Vivacious-Female — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

160

Trades

232

lifetime

Volume

$967

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 10-25 23:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

88% 64% -$4

Tech

8% 67% -$1

Sports

3% 20% -$26

Politics

1% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	13	$60	1,374	1,264	+110	Yes	-$2	07-01 14:39
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	4	$27	19	19	+0	Yes	+$11	06-29 19:01
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in June?	2	$14	10	10	+0	No	+$4	06-29 04:09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 30?	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	06-30 21:18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 1?	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	07-02 04:12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 26?	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	06-26 22:54
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 3?	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	07-03 14:58
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 26?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	06-26 22:54
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in May?	3	$12	18	0	+18	No	+$6	05-23 17:26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 30?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	06-30 18:23
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 10?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	08-10 13:25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 28?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	06-29 04:09
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 25?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	07-25 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 15?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	08-15 15:17
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 4?	2	$11	8	8	+0	No	+$1	07-03 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 11?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	08-11 14:23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	08-05 04:36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	08-19 16:11
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 22?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	07-22 01:17
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 15?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	08-15 15:18
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 26?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	07-25 18:23
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 5?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	08-05 04:36
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 19?	3	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	08-19 16:11
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 15?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	08-15 15:18
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?	2	$11	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	07-03 17:08
atp jong fonseca 2026 07 01	2	$11	6	6	+0	Joao Fonseca	+$1	07-01 15:57
Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in June?	2	$10	7	7	+0	No	+$0	06-29 02:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29?	2	$10	7	7	+0	No	+$0	06-29 04:09
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$10	159	0	+159	No	-$10	10-25 23:31
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14?	2	$10	14	0	+14	No	+$4	06-13 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:31:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0x673a08…
09-04 17:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 6?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc63e90…
08-19 16:13:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 20?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb22f28…
08-19 16:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd3f5a9…
08-19 16:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x75b7fe…
08-19 16:11:43	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 19?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x164dd2…
08-19 16:11:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbfeeb8…
08-18 17:09:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf21bdc…
08-18 14:50:10	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe9e9c2…
08-17 20:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 18?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x7929e5…
08-17 16:07:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe24f46…
08-17 13:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe75e7b…
08-15 16:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 16?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xae827b…
08-15 16:01:21	ufc jal kau 2026 08 15	Kauê Fernandes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8cd604…
08-15 16:00:51	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x4475ea…
08-15 15:59:01	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 17?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x3b1534…
08-15 15:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 15?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x45328b…
08-15 15:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 15?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4329f3…
08-15 15:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 15?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1c3e13…
08-15 14:54:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 17?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xea8149…
08-14 14:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8f2722…
08-14 14:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 16?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x75fd97…
08-14 14:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x520c9d…
08-14 02:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe0d8e1…
08-13 23:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x55feac…
08-13 23:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xca0197…
08-11 14:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 12?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xfa07d7…
08-11 14:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 11?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8babfa…
08-10 17:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 11?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xcc2a93…
08-10 16:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 11?	No	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x596b12…
08-10 13:25:36	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 10?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4b4263…
08-09 15:00:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 10?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x583a50…
08-09 15:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 11?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x39b433…
08-05 04:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd632a6…
08-05 04:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 5?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xe6acc9…
08-05 04:36:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdb7345…
08-05 04:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xcd8b8e…
08-05 04:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc61760…
08-04 14:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 6?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x2abc49…
08-04 14:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 5?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x512b10…
08-04 14:46:11	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 6?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa0989b…
08-03 15:34:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf9cbc7…
08-03 15:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 4?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xae9fb1…
08-03 15:32:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x949a71…
08-02 23:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9d906d…
07-25 18:23:51	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 26?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x15cbcd…
07-25 12:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 26?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x5b77f8…
07-25 11:59:45	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 26?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xef9bf0…
07-25 11:59:00	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 27?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0f9789…
07-25 11:36:28	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb13af2…
07-23 11:27:10	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 25?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xbb3218…
07-22 17:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 24?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x8ee44a…
07-22 17:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C on July 23?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x5e33ec…
07-22 01:17:31	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 22?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x72a45e…
07-21 12:50:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc4a18d…
07-21 12:50:54	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 22?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x15d52c…
07-21 12:50:49	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 23?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xda2516…
07-19 21:16:36	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x30957e…
07-19 18:29:45	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc256b8…
07-19 18:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 20?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x449ae3…
07-16 12:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 18?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xdefbe4…
07-16 12:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 17?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf2006a…
07-16 12:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 17?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1c6134…
07-16 12:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 18?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8c1127…
07-13 01:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x99b601…
07-11 11:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 12?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1bcf5d…
07-10 16:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 11?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6970db…
07-10 16:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 11?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x591a99…
07-10 16:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 12?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5a478f…
07-10 16:49:43	Will Hong Kong have less than 400mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x515f7c…
07-09 15:34:38	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 10?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x19529f…
07-09 15:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 10?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xeeab93…
07-09 15:34:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 11?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x40d24d…
07-09 15:34:10	Will Hong Kong have less than 400mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa34dfe…
07-08 15:34:37	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 9?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6190af…
07-07 12:50:10	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 8?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb9c657…
07-07 12:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 9?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x23efee…
07-07 00:40:49	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 8?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x72246c…
07-07 00:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 8?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x632732…
07-06 11:19:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 8?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x3d9e0d…
07-06 11:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 7?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x27a280…
07-06 11:19:26	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 8?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1249b7…
07-06 11:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 7?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1ee9b1…
07-05 16:45:26	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 6?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x948912…
07-05 16:45:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 6?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd7b4bb…
07-05 04:35:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 6?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0xc8e5e2…
07-05 04:35:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 6?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x31043c…
07-04 04:31:49	Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x0c3621…
07-04 04:30:07	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x75a118…
07-03 19:52:22	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x824204…
07-03 17:09:14	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdedb50…
07-03 17:08:46	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xda807c…
07-03 15:16:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 4?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$6	0x4c7d5b…
07-03 14:59:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x36dce4…
07-03 14:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 3?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6870ac…
07-02 15:29:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 4?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x4ebd52…
07-02 15:28:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x98f79c…
07-02 15:27:25	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x51489b…
07-02 04:19:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 3?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xcb501a…
07-02 04:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 3?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8000d3…