Assured-Rider-Thorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

95.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

4 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$23

$23 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-14 06:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Crypto

46% 67% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes		+250	$12	7¢	$17	+$5	05-13 16:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?	1	$12	250	0	+250	open	—	05-13 16:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3PM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	Up	+$3	05-10 19:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$3	0	14	-14	Down	+$3	05-14 06:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$0	10	0	+10	Up	$-0	05-10 19:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 06:21:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	25¢	$3	0x33bca0…
05-13 16:42:38	Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	250	5¢	$12	0x3a8f34…
05-10 19:18:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x0db469…
05-10 19:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x09dbaf…