Past-Derivative — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$271

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

402

Trades

823

lifetime

Volume

$27.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$60

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 11-02 10:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Sports

66% 45% +$781

Other

33% 41% -$902

Crypto

1% 30% -$149

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Golden Knights vs. Bruins	Bruins		+69	$34	66¢	$45	+$11	11-02 10:09
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-11-02?	No	—	+78	$29	19¢	$15	-$14	11-03 00:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	2	$536	400	400	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$264	05-16 02:33
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)	3	$494	364	364	+0	Detroit Tigers	+$234	05-11 02:27
mlb cws nyy 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	3	$434	300	300	+0	New York Yankees	+$166	06-18 03:43
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)	5	$421	301	301	+0	Cincinnati Reds	+$180	05-14 19:02
mlb chc cin 2026 09 19 spread away 1pt5	2	$411	281	281	+0	Chicago Cubs	+$152	09-20 01:18
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)	2	$361	260	260	+0	Boston Red Sox	+$158	05-19 01:40
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	4	$305	210	210	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$113	05-12 01:36
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	11	$288	216	216	+0	Chicago Cubs	+$128	05-15 01:41
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	2	$283	197	197	+0	New York Yankees	+$110	05-13 01:29
mlb cws nyy 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	2	$276	200	200	+0	New York Yankees	+$124	06-17 02:05
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-10-23?	5	$265	200	200	+0	Yes	+$55	10-24 04:50
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)	2	$252	176	176	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$100	05-10 02:19
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)	2	$219	154	154	+0	Cincinnati Reds	+$87	05-09 22:38
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-21?	4	$218	177	177	+0	No	+$94	05-22 02:09
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	1	$216	492	0	+492	New York Yankees	+$276	05-15 13:04
nhl edm las 2026 03 08	3	$216	144	144	+0	Oilers	+$72	03-09 04:50
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)	2	$213	147	147	+0	Athletics	+$81	05-17 05:41
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-10-23?	5	$212	155	155	+0	Yes	+$82	10-23 10:47
mlb col cws 2026 03 09	3	$211	140	140	+0	Chicago White Sox	+$68	03-10 00:59
mlb atl cws 2026 06 11 spread away 1pt5	5	$205	250	250	+0	Atlanta Braves	+$5	06-12 02:32
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	13	$199	399	257	+142	St. Louis Cardinals	-$124	05-13 04:11
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?	7	$192	367	0	+367	No	-$192	05-11 20:09
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	4	$182	138	138	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$80	10-20 02:31
mlb nym phi 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	9	$164	114	114	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$59	06-21 01:08
Avalanche vs. Wild	3	$164	109	109	+0	Avalanche	+$44	05-12 02:47
Will PSV win on 2026-05-17?	2	$164	114	114	+0	Yes	+$64	05-17 16:13
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	3	$151	109	109	+0	Minnesota Twins	+$51	05-10 03:43
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	2	$151	365	0	+365	No	-$151	03-10 13:21
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)	9	$151	354	0	+354	Cleveland Guardians	-$151	05-22 14:19
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)	1	$150	349	0	+349	Chicago White Sox	-$150	05-14 21:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 00:03:54	Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-11-02?	No	BUY	78	37¢	$29	0xc2bd29…
11-02 10:09:16	Golden Knights vs. Bruins	Bruins	BUY	69	50¢	$34	0xf52672…
11-02 10:06:19	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x1575e8…
11-02 03:01:18	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xb552ec…
11-02 02:57:30	Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	51	45¢	$23	0x3e13dc…
11-02 02:55:03	Senators vs. Ducks	Senators	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x1680e0…
11-02 01:28:22	CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xfc413b…
11-01 22:54:54	Will New England Revolution win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xadc216…
11-01 16:05:57	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x622b58…
11-01 16:00:57	Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x278fbd…
11-01 15:14:09	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x356ee3…
11-01 15:14:06	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	43	48¢	$21	0xe5e2de…
11-01 14:12:18	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x6832e8…
11-01 13:01:39	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x3d73f1…
11-01 11:22:04	PEC Zwolle vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x7349bc…
11-01 07:18:28	Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xf539f6…
11-01 06:21:03	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-11-01?	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x7867a0…
11-01 05:31:24	Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x08be4d…
11-01 03:35:52	Will CF América vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	52	27¢	$14	0x566dbe…
11-01 02:26:09	Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xaea5e6…
11-01 02:25:55	Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xd8c059…
11-01 02:24:18	Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x62dd26…
11-01 01:09:33	Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xd780c0…
10-31 17:20:40	Oilers vs. Islanders	Oilers	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xb1fdde…
10-31 17:16:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xabdf95…
10-31 15:42:57	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xe428d8…
10-31 15:02:48	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xf84a2a…
10-31 12:39:13	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x9906f0…
10-31 09:51:21	Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x712b14…
