False-Appointment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

773

lifetime

Volume

$113.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$146

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 05:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 100% +$40

Politics

2% — —

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	7	$2.8K	1,411	1,411	+0	open	—	03-16 12:40
bitcoin above 66k on march 10	2	$2.8K	1,406	1,406	+0	open	—	03-10 13:40
will solana reach 110 in june 2026	8	$2.4K	1,222	1,222	+0	open	—	06-30 01:03
bitcoin above 64k on april 6	3	$2.1K	1,049	1,049	+0	open	—	04-06 12:11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	3	$2.0K	1,634	400	+1,234	open	—	05-19 17:35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	1	$1.6K	1,593	0	+1,593	No	+$8	05-12 01:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	6	$1.5K	761	761	+0	open	—	06-02 14:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 13?	21	$1.5K	979	489	+490	Yes	+$4	05-13 10:50
will bitcoin reach 74k on april 10	9	$1.5K	748	748	+1	open	—	04-11 02:31
ethereum above 2500 on march 19	1	$1.4K	1,414	0	+1,414	open	—	03-19 04:28
bitcoin above 80k on march 18	3	$1.4K	1,413	0	+1,413	open	—	03-18 05:13
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	1	$1.4K	1,410	0	+1,410	open	—	03-17 10:41
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	1	$1.4K	1,399	0	+1,399	open	—	03-12 10:01
bitcoin above 84k on march 11	1	$1.4K	1,397	0	+1,397	open	—	03-10 14:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	8	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-21 23:53
ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	6	$1.4K	1,065	300	+765	open	—	06-09 15:59
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 25-31?	2	$1.3K	666	666	+0	open	—	06-01 07:19
will bitcoin reach 78k march 30 april 5	3	$1.3K	1,178	129	+1,049	open	—	04-04 13:51
will ethereum reach 2200 june 1 7 2026	8	$1.3K	393	907	-514	open	—	06-07 05:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 18?	1	$1.3K	1,288	0	+1,288	open	—	05-18 15:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	1	$1.2K	1,202	0	+1,202	Yes	+$1	05-05 07:38
will bitcoin dip to 50k june 8 14 2026	10	$1.2K	647	534	+113	open	—	06-14 18:10
will bitcoin dip to 69k on april 9	1	$1.2K	1,163	0	+1,163	open	—	04-10 02:38
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$1.2K	1,160	0	+1,160	open	—	04-08 00:02
ethereum above 2100 on april 16	1	$1.1K	1,128	0	+1,128	open	—	04-16 07:32
ethereum above 2100 on april 14	1	$1.1K	1,124	0	+1,124	open	—	04-14 07:19
solana above 90 on july 15 2026	2	$1.1K	1,090	3	+1,087	open	—	07-15 09:32
bitcoin above 62k on april 7	2	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	open	—	04-07 02:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 26?	2	$1.0K	800	250	+550	open	—	05-26 13:26
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 4-10?	2	$1.0K	1,049	0	+1,049	No	+$15	05-06 18:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 05:53:48	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x98d2b9…
07-21 05:37:13	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9bf220…
07-21 05:32:49	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa2e463…
07-21 05:15:13	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb517b8…
07-20 05:17:28	xrp above 1pt2 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x47df59…
07-15 23:29:02	will bitcoin reach 74k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5d1df9…
07-15 19:25:31	will bitcoin reach 74k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x0543c7…
07-15 19:21:37	will bitcoin reach 72k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xda33ba…
07-15 19:15:16	will bitcoin reach 74k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x70ac21…
07-15 19:09:43	will bitcoin reach 72k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x8fb108…
07-15 18:17:43	will bitcoin reach 72k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	167	97¢	$162	0xc32c98…
07-15 17:58:23	will bitcoin reach 74k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	61	99¢	$61	0x435500…
07-15 09:32:14	solana above 90 on july 15 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4007ff…
07-15 08:56:20	will bitcoin reach 76k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	155	98¢	$151	0x7c968a…
07-14 16:29:10	solana above 90 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	1,090	100¢	$1,088	0xc84c7f…
07-14 16:25:10	will solana dip to 65 on july 14	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x906e6d…
07-14 12:50:43	bitcoin above 66k on july 14 2026	No	SELL	511	100¢	$509	0x08e1f1…
07-14 12:50:35	bitcoin above 66k on july 14 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x50f561…
07-14 06:07:11	bitcoin above 66k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	518	100¢	$516	0x5eba50…
07-14 05:01:55	ethereum above 1600 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x0b1e50…
07-14 04:45:55	solana above 70 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	79	99¢	$79	0x46f710…
07-13 16:35:35	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 13	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xe1c2e1…
07-13 16:35:14	will xrp reach 1pt2 on july 13	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x678d8b…
07-13 16:34:59	will xrp dip to 0pt9 on july 13	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0541f3…
07-10 16:37:49	will ethereum reach 2000 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	267	99¢	$265	0x330126…
07-10 14:08:28	will ethereum reach 2000 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	431	99¢	$428	0x1fa291…
07-10 14:07:52	will ethereum reach 2000 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xffd430…
07-09 17:03:47	ethereum above 1900 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	265	100¢	$264	0x0b1840…
07-09 05:55:53	will bitcoin dip to 54k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	365	98¢	$360	0xf97e22…
07-09 03:27:56	will bitcoin dip to 54k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	152	98¢	$150	0x3efaaf…
07-09 03:26:05	will ethereum reach 2000 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe9684e…
07-09 03:23:59	will xrp dip to 1pt05 on july 8	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xe834ea…
07-09 03:23:01	will bitcoin reach 63k on july 8	No	BUY	381	100¢	$381	0xf0ad72…
07-09 03:20:40	will xrp reach 1pt15 on july 8	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x2cd7c1…
07-09 03:18:59	will solana reach 80 on july 8	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x8db7f4…
