Complicated-Forebear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$494

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.6%

Resolved

3,673

Trades

14,472

lifetime

Volume

$44.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 11-13 02:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 193 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 57% -$488

Other

2% 60% +$4

Politics

0% 33% -$3

Sports

0% 67% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 12am et	203	$461	462	462	+0	Up	-$10	03-22 04:48
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 11am et	202	$454	475	456	+19	Up	+$5	03-21 15:51
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 2pm et	193	$436	404	404	+0	Up	-$10	03-21 20:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 15:10 UTC	108	$377	696	64	+632	Down	-$249	03-18 15:13
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 11pm et	144	$324	300	300	+0	Up	-$4	03-22 03:42
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 2am et	112	$257	257	257	+0	Up	-$7	03-22 06:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 04:50 UTC	64	$245	295	286	+9	Down	-$39	04-12 04:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 00:20 UTC	79	$233	429	413	+17	Up	-$40	04-12 00:23
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 3pm et	97	$229	230	230	+0	Up	-$7	03-21 19:54
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 1pm et	74	$191	155	155	+0	Up	+$7	03-21 20:05
highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 62 63f	31	$155	216	0	+216	No	+$61	04-24 18:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 00:40 UTC	72	$152	323	0	+323	Down	-$5	04-12 00:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	11	$143	360	360	-0	No	-$3	03-31 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:00 UTC	26	$138	256	0	+256	Down	-$6	06-30 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 07:05 UTC	17	$130	140	140	+0	Down	-$10	06-29 07:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 11:20 UTC	27	$126	268	0	+268	Down	-$56	04-12 11:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 05:45 UTC	61	$125	135	125	+10	Down	-$2	03-22 05:58
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 10am et	35	$117	110	110	+0	Down	-$5	03-21 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 08:10 UTC	23	$112	224	0	+224	Down	-$8	06-29 08:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 01:10 UTC	46	$111	220	0	+220	Up	+$4	04-12 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 05:10 UTC	49	$111	245	0	+245	Down	-$26	04-12 05:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 05:00 UTC	49	$111	231	0	+231	Up	+$5	04-12 05:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 11:45 UTC	47	$110	220	0	+220	Down	+$10	04-13 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 05:05 UTC	45	$106	220	0	+220	Up	-$1	04-12 05:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 07:25 UTC	20	$106	192	0	+192	Up	-$5	06-29 07:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 04:45 UTC	46	$105	105	105	+0	Up	-$9	03-22 04:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 05:15 UTC	55	$104	115	115	+0	Down	-$5	03-22 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 06:45 UTC	46	$103	223	0	+223	Up	+$2	04-13 06:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 15:05 UTC	43	$103	230	0	+230	Down	+$22	04-13 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 07:10 UTC	19	$101	181	0	+181	Up	-$6	06-29 07:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 02:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x624b13…
11-12 20:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x468dcc…
11-12 20:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xd5a4bf…
11-12 20:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x72e900…
11-12 12:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xbe2626…
11-12 12:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x852597…
11-12 12:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x175712…
11-12 12:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xde4a53…
11-12 12:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcb3a48…
11-12 12:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x91254f…
11-12 09:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x334f0a…
11-12 09:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xf998c6…
11-12 09:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb42e9f…
11-11 20:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x843f0f…
11-11 20:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x502efb…
11-11 20:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xef3330…
11-11 20:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x583fd4…
11-11 20:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb3eada…
11-09 13:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x30034d…
11-09 09:19:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x56e91c…
11-09 09:19:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xc9296e…
11-09 09:19:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xbe7d3d…
11-09 09:19:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x63ed9f…
11-09 09:15:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf22ab9…
11-09 09:15:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x12a87c…
11-09 02:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xe24164…
11-09 02:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x32d07b…
11-09 02:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xfe108e…
11-09 02:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb1a196…
11-09 02:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x0f5df9…
11-08 20:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x799c6c…
11-08 20:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x848701…
11-08 20:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xb1625f…
11-06 21:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbee784…
11-06 21:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1acdc0…
11-05 21:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x9eb813…
11-05 21:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x840a36…
11-05 21:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x69add2…
11-05 20:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8d0534…
11-05 20:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x8ad540…
11-05 20:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x7ca6ef…
11-05 20:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x62f46e…
11-05 20:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4987dd…
11-05 20:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x987df5…
11-05 14:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x58cc7d…
11-05 14:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xbc7b0d…
11-05 13:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x73dfc6…
11-05 13:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$5	0x8f120a…
11-05 13:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa082ec…
11-05 05:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x182a6a…
11-05 05:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xff9169…
11-05 05:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xcab2d0…
11-05 05:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x638e02…
11-05 05:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x010fb3…
11-05 04:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc43639…
11-05 04:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x10a5ff…
11-05 04:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x1435ed…
11-05 04:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x75adc2…
11-04 15:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xec142d…
11-04 15:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0e4f64…
11-04 15:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x429fbf…
11-04 12:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x2f1445…
11-03 21:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdbf51b…
11-03 21:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x952dc7…
11-03 21:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x3d69f9…
11-03 21:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x9d1016…
11-03 21:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x0af7bd…
11-03 12:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbefaba…
11-03 12:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x0eec89…
11-03 07:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x33c592…
11-03 07:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x784033…
11-03 02:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x879105…
11-03 02:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x8464d8…
11-03 02:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xf38edf…
11-02 16:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xc97e28…
11-02 16:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xa973bc…
11-02 16:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xbef6c6…
11-02 16:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x23c501…
11-02 16:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x746cd8…
11-02 16:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x826f25…
11-02 00:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xa606cd…
11-02 00:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xa3bc35…
11-02 00:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4e6d46…
11-02 00:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x2ed658…
11-02 00:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb49191…
11-01 09:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xc894b4…
11-01 09:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x9f9b0c…
11-01 09:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xfa7604…
11-01 08:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xd28bb2…
11-01 08:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x98e9db…
11-01 08:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x603ded…
11-01 08:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5c732b…
10-31 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5003bf…
10-31 16:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x106bee…
10-31 08:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x27793d…
10-31 08:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xe08c62…
10-31 08:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x1083a3…
10-31 08:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd59495…
10-31 08:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x0aa6d1…
10-31 01:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9395ed…