Tepid-Preparation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$160

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

34.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$495

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$66

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 16:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 25% $-160

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	+22	$10	99¢	$22	+$12	05-05 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	+20	$19	100¢	$20	+$1	05-05 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	+20	$9	78¢	$16	+$7	05-05 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	+20	$11	22¢	$5	$-7	05-05 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	+22	$16	18¢	$4	$-12	05-05 15:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$47	50	+50	Down	+$3	05-04 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$46	50	+50	open	—	05-05 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$39	50	+50	Up	+$11	05-04 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$37	51	+51	open	—	05-05 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	2	$36	61	+61	Down	$-36	05-05 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$32	51	+51	Up	$-32	05-05 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	1	$30	50	+50	Down	$-30	05-05 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$24	50	+50	open	—	05-05 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$23	102	+102	Down	$-23	05-05 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$22	30	+30	open	—	05-05 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$21	53	+53	Down	$-21	05-05 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$20	40	+40	open	—	05-05 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	05-05 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$18	52	+52	Down	$-18	05-05 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$16	22	+22	open	—	05-05 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$13	36	+36	Up	$-13	05-05 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$11	16	+16	open	—	05-05 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$10	22	+22	open	—	05-05 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$9	20	+20	Up	+$11	05-05 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$7	18	+18	open	—	05-05 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	50	+50	Up	$-5	05-05 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$5	20	+20	Up	$-5	05-05 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$2	6	+6	open	—	05-05 12:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x210104…
05-05 16:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x259293…
05-05 15:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x89838b…
05-05 15:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	71¢	$16	0x9389cd…
05-05 15:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x899872…
05-05 14:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x1aaa52…
05-05 14:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xf653e5…
05-05 13:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x18fbd4…
05-05 12:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x92323c…
05-05 11:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xee82cc…
05-05 09:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0xf835a8…
05-05 08:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x8a499c…
05-05 07:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	51	74¢	$37	0xf444e2…
05-05 05:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	52	26¢	$13	0x2496bb…
05-05 05:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x33c1fe…
05-05 05:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	37¢	$13	0x3ffa0a…
05-05 05:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	53	40¢	$21	0x23d19c…
05-05 04:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	51	64¢	$32	0x700452…
05-05 04:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x63e985…
05-05 04:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x9bd6c7…
05-05 03:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	52	35¢	$18	0xbd02db…
05-05 03:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x3ae607…
05-05 03:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x43cd9a…
05-05 02:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x0b38ed…
05-05 00:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xbed7d4…
05-04 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x4e07c7…
05-04 22:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x3ef3ad…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	22	$6.27K	183	05-05 16:12
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	19	$675	94	05-05 16:12
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	18	$1.55K	90	05-05 16:12
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	18	$1.16K	79	05-05 16:09
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	18	$1.14K	120	05-05 15:44
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	17	$3.30K	127	05-05 16:09
Zesty-Mosque 0xdf65…c36d	15	$590	28	05-05 16:09
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	14	$4.54K	83	05-05 16:12