False-Certification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$845

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

Trades

5,106

lifetime

Volume

$290.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 05-23 20:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-845

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 2422 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 1 10am et	59	$11.1K	14,482	14,482	+0	open	—	03-01 17:05
btc updown 5m 1776784800	294	$9.0K	5,069	5,062	+6	open	—	04-21 15:23
btc updown 5m 1776706500	3	$6.7K	6,912	0	+6,912	open	—	04-20 17:38
btc updown 5m 1776779100	89	$5.0K	5,851	0	+5,851	open	—	04-21 13:47
btc updown 5m 1776705000	18	$4.7K	6,732	0	+6,732	open	—	04-20 17:14
btc updown 5m 1776770700	212	$4.6K	4,198	2,087	+2,111	open	—	04-21 11:29
btc updown 5m 1776706200	74	$4.3K	3,419	1,478	+1,941	open	—	04-20 17:34
btc updown 5m 1776792300	91	$4.1K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	04-21 17:29
btc updown 5m 1775824500	3	$4.0K	2,157	2,138	+19	open	—	04-10 12:40
btc updown 5m 1776082200	5	$3.8K	3,980	0	+3,980	open	—	04-13 12:14
btc updown 5m 1776703200	99	$3.8K	4,202	0	+4,202	open	—	04-20 16:42
btc updown 5m 1776705600	165	$3.7K	4,600	0	+4,600	open	—	04-20 17:22
btc updown 5m 1776702600	40	$3.7K	3,900	0	+3,900	open	—	04-20 16:34
btc updown 5m 1776775500	219	$3.6K	3,378	2,687	+691	open	—	04-21 12:49
btc updown 5m 1776770100	283	$3.6K	4,000	1,675	+2,325	open	—	04-21 11:18
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 12pm et	20	$3.4K	3,800	0	+3,800	open	—	04-09 16:44
btc updown 5m 1776704100	234	$3.4K	2,278	2,270	+7	open	—	04-20 16:59
btc updown 5m 1776109200	16	$3.3K	3,551	0	+3,551	open	—	04-13 19:43
btc updown 5m 1776286800	16	$3.2K	1,756	1,738	+18	open	—	04-15 21:04
btc updown 5m 1776781200	361	$3.1K	2,951	2,951	+0	open	—	04-21 14:24
btc updown 5m 1772388600	3	$3.0K	3,516	0	+3,516	open	—	03-01 18:14
btc updown 5m 1772389800	3	$3.0K	3,168	0	+3,168	open	—	03-01 18:33
btc updown 5m 1776111900	24	$3.0K	3,638	0	+3,638	open	—	04-13 20:28
bitcoin up or down march 1 1pm et	161	$3.0K	17,954	17,954	+0	open	—	03-01 18:54
btc updown 5m 1776285600	29	$2.9K	3,355	0	+3,355	open	—	04-15 20:43
btc updown 5m 1774286100	2	$2.9K	3,460	0	+3,460	open	—	03-23 17:17
btc updown 5m 1776174000	2	$2.8K	2,844	0	+2,844	open	—	04-14 13:42
btc updown 5m 1776790200	45	$2.8K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	04-21 16:51
btc updown 5m 1776776100	244	$2.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-21 12:59
btc updown 5m 1776775200	63	$2.6K	3,172	0	+3,172	open	—	04-21 12:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 20:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x9dbab7…
05-23 20:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x41e79e…
05-14 10:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x888709…
05-13 06:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xcc1c16…
05-13 06:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xa44603…
05-13 06:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0x6fe247…
05-13 06:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x3aa0e1…
05-13 06:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0x2788c7…
05-13 06:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x248a37…
05-13 06:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x5418d6…
05-13 06:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xf3accd…
05-13 06:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xee693c…
05-13 06:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe6fef1…
05-13 06:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2cab6b…
05-13 06:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x6d3f1d…
05-13 06:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x985793…
05-13 06:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x97aa36…
05-13 06:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x08836d…
05-13 06:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	590	10¢	$59	0x18c5ab…
05-13 06:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xee2276…
05-13 06:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xcbd693…
05-13 06:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xc13af7…
05-13 06:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xc86057…
05-13 06:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x17f86b…
05-13 06:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x9ff439…
05-13 06:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x8ea8c8…
05-13 06:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xdb28ec…
05-13 06:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0xa9f82f…
05-13 06:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	676	14¢	$98	0xba1976…
05-13 06:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	220	45¢	$100	0xc02927…
05-13 06:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	223	45¢	$100	0x6f43e9…
05-13 06:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x0fcc8b…
05-13 06:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xcb37c2…
