False-Appointment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

632

lifetime

Volume

$90.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$143

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 18:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 100% +$40

Politics

2% — —

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	7	$2.8K	1,411	1,411	+0	open	—	03-16 12:40
bitcoin above 66k on march 10	2	$2.8K	1,406	1,406	+0	open	—	03-10 13:40
bitcoin above 64k on april 6	3	$2.1K	1,049	1,049	+0	open	—	04-06 12:11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	3	$2.0K	1,634	400	+1,234	open	—	05-19 17:35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	1	$1.6K	1,593	0	+1,593	No	+$8	05-12 01:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	6	$1.5K	761	761	+0	open	—	06-02 14:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 13?	21	$1.5K	979	489	+490	Yes	+$4	05-13 10:50
will bitcoin reach 74k on april 10	9	$1.5K	748	748	+1	open	—	04-11 02:31
ethereum above 2500 on march 19	1	$1.4K	1,414	0	+1,414	open	—	03-19 04:28
bitcoin above 80k on march 18	3	$1.4K	1,413	0	+1,413	open	—	03-18 05:13
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	1	$1.4K	1,410	0	+1,410	open	—	03-17 10:41
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	1	$1.4K	1,399	0	+1,399	open	—	03-12 10:01
bitcoin above 84k on march 11	1	$1.4K	1,397	0	+1,397	open	—	03-10 14:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	8	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-21 23:53
ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	6	$1.4K	1,065	300	+765	open	—	06-09 15:59
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 25-31?	2	$1.3K	666	666	+0	open	—	06-01 07:19
will bitcoin reach 78k march 30 april 5	3	$1.3K	1,178	129	+1,049	open	—	04-04 13:51
will ethereum reach 2200 june 1 7 2026	8	$1.3K	393	907	-514	open	—	06-07 05:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 18?	1	$1.3K	1,288	0	+1,288	open	—	05-18 15:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	1	$1.2K	1,202	0	+1,202	Yes	+$1	05-05 07:38
will bitcoin dip to 69k on april 9	1	$1.2K	1,163	0	+1,163	open	—	04-10 02:38
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$1.2K	1,160	0	+1,160	open	—	04-08 00:02
ethereum above 2100 on april 16	1	$1.1K	1,128	0	+1,128	open	—	04-16 07:32
ethereum above 2100 on april 14	1	$1.1K	1,124	0	+1,124	open	—	04-14 07:19
bitcoin above 62k on april 7	2	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	open	—	04-07 02:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 26?	2	$1.0K	800	250	+550	open	—	05-26 13:26
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 4-10?	2	$1.0K	1,049	0	+1,049	No	+$15	05-06 18:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	3	$1.0K	1,010	0	+1,010	No	+$1	05-11 08:57
will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	9	$984	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-20 08:08
will ethereum reach 2450 on april 15	3	$982	983	0	+983	open	—	04-16 02:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 18:52:42	ethereum above 1900 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	600	100¢	$598	0x1063a5…
06-09 18:20:19	ethereum above 1900 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xe3d7ae…
06-09 17:41:03	ethereum above 1800 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0xdaa2b5…
06-09 16:59:31	ethereum above 1800 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x5e49bc…
06-09 15:59:24	ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x0c4117…
06-08 23:42:16	ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	832	100¢	$829	0xe8f314…
06-08 11:38:40	ethereum above 1500 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	219	100¢	$218	0xaa055f…
06-08 08:51:40	ethereum above 1800 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xc69819…
06-08 04:52:06	ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x173c1d…
06-08 04:51:48	ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	74	99¢	$74	0x10dfb2…
06-08 04:51:40	ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x788cec…
06-08 04:46:30	ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x71c758…
06-07 22:35:04	will solana reach 90 in june 2026	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x1ce4d5…
06-07 22:28:43	will solana reach 90 in june 2026	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x0313f8…
06-07 22:28:39	will solana reach 90 in june 2026	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x6ab09a…
06-07 22:15:49	will solana reach 90 in june 2026	No	BUY	120	92¢	$110	0x30eb37…
06-07 09:57:06	ethereum above 1900 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x72d635…
06-07 09:45:57	ethereum above 1900 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0x3ebf78…
06-07 08:52:15	ethereum above 1900 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x519210…
06-07 08:51:31	ethereum above 1900 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x6639aa…
06-07 08:46:15	ethereum above 1900 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x4d2234…
06-07 05:51:40	will ethereum reach 2100 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x07d80d…
06-07 05:09:09	will ethereum reach 2200 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	380	100¢	$380	0x7f1a00…
06-06 01:46:40	ethereum above 1900 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4f7470…
06-06 01:46:04	ethereum above 1900 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	174	99¢	$173	0x58fcd7…
06-06 00:21:55	will ethereum reach 2200 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x4676d7…
06-05 22:31:30	will solana reach 90 in june 2026	No	BUY	248	92¢	$228	0x5084b4…
06-05 18:34:52	will ethereum reach 2200 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0x2eea9a…
06-05 18:20:21	will solana reach 90 in june 2026	No	BUY	174	93¢	$162	0x0b996f…
06-05 16:57:25	ethereum above 2000 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x8c76b0…
06-04 16:41:49	will ethereum reach 2100 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	150	98¢	$148	0x7a1964…
06-04 15:49:31	ethereum above 1700 on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	461	100¢	$461	0xb07f0f…
06-04 15:16:06	ethereum above 1700 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	461	100¢	$459	0x993a04…
06-04 15:15:36	ethereum above 2000 on june 4 2026	No	SELL	443	100¢	$442	0xe77f23…
06-04 07:47:57	ethereum above 2000 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x1d07de…
