Ornate-Bow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved

273

Trades

302

lifetime

Volume

$19.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 10-30 08:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Other

98% 98% +$23

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	10	$273	190	190	+0	Yes	+$1	02-18 07:33
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 18c	2	$214	214	0	+214	Yes	+$0	04-08 12:22
highest temperature in nyc on april 12 2026 54 55f	1	$207	208	0	+208	Yes	+$0	04-12 21:18
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 14 2026 25c	1	$207	207	0	+207	Yes	+$0	04-14 20:59
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 13 2026 27c	1	$207	207	0	+207	Yes	+$0	04-13 19:46
highest temperature in shanghai on april 14 2026 17c	1	$206	206	0	+206	Yes	+$0	04-14 11:02
highest temperature in london on march 5 2026 18c	1	$203	203	0	+203	Yes	+$0	03-05 23:31
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 5 2026 28c	1	$203	203	0	+203	Yes	+$0	04-05 19:12
highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 26c	1	$202	203	0	+203	No	+$0	04-05 08:49
highest temperature in beijing on april 4 2026 18c	1	$202	202	0	+202	Yes	+$0	04-04 10:02
highest temperature in paris on april 3 2026 14c	1	$202	202	0	+202	No	+$0	04-03 20:36
highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 17c	1	$201	202	0	+202	Yes	+$0	04-03 14:10
highest temperature in beijing on april 2 2026 23c	1	$201	201	0	+201	No	+$0	04-02 09:03
highest temperature in lucknow on april 11 2026 35c	1	$201	202	0	+202	Yes	+$1	04-11 11:42
highest temperature in munich on april 4 2026 13c	1	$201	201	0	+201	Yes	+$0	04-04 19:24
highest temperature in paris on april 1 2026 11c	1	$201	201	0	+201	Yes	+$0	04-01 19:33
highest temperature in nyc on april 10 2026 60 61f	1	$201	201	0	+201	No	+$0	04-10 20:55
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 30 2026 29c	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	03-30 21:27
highest temperature in paris on april 8 2026 24c	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	04-08 19:25
highest temperature in london on march 29 2026 11c	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	03-29 21:22
highest temperature in lucknow on march 29 2026 35c	1	$199	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	03-29 12:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 23c	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$0	04-01 08:22
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 30corhigher	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$0	04-09 09:52
highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 42 43f	1	$199	199	0	+199	Yes	+$0	03-29 00:03
highest temperature in shanghai on april 7 2026 17c	1	$199	199	0	+199	Yes	+$0	04-07 09:01
highest temperature in lucknow on march 28 2026 33c	1	$199	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	03-28 11:34
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 9 2026 27c	2	$199	199	0	+199	Yes	+$0	04-09 20:15
highest temperature in lucknow on march 30 2026 40c	1	$199	199	0	+199	No	+$0	03-30 11:37
highest temperature in ankara on march 27 2026 17c	1	$199	199	0	+199	No	+$0	03-27 15:07
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 7 2026 28c	4	$198	199	0	+199	Yes	+$0	04-07 20:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 08:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbe984d…
10-29 11:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xadf667…
10-29 01:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x2aa471…
10-22 05:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x020872…
10-20 05:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb45048…
10-18 12:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 18?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$66	0xa73304…
10-17 15:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 17?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x0a8acb…
10-10 11:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 11?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$59	0xcd3e49…
10-09 11:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 9?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x9ed78e…
10-04 18:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 4?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xc2d7ed…
09-30 22:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b132a…
09-28 18:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 29?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x892017…
09-25 11:20:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1101d1…
09-21 18:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 21?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0ce1c2…
09-20 21:57:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 20?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x30e11b…
09-20 07:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd68370…
09-08 05:59:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x217a2c…
09-07 12:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 7?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x43ac23…
09-06 21:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 6?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x9d987b…
09-05 20:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C on September 6?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x5ffb2f…
09-02 17:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 3?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0xc57a34…
08-27 16:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 27?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x517de2…
08-21 15:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 22?	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0x93291c…
08-18 21:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x328fa4…
08-18 21:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 18?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xdfb4b3…
08-15 15:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd2a94f…
08-12 06:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x737e87…
08-10 12:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 10?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeed04e…
08-09 16:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 9?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x51ada9…
08-07 22:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 7?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0x0dd933…
08-06 22:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 7?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$183	0xf0fa00…
08-03 12:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on August 3?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x54bdfe…
08-02 09:46:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 2?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8951e4…
08-01 19:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 1?	No	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x8cef43…
08-01 18:56:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 1?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8cab9c…
08-01 02:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbbd33a…
07-31 11:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x1df86a…
07-30 14:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe26968…
07-29 13:51:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18e2ef…
07-28 18:29:26	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 28?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf3b4e0…
07-27 05:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0xb138ec…
07-26 22:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 26?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x767ab1…
07-24 11:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 24?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x60f318…
07-23 01:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf9a27d…
07-20 15:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 21?	No	BUY	196	100¢	$195	0x9ece5b…
07-19 17:36:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on July 19?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8abb54…
07-18 15:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 18?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c1afc…
07-15 21:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on July 15?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x4d8929…
07-14 16:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0xab9ae5…
07-11 06:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb3a86b…
07-10 14:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4f03d7…
07-09 12:49:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on July 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1026ed…
07-08 19:08:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on July 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x787c6a…
07-08 04:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xebcf72…
07-07 17:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 7?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50ef1a…
07-07 01:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 7?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x19638f…
07-06 09:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3c0604…
07-05 17:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 5?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x3c2850…
07-05 07:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8d7278…
07-04 17:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 4?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x483f57…
07-04 16:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on July 5?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x0424df…
07-03 16:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on July 4?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0xd972f6…
07-03 08:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9be6e4…
07-02 13:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 2?	No	BUY	198	100¢	$197	0x9f48d9…
07-01 05:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 1?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x94d4d1…
06-30 18:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 30?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x86ee30…
06-29 21:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on June 30?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x77ec42…
06-29 08:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or below on June 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x13ccd9…
06-28 19:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e99b3…
06-28 04:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on June 28?	No	BUY	186	100¢	$185	0x7675e0…
06-27 18:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xec11b4…
06-27 05:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 27?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0x19b09b…
06-26 14:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on June 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb906e3…
06-25 23:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 25?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1aa22c…
06-25 09:56:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d6599…
06-24 18:50:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 24?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x44cad5…
06-24 02:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 24?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x94b1ba…
06-23 16:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 23?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x6f4ec6…
06-22 13:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x80831a…
06-21 16:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 21?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x3c70ee…
06-21 07:14:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 21?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x71c04a…
06-20 21:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x121595…
06-20 10:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf142ea…
06-20 01:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 19?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xba4899…
06-19 12:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 19?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x33f92e…
06-19 06:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 19?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xc70b35…
06-17 20:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe3bbf4…
06-16 23:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 16?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0x7882f8…
06-16 11:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 16?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x7fd596…
06-15 06:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 15?	No	BUY	197	100¢	$196	0xba2791…
06-14 22:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 14?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x031c78…
06-13 16:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 14?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0xd58dae…
06-13 01:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 12?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x622999…
06-12 10:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 12?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0xacbb00…
06-10 08:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 10?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x07b396…
06-09 18:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 9?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x1d248e…
06-09 02:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 9?	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0x221b86…
06-08 05:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 8?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd6b3da…
06-07 16:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on June 8?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0x843b6a…
06-06 17:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on June 7?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0xda3b9b…