10-31 07:38:18	Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	34	36¢	$12	0x3b5ad1…
10-31 07:37:30	Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x0513e1…
10-31 03:29:37	Club Puebla vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xb7e61f…
10-30 23:50:28	Kraken vs. Flames	Kraken	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x9b51c2…
10-30 13:21:57	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	140	36¢	$50	0xba4123…
10-30 04:19:49	Canucks vs. Sharks	Sharks	SELL	80	90¢	$72	0xb6923c…
10-30 03:19:16	Canucks vs. Sharks	Sharks	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x858e2b…
10-30 03:17:04	Canucks vs. Sharks	Sharks	BUY	76	37¢	$28	0xb314e4…
10-30 01:43:43	Capitals vs. Predators	Predators	BUY	64	45¢	$29	0x4ad10c…
10-29 14:34:19	Frosinone Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xba0a6c…
10-29 14:33:43	Will Phnom Penh Crown FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xa0da32…
10-29 10:19:58	Will Phnom Penh Crown FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	52	53¢	$27	0x4b4e6f…
10-29 04:23:16	Will CF América win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x0a27eb…
10-29 04:23:14	Will CF América win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	33	50¢	$17	0xa444a0…
10-29 04:23:14	Will CF América win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x678339…
10-29 04:23:13	Will CF América win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	31	50¢	$15	0x7e2cbb…
10-29 04:23:11	Will CF América win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	31	50¢	$15	0x45056d…
10-29 03:45:29	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	36	37¢	$13	0x44fd71…
10-29 01:33:29	Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	48	39¢	$19	0x901fe5…
10-29 01:32:26	Devils vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	78	41¢	$32	0xe0370b…
10-28 22:58:44	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x3b3eb5…
10-28 22:56:02	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	35	46¢	$16	0xe3b076…
10-28 22:56:01	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x8595dd…
10-28 22:55:47	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xdb8921…
10-28 22:54:41	Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xe5ba71…
10-28 20:40:32	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	66	44¢	$29	0xa1aa1b…
10-28 20:37:47	Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	80	32¢	$26	0xfb0de6…
10-28 15:43:22	Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	31¢	$17	0x020053…
10-28 15:36:10	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xfab2d2…
10-28 09:21:49	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Yokohama BayStars	Yokohama BayStars	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x19d618…
10-28 00:27:03	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	94	47¢	$44	0x24a5bc…
10-27 03:51:00	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0x35ca06…
10-27 03:48:15	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x0bdc75…
10-26 03:23:32	Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	66	44¢	$29	0xf2b5b1…
10-26 01:18:21	Los Angeles FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x6cc8ef…
10-25 14:54:18	Will PSV win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	64	35¢	$23	0x6727f7…
10-25 14:09:47	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	65	37¢	$24	0xe17220…
10-25 14:09:08	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3b3cd1…
10-25 13:38:41	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x8a6e8f…
10-25 12:54:39	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xd44f71…
10-25 12:00:20	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	60	34¢	$20	0x98d1c7…
10-25 11:59:56	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	80	53¢	$42	0xb77278…
10-25 09:22:56	Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Tochigi City FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xf86e8a…
10-25 03:47:35	Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x8c0dcb…
10-25 02:21:09	Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xf00954…
10-25 00:47:23	Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xaa3f6c…
10-25 00:39:27	Golden Knights vs. Blue Jackets	Golden Knights	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xe0f975…
10-25 00:23:48	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	64	15¢	$10	0x865c19…
10-25 00:13:51	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xa81c23…
10-24 22:20:54	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x6fd573…
10-24 22:07:48	Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	48	47¢	$23	0x8e122e…
10-24 22:01:36	Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x809216…
10-24 16:42:45	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x323616…
10-24 16:41:41	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xea18ea…
10-24 16:40:56	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0xd6602b…
10-24 16:40:54	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x719221…
10-24 16:12:51	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xbd5a10…
10-24 16:12:27	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x770581…
10-24 15:50:50	Will Real Racing Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xc61cb3…
10-24 15:50:39	Will Real Racing Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x16cfa4…
10-24 15:02:17	Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xc73c9d…
10-24 14:19:59	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x781f8c…
10-24 09:54:54	Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x86672d…
10-24 08:43:06	Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x1937f1…
10-24 08:42:20	Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	87	70¢	$61	0x0329da…
10-24 08:41:15	Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0x2f8553…
10-24 08:16:24	Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	103	19¢	$19	0x2b7bd8…
10-24 06:26:06	Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	55	34¢	$19	0x851b9d…
10-24 05:11:36	Will FC Seoul win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xf02996…
10-24 05:11:35	Will FC Seoul win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5ded03…
10-24 05:11:18	Will FC Seoul win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3ac838…