Knobby-Legging — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved (90d)

193

Trades (90d)

370

1,084 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$725

$2.04K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 09-19 13:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 76% -$9

Other

3% 70% -$1

Sports

0% 33% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	10	$39	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 12:45 UTC	5	$29	105	17	+89	Down	-$6	04-06 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$26	15	15	+0	Up	+$4	05-07 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$24	16	16	+0	Up	+$4	05-07 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 12:35 UTC	4	$23	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	04-06 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	6	$23	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	7	$22	22	22	+0	Down	-$10	05-09 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$17	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$17	13	13	+0	Up	-$3	09-13 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	6	$16	13	13	+0	Down	-$4	05-09 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	09-15 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$16	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	6	$16	10	9	+2	Up	-$2	05-09 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	7	$14	15	0	+15	Down	+$1	05-09 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$13	11	11	+0	Down	-$3	05-10 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$13	14	6	+9	Down	-$1	05-10 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	09-13 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$10	9	9	+0	Down	-$4	05-10 18:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 14:25 UTC	6	$10	8	7	+1	Up	-$1	04-06 14:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 13:22:20	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4a7cf8…
09-19 09:58:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x8a2f59…
09-19 09:55:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x52971d…
09-19 09:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6bfaed…
09-19 09:45:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x384c71…
09-19 09:45:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfcc7f3…
09-19 09:40:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x19ecb4…
09-19 09:38:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x8fa9a3…
09-19 09:35:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6c416d…
09-19 09:31:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x6d29a6…
09-19 09:30:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x620a19…
09-19 09:25:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd7e8a8…
09-19 09:20:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xb1b9e4…
09-19 09:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6caabe…
09-19 09:16:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x543d3d…
09-19 09:15:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc4f45a…
09-19 09:12:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb84a0c…
09-19 09:11:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x58d3d2…
09-19 09:06:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x07bcbc…
09-19 09:05:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x32cb52…
09-19 09:03:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x71d37a…
09-19 09:00:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd26d03…
09-19 08:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xc7f0c3…
09-19 08:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x0ed9d5…
09-19 08:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x0640bf…
09-19 08:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x7e6f7f…
09-19 08:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7ba653…
09-19 08:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xd89514…
09-19 08:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xeab428…
09-19 08:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xe9b31e…
09-19 08:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8c35bc…
09-19 08:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	38¢	$1	0x65af26…
09-19 08:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5e8217…
09-19 08:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x09f0c7…
09-19 08:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8c8684…
09-19 08:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xc2f1fc…
09-19 08:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0f1c2c…
09-17 18:09:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 18:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xfab46f…
09-17 18:07:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x33bf91…
09-17 17:57:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9d4daa…
09-17 17:57:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xab8338…
09-17 17:44:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfabcfe…
09-17 17:43:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x253de4…
09-17 17:42:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xc559b4…
09-17 17:42:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9bf0c2…
09-17 17:41:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4f5d7f…
09-17 17:38:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x011c6e…
09-17 17:37:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x345a6f…
09-17 17:36:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xa42aed…
09-17 17:35:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9311f7…
09-17 17:34:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xa0562f…
09-17 17:33:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x938ee3…
09-17 17:32:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xaa6594…
09-15 20:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x70ee88…
09-15 20:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8238c0…
09-15 20:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x68a811…
09-15 20:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf6b017…
09-15 20:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6c5036…
09-15 20:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0x7f0abd…
09-15 20:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf6ef59…
09-15 20:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x97a2a0…
09-15 20:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0x06eedf…
09-15 20:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x80071a…
09-15 20:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3186dc…
09-15 20:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc6e553…
09-15 20:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x34bf65…
09-15 20:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4265b0…
09-15 20:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6a76b8…
09-15 20:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x325d5f…
09-15 20:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe62793…
09-15 20:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x10c543…
09-15 20:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x60e5a0…
09-15 20:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7dec3a…
09-15 20:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe7892f…
09-15 20:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xf80e64…
09-15 20:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x5775b8…
09-15 20:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0xc3a7a8…
09-15 20:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8a573e…
09-15 20:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xca8cf5…
09-15 20:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7e6957…
09-15 20:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x5ad580…
09-15 20:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x650e4c…
09-15 18:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe818f7…
09-15 18:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x696ab0…
09-15 18:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xaa7cd0…
09-15 18:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xcd6434…
09-15 18:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x36c292…
09-15 18:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x62c1e9…
09-15 18:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x23b639…
09-15 16:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf9244c…
09-15 16:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xac492c…
09-15 16:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4a62c3…
09-15 16:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xbbfcf6…
09-15 16:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x533aa0…
09-15 16:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4b6d5a…
09-15 16:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xdf4407…
09-15 16:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2e9a80…
09-15 16:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7311ba…
09-15 16:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7ce38a…
09-15 16:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x47a3d7…