Heavenly-Numismatist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.18M

Unrealized P&L

-$192

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

651

Trades

142,021

lifetime

Volume

$90.3M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$636

Open exposure

$4.00K

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 10-27 09:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 159 days

Categories

Other

64% 55% -$3,016,801

Sports

36% 49% +$839,895

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 8674 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+100,000	$6,000	4¢	$4.0K	-$2,000	10-27 09:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+0	-$1,808	96¢	$0	+$1,808	10-27 06:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	1,684	$2.90M	3,340,994	2,161,660	+1,179,333	Yes	+$512,809	06-28 18:50
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	511	$1.56M	2,113,150	698,864	+1,414,285	Yes	+$478,264	06-27 00:06
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	737	$1.49M	2,040,896	390,001	+1,650,895	Yes	+$271,860	06-20 19:59
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1,511	$1.46M	1,850,658	1,420,656	+430,002	Spain	-$205,374	07-14 18:59
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	27	$1.43M	1,006,734	806,734	+200,000	Yes	+$381,820	06-14 03:48
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	646	$1.12M	1,066,938	1,000,000	+66,938	Yes	-$36,477	06-27 20:58
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	1,764	$1.11M	1,064,403	480,278	+584,125	Yes	+$76,484	06-17 03:27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	622	$1.08M	1,210,360	460,360	+750,000	Yes	+$289,598	05-10 18:03
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	15	$1.05M	1,250,001	0	+1,250,001	No	-$1,049,250	06-23 20:06
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	3,393	$1.04M	1,384,447	665,962	+718,486	Knicks	-$316,659	06-11 00:30
Giants vs. Rams	415	$1.03M	958,461	525,002	+433,459	Rams	+$67,659	09-22 02:00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	1,411	$1.00M	646,935	531,716	+115,219	Yes	+$29,069	06-23 15:54
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	297	$955.4K	1,517,842	0	+1,517,842	Mexico	+$562,423	07-01 01:44
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	753	$934.4K	905,328	555,328	+350,000	No	-$67,793	06-19 00:58
nfl kc mia 2026 09 27	48	$893.2K	840,000	215,000	+625,000	Chiefs	+$92,995	09-27 16:37
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1,271	$883.6K	1,400,005	450,310	+949,695	Spurs	+$89,338	06-09 00:43
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	561	$879.9K	1,300,001	0	+1,300,001	Yes	+$420,148	06-26 17:06
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	947	$875.8K	1,359,363	0	+1,359,363	No	-$875,795	06-25 18:39
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	727	$868.8K	1,550,559	149,441	+1,401,118	Yes	+$16,516	06-20 18:44
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	40	$865.7K	1,398,811	23,811	+1,375,000	Switzerland	-$840,893	07-07 22:32
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	172	$865.1K	1,223,377	223,377	+1,000,000	Yes	+$581,190	06-25 03:10
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	350	$844.5K	874,999	500,000	+374,999	No	-$9,500	06-15 19:04
Lions vs. Panthers	164	$840.5K	757,355	562,515	+194,840	Panthers	-$24,148	10-05 02:06
Colts vs. Chiefs	211	$816.8K	1,094,238	94,238	+1,000,000	Chiefs	+$324,590	09-21 03:25
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	165	$798.2K	1,314,917	0	+1,314,917	Yes	+$516,762	06-19 18:46
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	1,034	$771.0K	1,620,001	0	+1,620,001	England	-$771,043	07-06 00:30
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	228	$760.8K	1,486,475	144,040	+1,342,435	Alexander Zverev	-$73,755	06-07 13:26
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	1,306	$751.9K	991,200	299,999	+691,201	Yes	+$293,304	06-17 19:57
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	133	$748.7K	711,179	261,179	+450,000	Yes	+$103,500	06-30 20:03
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	12	$731.4K	1,088,344	0	+1,088,344	Yes	+$356,964	06-22 17:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:25:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,596	6¢	$276	0xb506fb…
10-27 09:24:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33,895	6¢	$2,034	0x7a10fa…
10-27 09:23:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	205	6¢	$12	0xca79a8…
10-27 09:23:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	205	6¢	$12	0x41c134…
10-27 09:23:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	393	6¢	$24	0xa02085…
10-27 09:23:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	131	6¢	$8	0xd611c3…
10-27 09:22:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	393	6¢	$24	0x5ca1e0…
10-27 09:22:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0xc9e202…
10-27 09:22:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	393	6¢	$24	0x73777f…
10-27 09:22:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	131	6¢	$8	0x0d3293…
10-27 09:22:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	393	6¢	$24	0xc9c9e3…
10-27 09:22:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	393	6¢	$24	0x0d47b7…
10-27 09:22:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	393	6¢	$24	0x6528f6…
