:02:28	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	287	3¢	$10	0xd144af…
06-25 22:02:19	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x5e768e…
06-25 22:01:05	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	82	36¢	$30	0xe00823…
06-25 22:00:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x535499…
06-22 23:40:08	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xd77d63…
06-22 23:27:32	ethereum up or down june 22 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xb5ede2…
06-22 23:26:11	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xdcd2df…