Traumatic-Component — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-23 14:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 88% -$5

Other

16% 75% -$4

Politics

3% 50% -$1

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 560 579	1	$120	120	+120	No	+$0	01-02 03:57
bitcoin above 86k on january 5	1	$118	118	+118	Yes	+$0	01-05 07:35
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 15	1	$115	115	+115	No	+$0	01-14 11:48
ethereum above 2100 on april 11	1	$114	114	+114	Yes	+$0	04-11 12:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	1	$114	114	+114	Yes	+$0	04-25 06:11
ethereum above 2000 on april 17	1	$114	114	+114	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:32
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 19	1	$114	114	+114	No	+$0	04-19 02:51
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$114	114	+114	No	+$0	04-28 07:28
will the price of solana be between 50 60 on march 11	1	$113	113	+113	No	+$0	03-11 08:45
bitcoin above 70k on march 17	1	$113	113	+113	Yes	+$0	03-17 12:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 5?	1	$113	113	+113	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:31
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 5	1	$113	113	+113	No	+$0	04-05 09:09
bitcoin above 62k on april 1	1	$113	113	+113	Yes	+$0	04-01 06:23
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 440 459	1	$113	113	+113	No	+$0	03-24 06:54
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 16	1	$113	113	+113	No	+$0	03-14 12:45
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 27	1	$113	113	+113	No	+$0	03-27 09:42
ethereum above 2600 on march 21	1	$113	113	+113	No	+$0	03-20 12:02
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 31	1	$112	112	+112	No	+$0	01-31 07:33
bitcoin above 54k on march 3	1	$112	112	+112	Yes	+$0	03-02 08:23
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on february 11	1	$112	112	+112	No	+$0	02-10 09:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 5	1	$112	112	+112	No	+$0	03-05 06:35
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$112	112	+112	No	+$0	01-27 08:15
ethereum above 2800 on february 4	1	$112	112	+112	No	+$0	02-03 06:52
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 9	1	$112	112	+112	No	+$0	03-09 06:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 100000 102000 on january 20	1	$112	112	+112	No	+$0	01-19 11:16
will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 17	1	$111	111	+111	No	+$0	01-17 07:41
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	1	$110	110	+110	Yes	+$0	05-21 07:51
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 9?	1	$110	110	+110	No	+$0	05-09 11:53
bitcoin above 72k on june 6 2026	1	$110	110	+110	No	+$0	06-05 10:35
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$110	110	+110	No	+$0	06-09 11:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 14:30:50	Will Solana dip to $30 in September?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfcff71…
09-23 14:27:31	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xebeaf6…
07-29 09:11:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4a1ece…
06-09 11:45:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x152e32…
06-05 10:35:37	bitcoin above 72k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe823ac…
05-25 08:44:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x14aa64…
05-21 07:51:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x5f77eb…
05-14 09:16:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xb8d74e…
05-09 11:53:11	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 9?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xcd9d59…
05-09 11:51:47	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x4a11ad…
05-05 11:31:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x8c3142…
05-05 11:31:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x1e5452…
04-28 07:28:44	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xc35e17…
04-25 06:11:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xa22514…
04-19 02:51:30	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 19	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xfa87d4…
04-16 08:32:54	ethereum above 2000 on april 17	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xe4d73b…
04-11 12:54:17	ethereum above 2100 on april 11	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x9c7b3d…
04-05 09:09:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 5	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xe51d16…
04-01 06:23:13	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xebdc91…
03-27 09:42:13	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 27	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x4debb4…
03-24 06:54:35	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 440 459	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x5f7af4…
03-20 12:02:17	ethereum above 2600 on march 21	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x138e38…
03-17 12:29:07	bitcoin above 70k on march 17	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xd90699…
03-14 12:45:33	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 16	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x30b743…
03-11 08:45:07	will the price of solana be between 50 60 on march 11	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x00bb42…
03-09 06:26:05	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 9	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x8c49c0…
03-05 06:35:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 5	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x1d566a…
03-02 08:23:43	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x2b2764…
02-10 09:27:05	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2600 on february 11	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x55dab2…
02-03 06:52:00	ethereum above 2800 on february 4	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x2a54d1…
01-31 07:33:08	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 31	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xb096d4…
01-27 08:15:23	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x98e117…
01-19 11:16:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 100000 102000 on january 20	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x1d54cd…
01-17 07:41:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 17	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x82cc7d…
01-17 07:40:38	bitcoin above 92k on january 17	No	BUY	1,167	0¢	$4	0x531f4b…
01-14 11:48:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 15	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xa08692…
01-14 11:47:42	will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	Yes	BUY	390	0¢	$1	0x706153…
01-14 11:47:18	ethereum above 3600 on january 14	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0x1ef089…
01-09 11:00:02	ethereum above 3400 on january 9	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x99134c…
01-09 10:59:38	bitcoin above 96k on january 9	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x9fbbd5…
01-05 07:35:25	bitcoin above 86k on january 5	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x01093d…
01-05 07:34:45	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 700 719	Yes	BUY	1,020	0¢	$2	0x83a5f2…
01-02 03:57:35	elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 560 579	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x58ff11…
01-02 03:57:23	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on january 2	Yes	BUY	580	0¢	$1	0xce54f1…