Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$330

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,169

lifetime

Volume

$846.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$724

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 03-28 23:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

56% 100% +$330

Other

44% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	158	$188.1K	202,590	0	+202,590	open	—	03-13 18:59
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	68	$115.4K	130,000	0	+130,000	open	—	03-09 01:20
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	240	$98.8K	168,431	31,810	+136,621	open	—	03-28 18:21
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	201	$84.9K	320,686	100,000	+220,686	open	—	02-27 21:50
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	81	$67.2K	88,780	0	+88,780	open	—	03-09 01:35
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	42	$51.0K	110,975	0	+110,975	open	—	02-27 11:20
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	66	$48.2K	32,179	40,000	-7,821	open	—	03-28 19:33
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	81	$38.2K	71,540	31,000	+40,541	open	—	02-27 21:51
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	8	$37.7K	39,015	0	+39,015	open	—	02-28 20:25
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	58	$19.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	02-16 17:13
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	26	$17.1K	37,000	0	+37,000	open	—	02-16 18:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	19	$16.7K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	02-28 22:01
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	28	$10.0K	37,270	0	+37,270	open	—	02-27 21:51
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	10	$9.5K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	02-28 19:53
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	14	$9.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	02-28 19:55
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	3	$8.3K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	02-28 20:03
will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	4	$6.5K	6,686	0	+6,686	open	—	03-04 18:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$4.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$190	03-28 23:36
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-09 14:25
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	38	$3.5K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	02-19 15:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	7	$3.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$140	03-21 12:15
will iran strike israel on march 2	2	$2.6K	2,974	0	+2,974	open	—	03-01 18:25
will iran strike israel on march 3	5	$2.1K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	03-03 11:51
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	4	$198	202	0	+202	open	—	03-03 20:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-28 23:36:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	69¢	$690	0x162ef2…
03-28 19:33:52	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	36,263	67¢	$24,297	0x180136…
03-28 19:10:44	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,770	67¢	$1,186	0x73bf2b…
03-28 19:08:10	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x46a611…
03-28 19:08:02	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	75	67¢	$50	0x3980f5…
03-28 19:06:54	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xa3d9f0…
03-28 18:59:20	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,887	67¢	$1,264	0x1bfbff…
03-28 18:21:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x06481a…
03-21 12:15:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,121	85¢	$953	0x676c1f…
03-21 11:10:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0xfdf730…
03-21 11:01:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	219	85¢	$186	0x966d2c…
03-21 10:59:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	85¢	$425	0xe505b0…
03-21 10:50:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	79	85¢	$67	0x4f6101…
03-21 10:32:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	71	85¢	$60	0x189ba7…
03-13 18:59:59	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	7,286	97¢	$7,067	0x690934…
03-13 18:59:05	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	83	97¢	$80	0x5ee0fc…
03-13 18:51:45	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x5feb50…
03-13 18:49:55	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x7c061e…
03-13 18:48:43	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x43c76e…
03-13 18:48:05	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xf7f179…
03-13 18:48:05	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xca525c…
03-13 18:48:05	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xab3211…
03-13 18:48:05	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x9e2b70…
03-13 18:48:05	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x835939…
03-13 18:48:05	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x6dee39…
03-13 18:48:05	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x50a155…
03-13 18:48:05	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x2d2c52…
03-13 18:48:05	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	325	97¢	$315	0x159571…
03-13 18:48:03	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x9d7d01…
03-13 18:48:03	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x93a71f…
03-13 18:48:03	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x66a16a…
03-13 18:48:03	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x54d8a2…
03-11 03:07:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	4,867	32¢	$1,557	0xc558e5…
03-11 02:56:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	1,946	32¢	$623	0x003995…
03-11 02:46:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	1,562	32¢	$500	0x08539d…
