Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$86

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

150

Trades

277

lifetime

Volume

$729

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 05-01 22:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Crypto

35% 53% -$29

Politics

29% 42% -$13

Other

28% 44% -$40

Tech

4% 0% -$13

Sports

4% 40% +$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:25 UTC	2	$41	25	25	+0	Up	+$8	02-16 04:30
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	2	$22	17	17	+0	Yes	+$7	03-04 18:05
will the us invade iran by march 31	7	$20	77	77	+0	No	+$3	03-16 14:41
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$19	0	20	-20	Yes	-$1	02-23 16:34
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	1	$16	0	30	-30	No	+$16	02-18 15:07
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	5	$16	21	21	+0	Yes	+$7	03-16 02:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 18:50 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	03-04 18:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:20 UTC	5	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	02-16 04:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 00:30 UTC	2	$13	15	15	+0	Down	-$8	03-27 00:44
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	1	$11	0	40	-40	Yes	-$29	02-18 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 19:00 UTC	2	$11	20	0	+20	Down	-$11	02-25 19:00
will trump say america or american 30 times in rome ga on february 19	2	$11	10	10	+0	No	+$1	02-19 21:04
chatgpt outage by february 28 2026	2	$10	2,740	0	+2,740	Yes	-$10	02-16 22:34
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	-$1	03-25 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 22:50 UTC	2	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	02-18 22:51
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$10	10	10	+0	No	$0	02-25 18:54
will trump say china 5 times in rome ga on february 19	2	$9	10	10	+0	Yes	-$1	02-19 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 20:25 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	02-13 20:30
will trump say biden or obama 7 times during kentucky visit	2	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	03-11 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 21:20 UTC	2	$9	10	10	+0	Up	-$3	03-04 21:22
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	03-08 21:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 20:45 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	02-13 20:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 05:00 UTC	5	$8	20	0	+20	Down	-$8	02-16 05:00
will trump say monroe during the state of the union address 457	2	$8	10	10	+0	No	-$1	02-25 03:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 21:00 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	02-13 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 21:25 UTC	2	$8	15	15	+0	Down	-$7	03-04 21:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 18:15 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	03-04 18:18
will trump say witkoff during the state of the union address 785	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	02-25 03:30
will leavitt say go ahead 5 times during the next white house press briefing	2	$8	12	0	+12	No	-$8	03-25 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 15:25 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	02-19 15:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-01 22:52:06	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xa2de21…
04-30 03:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xb70e74…
04-30 03:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0xe03f65…
03-30 05:36:36	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x855003…
03-27 00:54:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x647734…
03-27 00:48:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xefd46b…
03-27 00:44:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0x282fab…
03-27 00:41:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xd1628b…
03-25 20:29:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xc835ca…
03-25 20:29:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf70427…
03-25 20:13:39	will leavitt say air or land or sea 3 times during the next white house press briefing	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbe794a…
03-25 20:13:31	will leavitt say commander in chief during the next white house press briefing	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa777d4…
03-25 20:13:21	will leavitt say threat during the next white house press briefing	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdbacc8…
03-25 20:13:13	will leavitt say democrat shutdown during the next white house press briefing	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x22964e…
03-25 20:13:05	will leavitt say regime 10 times during the next white house press briefing	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x18c515…
03-25 20:12:59	will leavitt say ceasefire during the next white house press briefing	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1a69b5…
03-25 17:34:43	will leavitt say go ahead 5 times during the next white house press briefing	Yes	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x9c6700…
03-25 17:32:57	will leavitt say ceasefire during the next white house press briefing	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x4e2b53…
03-25 17:31:45	will leavitt say hezbollah or hamas during the next white house press briefing	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xae15d1…
03-25 17:30:57	will leavitt say boots on the ground during the next white house press briefing	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe4d904…
03-25 17:30:47	will leavitt say air or land or sea 3 times during the next white house press briefing	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x72ab3d…
03-25 17:30:41	will leavitt say go ahead 5 times during the next white house press briefing	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xdda18e…
03-25 17:30:27	will leavitt say commander in chief during the next white house press briefing	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2ed31b…
03-25 17:30:23	will leavitt say threat during the next white house press briefing	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x05fa06…
03-25 17:30:09	will leavitt say democrat shutdown during the next white house press briefing	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe3e156…
03-25 17:29:37	will leavitt say regime 10 times during the next white house press briefing	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7aebb9…
03-25 01:54:59	Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xf23c59…
03-25 01:54:21	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xdda5f7…
03-24 16:39:01	will melania say husband or trump during fostering the future together event on march 24	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4c8c7e…
03-24 16:38:55	will melania say first lady during fostering the future together event on march 24	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xa95b4d…
03-24 16:38:51	will melania say un or united nations during fostering the future together event on march 24	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x8cd6a2…
