Realized P&L
-$10.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$75
Hit rate
53.7%
Resolved
6,495
Trades
22,803
lifetime
Volume
$527.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$1.38K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 21:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 251 days
Categories
Other
80% 62% -$6,711
Crypto
8% 47% -$923
Politics
7% 35% -$2,037
Tech
4% 61% -$640
Sports
1% 55% -$566
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$27
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +700 $193 96¢ $673 +$480 05-22 13:36
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +200 $184 94¢ $189 +$5 07-07 17:43
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +200 $165 79¢ $157 -$8 06-28 23:59
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -150 -$104 82¢ $-123 -$20 06-07 23:39
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +105 $108 99¢ $104 -$4 06-13 14:28
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +200 $39 21¢ $43 +$4 07-08 14:47
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -150 -$45 18¢ $-27 +$18 06-07 21:22
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +700 $496 4¢ $27 -$469 05-22 01:44
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 No +23 $45 100¢ $23 -$22 07-07 18:07
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 No +200 $48 6¢ $11 -$37 07-01 05:20
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes +100 $16 6¢ $6 -$10 05-01 14:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +105 $6 1¢ $1 -$5 06-13 08:12
Ledger IPO before 2027? Yes -20 -$3 4¢ $-1 +$2 07-04 19:40
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 Yes +23 $8 0¢ $0 -$8 07-07 05:27