07-08 16:39:59	will bitcoin dip to 57k on july 8	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3b6254…
07-08 16:38:08	will xrp reach 1pt2 on july 8	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf487a9…
07-07 17:17:31	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 7	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x7de33a…
07-07 17:16:53	will xrp dip to 1 on july 7	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x99965a…
07-07 17:16:31	will xrp reach 1pt3 on july 7	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0xbbb242…
07-07 17:15:44	will solana dip to 70 on july 7	No	BUY	403	100¢	$403	0xb870ea…
07-07 03:25:32	solana above 90 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	341	100¢	$340	0x6f2163…
07-06 04:35:44	xrp above 1pt4 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x36320a…
07-06 04:34:37	solana above 100 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	183	100¢	$182	0x07e59c…
07-05 08:41:47	will solana reach 90 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xbde1b3…
07-05 08:41:31	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x944d6e…
07-04 09:42:35	will solana reach 90 june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0xc205ba…
07-04 09:35:25	will solana reach 90 june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x4304cf…
07-04 07:36:20	will solana reach 110 in july 2026	No	BUY	120	91¢	$110	0x3d70f8…
07-04 07:21:52	will solana reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x5e426c…
07-04 07:21:31	will solana reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x268e71…
07-04 07:09:17	will solana reach 110 in july 2026	No	BUY	166	91¢	$152	0x887f59…
07-04 06:04:35	will solana reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x460022…
07-03 17:17:46	will solana reach 90 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	206	97¢	$199	0x555490…
07-03 17:17:26	will xrp reach 1pt25 on july 3	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x3a4ddc…
07-03 17:14:52	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 3	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xbf27b1…
07-03 17:13:35	will xrp dip to 0pt95 on july 3	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x84f191…
07-03 17:12:20	will xrp dip to 1 on july 3	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x69d7bc…
07-03 17:11:50	will solana dip to 70 on july 3	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xbd9b3d…
07-03 17:07:26	will solana reach 90 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x968ff2…
07-02 16:46:01	will solana reach 90 on july 2	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xbabd7c…
07-02 16:30:14	ethereum above 1900 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xef0ed6…
07-01 22:15:50	ethereum above 2100 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xfc9662…
07-01 22:15:29	ethereum above 2000 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xcd4ce8…
07-01 22:10:47	solana above 70 on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6258a9…
07-01 22:09:23	solana above 70 on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3a5f40…
07-01 22:08:58	ethereum above 1900 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	371	100¢	$370	0xb54024…
07-01 22:08:28	ethereum above 2100 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x433085…
07-01 07:05:22	will bitcoin reach 68k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	319	99¢	$317	0x51358a…
07-01 07:04:22	will solana reach 90 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xc94a3d…
07-01 05:11:55	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0x7e3311…
07-01 05:05:47	will ethereum dip to 1100 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xc19a8d…
07-01 05:05:22	bitcoin above 52k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x4aecc2…
07-01 05:04:38	will ethereum dip to 1200 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc103dc…
07-01 05:04:22	bitcoin above 52k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x50fad3…
07-01 05:01:46	will xrp reach 1pt4 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x649b36…
07-01 05:01:35	will xrp reach 1pt6 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x50b949…
07-01 04:50:26	will solana dip to 60 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7bba55…
07-01 04:50:01	will solana dip to 60 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x94744e…
07-01 04:49:02	will solana reach 90 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x42cf9e…
06-30 01:03:47	will solana reach 110 in june 2026	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x979847…
06-29 04:27:43	will solana reach 110 in june 2026	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xb82b4f…
06-29 03:59:40	will solana reach 110 in june 2026	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x295f64…
06-29 03:54:32	will solana reach 110 in june 2026	No	SELL	700	100¢	$699	0x8908d3…
06-27 13:54:32	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x3814ee…
06-26 17:26:07	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0x77cce1…
06-26 17:12:13	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0x2f58cf…
06-26 04:38:22	ethereum above 1800 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7145fc…
06-26 04:36:38	ethereum above 1300 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x6f3134…
06-25 19:29:13	will xrp reach 1pt2 on june 25	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xc8cbac…
06-25 19:29:01	will xrp reach 1pt15 on june 25	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x115414…
06-25 01:17:07	bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	404	100¢	$404	0x517f28…
06-24 00:51:56	ethereum above 1400 on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	404	100¢	$403	0xb308ac…
06-23 06:21:16	bitcoin above 56k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	403	100¢	$403	0x847a23…
06-23 03:00:32	will solana dip to 65 on june 22	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4a095a…
06-23 03:00:23	will solana dip to 65 on june 22	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x988ed4…
06-23 01:45:11	will solana dip to 65 on june 22	No	BUY	381	100¢	$380	0xae4f1b…
06-22 05:27:22	bitcoin above 58k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	403	100¢	$402	0x5f5bfb…
06-22 03:07:05	will solana reach 80 on june 21	No	BUY	401	100¢	$401	0x5f834f…
06-19 21:07:28	will solana reach 110 in june 2026	No	BUY	222	98¢	$218	0x5ee8bf…