06-04 07:38:54	ethereum above 2000 on june 4 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x641bee…
06-04 07:34:04	ethereum above 2000 on june 4 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4e8bf0…
06-04 07:26:07	ethereum above 2000 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	155	99¢	$153	0xed0c48…
06-04 07:06:48	ethereum above 2000 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0xa2517a…
06-04 07:05:31	ethereum above 2100 on june 4 2026	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x948db0…
06-03 21:50:15	ethereum above 1900 on june 4 2026	No	SELL	105	82¢	$86	0x10f8de…
06-03 21:44:43	ethereum above 1900 on june 4 2026	No	SELL	105	89¢	$93	0xf1bc31…
06-03 20:21:06	ethereum above 1900 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0x40abbf…
06-03 20:19:40	ethereum above 1900 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x7d7969…
06-03 20:01:58	ethereum above 2000 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7212b7…
06-03 19:17:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 June 1-7?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x58c6a9…
06-03 16:10:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf224e5…
06-03 16:10:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x90afd6…
06-03 14:39:27	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 June 1-7?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xbced53…
06-03 13:27:47	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 June 1-7?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0x50d03e…
06-03 11:01:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 4?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x043307…
06-03 11:00:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 4?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x33fb0a…
06-03 08:07:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 June 1-7?	No	BUY	170	98¢	$167	0x5a6a82…
06-03 07:41:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 June 1-7?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0xdbefd8…
06-03 05:10:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xd878fb…
06-03 05:03:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0xb4034a…
06-03 04:49:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x6ecc1b…
06-03 04:49:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	188	99¢	$186	0xec2e64…
06-02 14:26:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	761	99¢	$750	0x95e7bd…
06-01 22:05:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0x5b0f7f…
06-01 22:04:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?	No	BUY	559	99¢	$555	0x4fdd38…
06-01 20:36:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9e8980…
06-01 20:05:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd72ae4…
06-01 19:33:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x327abf…
06-01 19:22:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x5ea880…
06-01 18:14:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xc5c17d…
06-01 16:08:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	244	99¢	$242	0x22d46f…
06-01 16:02:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x23b98b…
06-01 15:55:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x11f597…
06-01 15:53:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0xc5cf4c…
06-01 15:51:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0xc4dfdc…
06-01 15:47:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x7c0fba…
06-01 15:45:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xdeba74…
06-01 15:17:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0x370c9e…
06-01 13:44:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x1a48c3…
06-01 13:42:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x065d5a…
06-01 13:42:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x34ca33…
06-01 13:34:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xd3dd85…
06-01 12:58:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x723b31…
06-01 12:57:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xada155…
06-01 11:14:42	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	SELL	282	100¢	$282	0x68f92b…
06-01 07:56:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xadbff1…
06-01 07:32:04	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	No	SELL	249	100¢	$249	0x9570ce…
06-01 07:26:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?	No	BUY	351	99¢	$348	0x8ea7a9…
06-01 07:24:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x993faa…
06-01 07:21:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb2b568…
06-01 07:21:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x621178…
06-01 07:19:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 25-31?	No	SELL	666	100¢	$665	0x5a2bfa…
05-29 19:18:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?	No	BUY	249	98¢	$245	0xaf2e68…
05-29 19:04:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 25-31?	No	BUY	666	99¢	$662	0xca0533…
05-29 01:50:16	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x65d963…
05-29 01:49:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	185	98¢	$181	0x93c1df…
05-29 01:48:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0xc5fd69…
05-29 01:47:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	306	100¢	$305	0x62fb47…
05-28 17:23:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x3e8a05…
05-28 17:23:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 29?	No	BUY	429	100¢	$428	0x1b416f…
05-28 17:21:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	306	100¢	$305	0x705b30…
05-28 17:20:16	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	No	BUY	233	99¢	$230	0xeb23d2…
05-28 03:35:03	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	SELL	491	95¢	$467	0xd05aa4…
05-28 03:31:17	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	SELL	303	94¢	$284	0x2e7788…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	124	$238.0K	4,064	06-07 08:58
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	119	$5.42K	119	06-09 10:49
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	117	$1.10K	891	06-09 14:51
Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524	102	$999.9K	3,236	06-09 11:14
Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85	97	$564	1,288	06-09 22:42
Double-Diabetes 0xf10c…002f	85	$39.0K	318	06-09 15:14
Insistent-Pumpernickel 0x6b19…3f42	76	$71.4K	206	06-09 04:49
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	76	$35.9K	597	06-08 16:43