Homely-Recession — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$76

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 07-05 12:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

74% 50% -$9

Other

20% 43% -$7

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	7	$30	14,830	14,830	+0	No	+$0	05-29 17:13
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$14	11,290	2,470	+8,820	No	-$9	05-31 09:33
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	1	$4	6	0	+6	Yes	-$4	07-05 12:19
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	$0	01-16 10:04
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$3	1,540	1,540	+0	No	+$0	05-29 17:16
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-04 19:59
trump out as president by march 31	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-31 15:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$3	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-04 19:59
will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	01-16 10:03
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	06-13 16:55
will bad bunny perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	01-16 10:05
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-16 10:07
will paul thomas anderson be nominated for best director at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	01-16 10:06
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	1	$1	21	0	+21	Yes	-$1	01-16 10:04
will ppso win the most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	01-16 10:05
will the price of xrp be between 1pt70 1pt80 on january 21	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-16 10:06
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	01-16 10:05
Will Israel strike 1 country in 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-16 10:06
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	-$1	01-16 10:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 12:19:05	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x8cfcd4…
07-04 19:59:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe69166…
07-04 19:59:28	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x92d8c5…
06-13 16:55:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x8eb6e2…
06-13 16:55:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8956f8…
06-13 16:55:06	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6578f4…
05-31 09:33:49	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8,820	0¢	$9	0x58fdf7…
05-29 17:16:27	Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,540	0¢	$2	0xead03a…
05-29 17:13:10	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x793e86…
05-29 17:11:54	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,800	0¢	$4	0x2c1db7…
05-29 17:11:09	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,840	0¢	$4	0xf17100…
05-28 16:38:05	Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,540	0¢	$2	0x807526…
05-28 16:37:48	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7,700	0¢	$8	0x484317…
05-26 19:23:35	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,470	0¢	$2	0x027ad2…
05-26 19:13:18	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7,044	0¢	$7	0x2b9a74…
05-26 19:10:00	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	86	0¢	$0	0x3c68a5…
05-25 18:59:22	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,470	0¢	$2	0x7a48bc…
05-25 18:59:06	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7,130	0¢	$7	0x48fc5b…
03-31 15:23:21	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0xd1b123…
01-16 10:07:04	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x09ae5d…
01-16 10:06:42	Will Israel strike 1 country in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x35afb8…
01-16 10:06:30	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa9d41d…
01-16 10:06:20	will paul thomas anderson be nominated for best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb4964b…
01-16 10:06:10	will the price of xrp be between 1pt70 1pt80 on january 21	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x02bfdb…
01-16 10:05:58	will ppso win the most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf4161f…
01-16 10:05:44	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x16d406…
01-16 10:05:12	will bad bunny perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x523288…
01-16 10:05:04	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeb55fa…
01-16 10:04:34	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x22b18b…
01-16 10:04:02	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	No	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x837440…
01-16 10:03:38	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7ee9bc…
01-16 10:03:34	will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x281c17…