03-11 02:46:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	1,416	32¢	$453	0x0eaef1…
03-11 02:42:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	312	32¢	$100	0x33bd00…
03-11 02:39:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	500	32¢	$160	0x71fc40…
03-11 02:38:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	485	32¢	$155	0xd80d1b…
03-11 02:38:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	1,550	32¢	$496	0x1e6ea7…
03-11 02:38:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	1,562	32¢	$500	0x5bd728…
03-11 02:38:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	1,562	32¢	$500	0x8141e0…
03-11 02:37:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	899	32¢	$288	0xe9b23e…
03-11 02:36:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	3,350	32¢	$1,072	0x6866fc…
03-11 02:28:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x770dfc…
03-11 02:05:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0x892e65…
03-11 02:05:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0x4706c7…
03-11 02:05:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	34	32¢	$11	0xa5b185…
03-11 02:05:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0x5ccf1f…
03-11 02:04:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0xc182b5…
03-11 02:04:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	52	32¢	$17	0x67d0ef…
03-11 02:04:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	265	32¢	$85	0xcbe78e…
03-11 02:03:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	585	32¢	$187	0x2c5f82…
03-11 02:00:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x1bafe8…
03-11 01:59:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	469	32¢	$150	0x93abbd…
03-11 01:57:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	3,094	32¢	$990	0x66314f…
03-11 01:50:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x200bd0…
03-09 21:52:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	3,358	32¢	$1,075	0xbacacc…
03-09 21:50:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	3,124	32¢	$1,000	0xb4bf1b…
03-09 21:49:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	14	32¢	$5	0xfc85d3…
03-09 21:48:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x75763c…
03-09 21:48:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	501	32¢	$160	0xd286df…
03-09 21:41:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x5e7279…
03-09 21:40:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	28	32¢	$9	0xdfac6f…
03-09 21:40:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	82	32¢	$26	0x8bc27a…
03-09 21:39:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	21	32¢	$7	0x1a38a9…
03-09 18:43:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	11,249	69¢	$7,762	0xe5d771…
03-09 18:43:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x8dcace…
03-09 18:43:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x8123e0…
03-09 18:42:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xcbb7b9…
03-09 18:42:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xb3e2f2…
03-09 18:41:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x037772…
03-09 18:41:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x5e1feb…
03-09 18:41:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xaca202…
03-09 18:41:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa3cdaf…
03-09 18:41:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb9389d…
03-09 18:41:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x85df49…
03-09 18:41:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xec3813…
03-09 18:40:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x396dee…
03-09 18:40:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x19e7fa…
03-09 18:40:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x48ca41…
03-09 18:40:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb31fe0…
03-09 18:40:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x1f40de…
03-09 18:40:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x123f27…
03-09 18:40:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x44ab0b…
03-09 18:40:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x268612…
03-09 18:40:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x169d7e…
03-09 18:40:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xa12bba…
03-09 18:40:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	28,308	69¢	$19,457	0xa3ec0b…
03-09 18:40:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x96d2d6…
03-09 18:40:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x755fb7…
03-09 18:40:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	67	69¢	$46	0x3cce11…
03-09 18:39:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	35,000	67¢	$23,493	0x01a24d…
03-09 14:25:53	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	2,000	98¢	$1,968	0x384243…
03-09 13:27:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	62¢	$1,860	0x136389…
03-09 07:24:27	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6,021	65¢	$3,914	0x510bc2…
03-09 07:15:51	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	389	65¢	$253	0xfa2d9a…
03-09 06:41:13	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x14000a…
03-09 06:33:13	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	106	65¢	$69	0x0e9b19…
03-09 06:30:23	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	59	65¢	$39	0xd3e586…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	24	$8.80M	13,339	05-09 12:49
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	24	$313.0K	5,000	05-08 17:02
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	24	$51.2K	4,330	03-28 06:05
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	23	$93.8K	8,061	04-29 17:28
milize 0x076c…4e7b	22	$772.1K	7,082	05-04 17:18
(anonymous) 0xbdf4…59b4	22	$228.2K	2,888	04-11 21:37
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	22	$158.0K	1,230	05-08 19:12
(anonymous) 0x5449…992b	22	$4.02K	2,105	05-09 19:34