Inborn-Incidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$67.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.8%

Resolved

166

Trades

1,966

lifetime

Volume

$904.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$460

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 10-05 18:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Other

96% 43% -$42,605

Sports

4% 25% -$24,680

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 150 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	150	$30.6K	40,854	40,854	+0	Yes	+$1,226	09-24 18:20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?	10	$26.0K	16,653	16,653	+0	No	+$7,302	05-10 15:08
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-30?	2	$25.0K	43,021	0	+43,021	Yes	-$24,952	08-30 18:46
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	19	$23.5K	15,760	15,760	+0	No	+$8,022	05-09 13:44
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?	7	$23.0K	37,100	0	+37,100	No	+$14,098	09-08 16:07
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11?	1	$19.3K	36,340	0	+36,340	Yes	-$19,260	09-11 18:13
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-13?	2	$18.8K	40,000	0	+40,000	Yes	-$18,800	09-13 15:41
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?	1	$17.5K	35,640	0	+35,640	No	+$18,176	09-06 12:56
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-05?	10	$17.4K	32,260	0	+32,260	No	+$14,840	09-05 13:09
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-13?	1	$17.3K	40,250	0	+40,250	No	+$22,942	09-13 11:42
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-15?	22	$16.7K	20,000	8,000	+12,000	Yes	-$7,279	08-15 17:37
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?	16	$15.5K	10,241	10,241	+0	No	+$5,008	05-23 18:04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	1	$15.0K	42,840	0	+42,840	Yes	-$14,994	08-31 18:28
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)	1	$14.9K	32,300	0	+32,300	Chargers	-$14,858	10-04 20:15
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	1	$14.6K	29,850	0	+29,850	Yes	-$14,626	09-26 13:13
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?	2	$14.6K	37,491	0	+37,491	Yes	-$14,621	09-09 18:52
epl ars bou 2026 04 11 ars	4	$12.0K	9,060	9,060	+0	No	+$6,061	04-11 15:35
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?	2	$11.9K	19,840	0	+19,840	No	+$7,936	08-20 18:11
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	1	$11.8K	22,660	0	+22,660	Yes	-$11,783	06-19 00:59
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?	14	$11.7K	9,600	9,600	+0	No	+$7,478	05-02 16:09
Spread: Bills (-7.5)	16	$11.5K	25,928	0	+25,928	Patriots	-$11,508	10-04 16:58
bun b04 aug 2026 04 18 b04	3	$11.0K	8,520	8,520	+0	No	+$6,041	04-18 16:09
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?	2	$10.3K	19,440	0	+19,440	Yes	-$10,303	05-17 16:07
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-08-23?	1	$10.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	Yes	-$10,000	08-23 15:07
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	1	$9.8K	19,215	0	+19,215	No	+$9,415	06-14 19:53
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17?	72	$9.7K	17,920	0	+17,920	Yes	-$9,677	09-17 18:12
epl new sun 2026 03 22 new	2	$9.6K	8,900	6,000	+2,900	No	+$5,245	03-22 15:32
Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	31	$9.3K	14,597	0	+14,597	Yes	-$9,342	10-05 18:33
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	42	$9.3K	16,720	0	+16,720	No	+$7,407	06-25 22:11
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?	1	$9.1K	17,850	0	+17,850	No	+$8,746	08-16 14:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 18:33:43	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	69	64¢	$44	0x323d74…
10-05 18:31:14	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	265	64¢	$169	0x6ea3fe…
10-05 18:30:41	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xd37a08…
10-05 18:30:32	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1c6d09…
10-05 18:30:19	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	52	64¢	$33	0x19b5ec…
10-05 18:30:08	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	26	64¢	$17	0xd8d892…
10-05 18:30:02	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb6899a…
10-05 18:29:23	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xa17cdd…
10-05 18:29:02	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xfe6c74…
10-05 18:28:44	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	65	64¢	$42	0x4e6de2…
10-05 18:26:55	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x40f3ac…
10-05 18:26:25	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	8,079	64¢	$5,171	0x809f27…
10-05 18:25:49	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8c36ec…
10-05 18:25:23	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x210874…
10-05 18:24:28	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	1,277	64¢	$817	0x32e6ff…
10-05 18:23:22	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x08a60b…
10-05 18:22:55	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	1,033	64¢	$661	0x1f2d08…
10-05 18:21:50	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	560	64¢	$358	0x74bcf3…
10-05 18:21:05	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	272	64¢	$174	0x71f93e…
10-05 18:19:37	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	267	64¢	$171	0x393d28…
10-05 18:19:32	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	819	64¢	$524	0x721cad…
10-05 18:10:17	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	56	64¢	$36	0xbc8975…
10-05 18:08:07	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x136564…
10-05 18:07:17	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	56	64¢	$36	0xb8a618…
10-05 18:06:28	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	54	64¢	$35	0xd81bcb…
10-05 18:04:28	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	278	64¢	$178	0x4e7a2a…
10-05 18:02:13	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	1,250	64¢	$800	0xf53e60…
10-05 17:57:05	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd4dff9…
10-05 17:56:02	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa867b2…
10-05 17:55:16	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x559425…
10-05 17:55:13	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x4ed31c…