03-24 15:06:03	will melania say first lady during fostering the future together event on march 24	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe7c090…
03-24 15:05:35	will melania say un or united nations during fostering the future together event on march 24	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x508e22…
03-24 15:01:27	will melania say husband or trump during fostering the future together event on march 24	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0e8c93…
03-24 14:51:31	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd89a92…
03-23 19:45:53	will trump say biden or obama 7 times during memphis roundtable 863	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xa43371…
03-23 17:24:23	will trump say thousand or hundred 25 times during memphis roundtable	Yes	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x428faf…
03-23 17:23:11	will trump say rubio or vance during memphis roundtable 129	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x3d9fcd…
03-23 17:23:05	will trump say oil during memphis roundtable 567	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x985c98…
03-23 17:23:01	will trump say hormuz during memphis roundtable 373	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xcbc701…
03-23 17:18:23	will trump say job 15 times during memphis roundtable	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x4216b3…
03-23 17:10:07	will trump say border 7 times during memphis roundtable 239	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xed510e…
03-23 17:00:03	will trump say nuclear during memphis roundtable 428	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf83595…
03-23 16:52:55	will trump say iran 7 times during memphis roundtable 386	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xa0e6b8…
03-23 16:29:59	will trump say biden or obama 7 times during memphis roundtable 863	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x535b8a…
03-23 16:28:23	will trump say hormuz during memphis roundtable 373	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf16ece…
03-23 16:28:07	will trump say border 7 times during memphis roundtable 239	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x51b9d3…
03-23 16:27:41	will trump say job 15 times during memphis roundtable	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x87b713…
03-23 16:27:35	will trump say thousand or hundred 25 times during memphis roundtable	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa8ad5a…
03-23 16:26:31	will trump say rubio or vance during memphis roundtable 129	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6c8d24…
03-23 16:26:07	will trump say nuclear during memphis roundtable 428	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xcf6529…
03-23 16:25:57	will trump say oil during memphis roundtable 567	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1d393e…
03-23 16:25:41	will trump say iran 7 times during memphis roundtable 386	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe4bda7…
03-23 01:00:39	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xda8161…
03-23 01:00:23	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x3f1b88…
03-22 15:15:43	highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 60 61f	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x91d046…
03-22 00:46:51	nhl nyi mon 2026 03 21	Canadiens	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x14d0f7…
03-21 22:50:25	nhl nyi mon 2026 03 21	Canadiens	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xafabd6…
03-21 22:44:55	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x4a58d5…
03-21 22:30:15	highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 60 61f	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe2d88b…
03-21 22:29:17	Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x0fa6a6…
03-21 22:27:59	highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc54449…
03-21 22:24:57	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xeee0d9…
03-19 21:58:05	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x2eb1aa…
03-19 21:57:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xa17b71…
03-18 16:37:19	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x85aca7…
03-18 16:36:55	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x099b5b…
03-17 17:51:33	nflx up or down on march 17 2026	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x02f15e…
03-17 16:30:49	will trump say million or billion or trillion 8 times during taoiseach events	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xae5729…
03-17 15:52:13	will trump say million or billion or trillion 8 times during taoiseach events	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x032ac0…
03-17 15:33:51	nflx up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd77631…
03-17 15:31:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x477ef1…
03-17 15:30:53	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa9a351…
03-17 15:30:13	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x0e1a6e…
03-17 15:27:51	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x4e18fc…
03-16 14:41:01	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0xf57d5d…
03-16 14:40:37	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x8e4084…
03-16 02:21:15	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0dda4a…
03-16 01:56:21	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1584df…
03-16 01:55:15	will f1 win best sound at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x00d81d…
03-16 00:48:27	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xb0f583…
03-16 00:34:57	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x256aa8…
03-13 16:40:09	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0xfb9ea2…
03-13 16:35:15	highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 68 69f	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xb54e0f…
03-12 20:49:29	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x986735…
03-12 20:29:17	highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 68 69f	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa1dafa…
03-12 19:54:31	nflx up or down on march 12 2026	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x1a9271…
03-11 22:11:39	will f1 win best sound at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x091d5c…
03-11 22:10:51	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x261ce6…
03-11 22:04:27	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xece869…
03-11 21:49:49	will trump say biden or obama 7 times during kentucky visit	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x903d39…
03-11 20:29:49	nflx up or down on march 12 2026	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$3	0xed8ac9…
03-11 20:28:09	will trump say biden or obama 7 times during kentucky visit	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xdbd980…
03-11 12:33:51	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x592199…
03-09 20:40:23	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x0ff888…
03-09 20:13:41	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	59	13¢	$8	0x1d9f0f…
03-08 22:29:13	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x3e275f…
03-08 22:28:17	will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2e0d32…
03-08 22:23:53	will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xe84bdb…
03-08 21:28:31	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3f73ec…