05-13 06:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xfd5cbd…
05-13 06:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0xae7114…
05-13 06:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x20d710…
05-13 03:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x184842…
05-13 03:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	167	54¢	$90	0xf3b309…
05-13 02:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x2e8570…
05-13 02:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x3b3643…
05-13 02:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xee2602…
05-13 02:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x001162…
05-13 02:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x9835f3…
05-13 02:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xc8f0ce…
05-13 02:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0x17e924…
05-13 02:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x1d9cf2…
05-13 02:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xed918c…
05-13 02:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0x6cd303…
05-13 02:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x21fe8e…
05-13 02:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x57e19e…
05-13 02:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xab1d56…
05-13 02:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x874c48…
05-13 02:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x046b62…
05-13 02:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x73fcab…
05-13 02:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	146	68¢	$100	0xe040dd…
05-13 02:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xdaf786…
05-13 02:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xd610a9…
05-13 02:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x431f5d…
05-13 02:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x5a8228…
05-13 02:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0xab0dc6…
05-13 02:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0x305708…
05-13 02:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x6a473e…
05-13 02:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x0d3c1c…
05-13 02:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x0c00a9…
05-13 02:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x83d374…
05-13 02:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc6ddaf…
05-13 02:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd7c52d…
05-13 02:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x2bbff1…
05-12 22:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd62f7b…
05-12 22:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x8143a4…
05-12 22:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0xb13efa…
05-12 22:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x3b7f09…
05-12 22:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xbdd2ed…
05-12 22:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x914769…
05-12 22:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x8ecece…
05-12 22:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0xeff55b…
05-12 22:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xaf813b…
05-12 22:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xda5576…
05-12 22:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	57	57¢	$32	0x804958…
05-12 21:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	416	24¢	$100	0x7a7bdb…
05-12 21:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x24a886…
05-12 21:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xd21d48…
05-12 21:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	249	40¢	$100	0x8ea736…
05-12 21:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x547ce6…
05-12 21:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	48	66¢	$32	0xceed07…
05-12 21:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x572a84…
04-22 19:58:04	btc updown 5m 1776887700	Up	BUY	352	83¢	$293	0xd90efd…
04-22 19:57:50	btc updown 5m 1776887700	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x5dd0c4…
04-22 19:57:48	btc updown 5m 1776887700	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xb7e844…
04-22 02:20:36	btc updown 5m 1776824400	Down	BUY	155	64¢	$100	0x9a6100…
04-22 02:20:32	btc updown 5m 1776824400	Down	BUY	171	58¢	$100	0xe3bb4e…
04-22 02:20:30	btc updown 5m 1776824400	Down	BUY	177	56¢	$100	0x13fca1…
04-21 19:52:52	btc updown 5m 1776801000	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x97b9a8…
04-21 19:42:12	btc updown 5m 1776800400	Up	SELL	465	4¢	$19	0xcf49db…
04-21 19:41:40	btc updown 5m 1776800400	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xb7c90b…
04-21 19:41:34	btc updown 5m 1776800400	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x48b443…
04-21 19:19:50	btc updown 5m 1776798900	Down	SELL	13	50¢	$6	0x28ea9c…
04-21 19:19:48	btc updown 5m 1776798900	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xfabc8a…
04-21 19:19:48	btc updown 5m 1776798900	Down	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0xf0e842…
04-21 19:19:48	btc updown 5m 1776798900	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xec0918…