False-Certification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.74K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.9%

Resolved

455

Trades

7,442

lifetime

Volume

$584.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 09-09 19:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 57% -$1,557

Other

8% 29% -$5,185

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	27	$22.6K	12,129	12,129	+0	England	+$1,637	07-11 23:54
bitcoin up or down march 1 10am et	59	$11.1K	14,482	14,482	+0	Down	+$10,875	03-01 17:05
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	79	$10.5K	19,846	19,846	+0	open	—	09-09 19:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:20 UTC	294	$9.0K	5,069	5,062	+6	Down	+$117	04-21 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 15:00 UTC	15	$8.0K	8,643	0	+8,643	Down	+$643	07-12 15:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:35 UTC	3	$6.7K	6,912	0	+6,912	Up	+$164	04-20 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 10:55 UTC	111	$6.6K	7,555	0	+7,555	Up	+$975	07-12 10:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:45 UTC	8	$6.2K	6,437	0	+6,437	Down	+$218	07-12 13:48
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	11	$6.0K	10,374	0	+10,374	Yes	+$4,331	07-10 19:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 10:35 UTC	7	$5.5K	6,467	0	+6,467	Down	+$954	07-12 10:38
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	11	$5.5K	19,000	3,000	+16,000	Spain	-$3,177	07-14 20:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 20:30 UTC	8	$5.5K	4,055	4,055	+0	Up	-$548	07-15 20:34
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	2	$5.1K	3,861	3,861	+0	England	-$989	07-18 22:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 13:45 UTC	89	$5.0K	5,851	0	+5,851	Down	+$851	04-21 13:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:50 UTC	78	$4.8K	2,758	2,757	+0	Down	+$630	07-16 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:10 UTC	18	$4.7K	6,732	0	+6,732	Up	-$712	04-20 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 11:25 UTC	212	$4.6K	4,198	2,087	+2,111	Down	+$1,035	04-21 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 23:20 UTC	9	$4.5K	5,924	0	+5,924	Up	+$1,424	07-12 23:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 21:00 UTC	9	$4.5K	5,291	0	+5,291	Down	+$791	07-14 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:30 UTC	74	$4.3K	3,419	1,478	+1,941	Down	+$519	04-20 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:50 UTC	20	$4.3K	4,691	0	+4,691	Up	+$419	07-12 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:25 UTC	91	$4.1K	5,000	0	+5,000	Up	-$4,100	04-21 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 12:35 UTC	3	$4.0K	2,157	2,138	+19	Down	+$236	04-10 12:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:30 UTC	4	$4.0K	4,343	0	+4,343	Up	+$343	07-12 05:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:20 UTC	8	$4.0K	4,501	0	+4,501	Down	-$4,000	07-17 13:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 12:10 UTC	5	$3.8K	3,980	0	+3,980	Down	+$180	04-13 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 16:40 UTC	99	$3.8K	4,202	0	+4,202	Up	+$402	04-20 16:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 14:55 UTC	54	$3.7K	5,020	0	+5,020	Down	+$1,284	07-12 14:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 17:20 UTC	165	$3.7K	4,600	0	+4,600	Down	+$873	04-20 17:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 16:30 UTC	40	$3.7K	3,900	0	+3,900	Up	+$235	04-20 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 19:30:57	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	3,486	28¢	$976	0x945eb0…
09-09 18:40:57	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,806	34¢	$614	0x5d4c5d…
09-09 18:32:52	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,286	34¢	$437	0x1579b1…
09-09 18:22:51	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0x1f77b4…
09-09 17:04:27	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	112	34¢	$38	0xf4e2ae…
09-09 12:52:31	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	737	34¢	$251	0x9bc9b8…
09-09 11:45:43	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	630	34¢	$214	0x1fa3b4…
09-09 09:30:22	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x469aa4…
09-09 08:49:01	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	71	30¢	$21	0x47cbf2…
09-09 08:46:51	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	461	30¢	$138	0x516afd…
09-09 08:45:01	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,860	30¢	$558	0xb100ee…
09-09 08:44:46	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,151	30¢	$345	0xad62f7…
09-09 08:26:39	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	201	30¢	$60	0xbe709d…
09-09 08:26:01	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	294	30¢	$88	0x290ae0…
09-09 08:25:55	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	495	30¢	$149	0x9dff82…
09-09 08:16:45	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	131	30¢	$39	0xf93cfd…
09-08 22:36:58	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x5c4ea4…
09-08 22:36:52	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,690	43¢	$727	0x85cefb…
09-08 22:36:49	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	993	42¢	$417	0x6d2dbf…
09-08 21:25:34	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x6eee33…
09-08 21:23:09	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xa8fa7b…
09-08 15:08:24	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	700	30¢	$210	0x2433f8…
09-08 15:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	30	56¢	$17	0x6e2205…
09-08 15:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd92051…
09-08 15:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x458ee0…
09-08 14:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xac2a5d…
09-08 14:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x9fa5e5…
09-08 14:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xc1a49b…
09-08 14:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb23f28…
