Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.20K

Unrealized P&L

-$63

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$23.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$743

Open exposure

$1.94K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-20 18:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Sports

47% 48% +$929

Other

28% 29% -$1,097

Crypto

23% 0% -$534

Politics

2% 0% -$500

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes		+3,429	$2,000	56¢	$1.9K	-$63	10-20 12:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$5.0K	5,086	0	+5,086	No	+$86	03-07 17:58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$3.5K	2,439	2,439	+0	No	-$534	06-01 12:58
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$2.5K	3,219	0	+3,219	Yes	+$719	03-07 16:46
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$2.0K	3,429	0	+3,429	open	—	10-20 12:37
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	1	$1000	1,205	0	+1,205	No	-$1,000	07-07 17:38
Thunder vs. Suns	1	$700	1,129	0	+1,129	Thunder	+$429	04-25 19:58
Rockets vs. Lakers	1	$500	1,042	0	+1,042	Rockets	-$500	04-30 03:34
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	1	$500	3,068	0	+3,068	No	-$500	01-17 20:54
76ers vs. Celtics	1	$500	769	0	+769	76ers	-$500	04-29 01:02
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	1	$500	980	0	+980	Spurs	+$480	04-26 12:35
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	1	$500	952	0	+952	76ers	-$500	04-29 11:42
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	1	$500	943	0	+943	Spurs	+$443	05-25 00:01
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$500	1,087	0	+1,087	Thunder	+$587	05-22 17:50
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	1	$500	980	0	+980	Celtics	+$480	04-26 12:36
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	1	$500	1,042	0	+1,042	Knicks	+$542	05-25 19:24
Pistons vs. Magic	1	$500	909	0	+909	Magic	-$500	04-25 16:50
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	1	$500	1,042	0	+1,042	Spurs	+$542	04-29 01:48
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	1	$500	962	0	+962	Knicks	+$462	05-10 19:28
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)	1	$500	965	0	+965	Timberwolves	-$500	04-29 11:40
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	1	$500	962	0	+962	Raptors	-$500	04-26 12:34
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	1	$500	962	0	+962	Timberwolves	-$500	04-26 00:55
Pistons vs. Magic	1	$250	463	0	+463	Magic	-$250	04-28 01:33
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	1	$200	645	0	+645	Thunder	+$445	04-25 19:58
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	1	$200	588	0	+588	Knicks	-$200	06-06 02:26
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	1	$150	278	0	+278	Belgium	-$150	07-06 23:58
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$150	306	0	+306	England	-$150	07-06 01:32
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$150	517	0	+517	Norway	+$367	07-05 19:57
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$150	462	0	+462	England	-$150	07-11 20:58
Knicks vs. Hawks	1	$150	556	0	+556	Knicks	-$150	04-25 22:53
Celtics vs. Pistons	1	$100	189	0	+189	Pistons	-$100	10-20 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 18:59:11	Celtics vs. Pistons	Celtics	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x7da72f…
10-20 12:37:02	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3,429	58¢	$2,000	0x4dd60d…
07-11 20:58:41	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	462	32¢	$150	0x6297dc…
07-09 21:17:43	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	409	24¢	$100	0x8bac6a…
07-07 17:38:07	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	1,205	83¢	$1,000	0x60b47c…
07-06 23:58:10	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	278	54¢	$150	0x517ea0…
07-06 01:32:56	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	306	49¢	$150	0x1e091d…
07-05 19:57:04	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	517	29¢	$150	0x4899a9…
06-06 02:26:04	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	588	34¢	$200	0xcc1200…
06-01 12:58:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,439	60¢	$1,466	0xfa4f90…
06-01 12:29:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,439	82¢	$2,000	0xc5243e…
05-25 19:24:16	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Knicks	BUY	1,042	48¢	$500	0xde329d…
05-25 00:01:48	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Spurs	BUY	943	53¢	$500	0xc687cc…
05-22 17:50:57	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	1,087	46¢	$500	0xade2ea…
05-10 19:28:33	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Knicks	BUY	962	52¢	$500	0xf0a6c9…
04-30 03:34:38	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1,042	48¢	$500	0x094bae…
04-29 11:42:16	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Celtics	BUY	952	53¢	$500	0x4f3f25…
04-29 11:40:52	Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)	Nuggets	BUY	965	52¢	$500	0x4bc121…
04-29 01:48:38	Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	Spurs	BUY	1,042	48¢	$500	0x02712f…
04-29 01:02:56	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	769	65¢	$500	0xa7332e…
04-28 01:33:58	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	463	54¢	$250	0x81990f…
04-26 12:36:40	Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	Celtics	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0x7e0ef8…
04-26 12:35:50	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Spurs	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0x2a3ffe…
04-26 12:34:36	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	962	52¢	$500	0x19da32…
04-26 00:55:48	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	962	52¢	$500	0xf120d7…
04-25 22:53:06	Knicks vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	556	27¢	$150	0xf99062…
04-25 19:58:26	Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Thunder	BUY	645	31¢	$200	0x606e61…
04-25 19:58:06	Thunder vs. Suns	Thunder	BUY	1,129	62¢	$700	0x6aa362…
04-25 16:50:44	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0x0c0192…
03-07 17:58:35	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	5,086	98¢	$5,000	0x0395c5…
03-07 16:46:43	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	3,219	78¢	$2,500	0x35829a…
01-17 20:54:38	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,068	16¢	$500	0x5783c4…