10-04 20:15:50	Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)	Seahawks	BUY	32,300	46¢	$14,858	0xffd165…
10-04 16:59:52	Spread: Cardinals (-2.5)	Cardinals	BUY	10,500	50¢	$5,250	0xfd2311…
10-04 16:58:58	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Bills	BUY	1	44¢	$1	0xce2472…
10-04 16:58:52	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Bills	BUY	10,000	45¢	$4,500	0xc1f48d…
10-04 16:56:02	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Bills	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xc3f94d…
10-04 16:55:50	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Bills	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3e88e4…
10-04 16:49:44	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Bills	BUY	606	44¢	$266	0x0804f8…
10-04 16:46:25	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Bills	BUY	266	44¢	$117	0x155831…
10-04 16:46:14	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Bills	BUY	128	44¢	$56	0x452aba…
10-04 16:45:44	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Bills	BUY	217	44¢	$95	0xa09177…
10-04 16:45:34	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Bills	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6ed820…
10-04 16:45:28	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Bills	BUY	132	44¢	$58	0x566d59…
10-04 16:44:20	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Bills	BUY	432	44¢	$190	0xa63e99…
10-04 16:44:20	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Bills	BUY	360	44¢	$158	0x27ac7b…
10-04 16:44:02	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Bills	BUY	885	44¢	$389	0x0821a4…
10-04 16:43:14	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Bills	BUY	750	44¢	$330	0x9715ff…
10-04 16:42:49	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Bills	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xcfbef9…
10-04 16:42:35	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Bills	BUY	11,899	44¢	$5,236	0x6d7e94…
10-03 12:57:50	Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x5bf981…
10-02 18:45:57	Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	63	58¢	$37	0x27e77a…
10-02 18:45:51	Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x2bd2f6…
10-02 18:45:44	Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	1,152	58¢	$668	0x5a3147…
10-02 18:45:23	Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	161	58¢	$93	0xa2d440…
10-02 18:45:02	Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x135b98…
10-02 16:56:53	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	48	13¢	$6	0x897606…
10-02 16:52:14	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x85c527…
10-02 16:44:51	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x0be212…
10-02 16:44:30	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x2a58e0…
10-02 16:42:24	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x125fea…
10-02 16:39:17	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0xf42d11…
10-02 16:38:29	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xfdfd99…
10-02 16:38:14	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	384	13¢	$50	0xb3227e…
10-02 16:36:51	Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	196	19¢	$37	0x77c39c…
10-02 16:28:50	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x8af4a4…
10-02 16:25:11	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xac3c14…
10-02 16:25:06	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xd7c633…
10-02 16:21:56	Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x817b08…
10-02 16:10:00	Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xabf4c3…
10-02 16:00:53	Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xa5ba12…
10-02 16:00:45	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x38ced8…
10-02 15:58:57	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x004f4a…
10-02 15:58:42	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x83e46c…
10-02 15:56:05	Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x86a6a3…
10-02 15:54:26	Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xff09fa…
10-02 15:34:57	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x619ed8…
10-02 15:30:44	Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x27e85a…
10-02 15:28:44	Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	59	19¢	$11	0x1137c4…
10-02 15:13:02	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xedd0b7…
10-02 15:11:32	Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xf79b7d…
10-02 15:08:33	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	95	13¢	$12	0xbe9749…
10-02 15:08:23	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x858645…
10-02 15:08:23	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x44414e…
10-02 15:08:21	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	1,878	13¢	$244	0x03825e…
10-02 15:07:21	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	88	13¢	$11	0xd6a624…
10-02 15:03:59	Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	19¢	$12	0x295520…
10-02 14:59:00	Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	110	19¢	$21	0x91e76c…
10-02 14:45:38	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	83	13¢	$11	0x69fa08…
10-02 14:31:18	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x3b85e3…
10-02 14:20:11	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	230	13¢	$30	0xb4628c…
10-02 14:10:24	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x5b9272…
10-02 14:10:23	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	194	13¢	$25	0x9f0696…
10-01 18:32:14	Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	4,239	43¢	$1,823	0xf726df…
10-01 18:32:14	Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	1,111	43¢	$478	0xaad4eb…
09-28 15:43:56	Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	97	57¢	$55	0xf5c526…
09-28 15:43:32	Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	542	57¢	$309	0xb082d4…
09-28 15:42:56	Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0xe3074a…
09-28 15:42:02	Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xfb21d5…
09-28 15:41:48	Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	150	57¢	$85	0x75b420…
09-28 15:41:27	Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	2,672	57¢	$1,523	0x61a839…