09-08 14:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x45aa86…
09-08 14:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x578933…
09-08 14:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0x88215b…
09-08 14:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x665b39…
09-08 13:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xcf0a6e…
09-08 13:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xe0dc97…
09-08 13:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x26ba7e…
09-08 13:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x970646…
09-08 13:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	255	39¢	$100	0x50ce69…
09-08 13:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	741	1¢	$10	0x66b128…
09-08 13:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x931c42…
09-08 13:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	734	77¢	$565	0x1ae10f…
09-08 13:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	734	68¢	$500	0x8c9f43…
09-08 13:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	676	74¢	$500	0x12a771…
09-08 13:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	663	75¢	$500	0x0072fc…
09-08 13:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	663	75¢	$500	0x659b2d…
09-08 13:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	641	78¢	$500	0x8cb63e…
09-08 13:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0xd7b1c9…
09-08 13:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	617	81¢	$500	0x042210…
09-08 12:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	243	76¢	$184	0xa5d6af…
09-08 12:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1,414	82¢	$1,156	0x7dc7cf…
09-08 12:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,013	49¢	$500	0xa18303…
09-08 12:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	645	78¢	$500	0x0846c4…
09-08 12:11:19	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	692	19¢	$132	0xad35f7…
09-08 12:10:01	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x3b44e4…
09-08 12:09:28	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	58	19¢	$11	0x20255b…
09-08 12:08:55	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xbd7b2d…
09-08 12:08:55	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0x97422d…
09-08 12:08:51	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x648516…
09-08 12:08:49	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	63	19¢	$12	0x357c7e…
09-08 12:08:46	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x8e3d5e…
09-08 12:08:46	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x6413ae…
09-08 12:08:43	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	2,016	19¢	$383	0x691468…
09-08 12:08:43	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x19488c…
09-08 12:07:39	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x740ac4…
09-08 12:06:22	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	541	19¢	$103	0xa481ea…
09-08 12:05:42	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x24206a…
09-08 12:05:31	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,299	19¢	$247	0xb7602d…
09-08 12:04:39	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0xc569fe…
09-08 12:04:10	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x25721a…
09-08 12:01:33	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x2ab594…
09-08 12:01:09	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	750	19¢	$142	0x9c1fad…
09-08 11:57:27	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	220	19¢	$42	0x5ede4c…
09-08 11:56:10	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,535	19¢	$292	0xa6239a…
09-08 11:48:15	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	37	19¢	$7	0x90ec2a…
09-08 11:48:01	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	526	19¢	$100	0xfe6014…
09-08 11:47:16	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	526	19¢	$100	0xc331ae…
09-08 11:46:55	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	53	19¢	$10	0x30453a…
09-08 11:46:25	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	53	19¢	$10	0x1b2402…
09-08 11:31:55	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	2,483	19¢	$472	0x651a62…
09-08 11:24:52	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	121	19¢	$23	0xd382d8…
08-31 13:56:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x69481f…
08-26 18:20:03	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	424	20¢	$85	0x12f636…
08-26 18:17:16	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xdce987…
08-26 18:07:31	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0xf2dfb5…
08-26 18:04:25	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	21¢	$210	0xb41202…
08-26 17:29:01	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x9ea23e…
08-26 17:24:42	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xd2e91a…
08-26 16:39:49	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0x11abe9…
08-26 16:32:04	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	884	25¢	$221	0xf049cf…
08-26 16:24:07	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	519	26¢	$135	0x6f98ba…
08-26 16:21:01	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	104	26¢	$27	0x295102…
08-26 15:13:01	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	260	26¢	$68	0xac84c3…
08-26 12:51:42	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	64	26¢	$17	0x3f2e11…
08-26 12:38:42	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	47	26¢	$12	0xeee49e…
08-26 12:18:42	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x6e592b…
08-26 11:53:54	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	268	27¢	$72	0x43d37c…
08-26 10:46:12	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xf5d35c…
08-26 10:25:19	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	232	27¢	$63	0x4c67ae…
08-26 10:17:52	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	400	27¢	$108	0xc167fc…
08-26 10:17:28	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	719	28¢	$201	0xb417dc…