10-27 09:22:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0x0d7fa8…
10-27 09:22:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	306	6¢	$18	0xbfc9b3…
10-27 09:22:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	131	6¢	$8	0x3a7149…
10-27 09:22:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	393	6¢	$24	0xadf9a4…
10-27 09:21:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0xa9ab95…
10-27 09:21:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	393	6¢	$24	0xf7ebb9…
10-27 09:20:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	189	6¢	$11	0xfaa8b8…
10-27 09:20:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	306	6¢	$18	0x365e0b…
10-27 09:20:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0xa59218…
10-27 09:20:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	131	6¢	$8	0x6069ee…
10-27 09:20:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	393	6¢	$24	0x44866b…
10-27 09:20:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x3c5469…
10-27 08:22:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,635	6¢	$218	0xfe89ea…
10-27 08:07:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xeeeb2d…
10-27 07:54:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xaa1c50…
10-27 07:41:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26,613	6¢	$1,597	0x942eda…
10-27 07:31:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x107fcf…
10-27 07:25:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,298	6¢	$198	0x6015b9…
10-27 07:05:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	106	6¢	$6	0xd5c243…
10-27 07:01:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,394	6¢	$264	0x30d06c…
10-27 06:38:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,041	94¢	$1,910	0xadbe8c…
10-27 06:37:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xce555b…
10-27 06:36:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x684fc4…
10-27 06:33:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x02e828…
10-27 06:33:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14,064	6¢	$844	0xa4ae61…
10-27 06:32:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x31e990…
10-27 06:32:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xef4f6c…
10-27 06:32:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6,672	94¢	$6,245	0x1ac994…
10-27 00:00:47	Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	Pacers	BUY	22,414	49¢	$10,983	0xd615e0…
10-27 00:00:38	Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	Pacers	BUY	2,586	49¢	$1,267	0x2cf7b8…
10-26 23:55:57	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xcb43e6…
10-26 23:55:18	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	24,800	53¢	$13,194	0xff6640…
10-26 22:19:02	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x31393e…
10-26 22:12:17	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,118	16¢	$182	0xfba81a…
10-26 22:11:06	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	326	16¢	$53	0xbfeee8…
10-26 22:10:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	178	16¢	$29	0x62f33f…
10-26 22:10:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	378	16¢	$61	0xe59d1e…
10-26 22:08:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	37	16¢	$6	0x55eca7…
10-26 22:08:47	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xfc6a54…
10-26 22:08:41	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0x4f660c…
10-26 22:08:39	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0xe93fed…
10-26 22:08:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3,185	16¢	$513	0xf5b46f…
10-26 22:07:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,698	16¢	$273	0x75f22b…
10-26 21:55:14	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	750	6¢	$49	0x6042e3…
10-26 21:54:12	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	110	6¢	$7	0xd53b42…
10-26 21:54:12	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$31	0xae4422…
10-26 21:54:12	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x612bac…
10-26 21:54:11	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	99	6¢	$6	0xdc6ded…
10-26 21:54:05	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4,010	6¢	$249	0x503bd2…
10-26 21:48:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,232	17¢	$207	0x4d295c…
10-26 21:48:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	75	17¢	$13	0xd15e4b…
10-26 21:48:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	312	17¢	$52	0xfc8feb…
10-26 21:48:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x5add02…
10-26 21:48:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	151	17¢	$25	0x07673a…
10-26 21:48:09	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	173	17¢	$29	0xd85cf9…
10-26 21:48:08	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x937833…
10-26 21:48:08	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	525	17¢	$88	0x52c3ab…
10-26 21:48:06	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	124	17¢	$21	0xa11430…
10-26 21:48:06	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	117	17¢	$20	0x133d58…
10-26 21:48:05	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	32	17¢	$5	0xf1a333…
10-26 21:48:05	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	238	17¢	$40	0xcfe986…
10-26 21:48:05	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x900667…
10-26 21:48:05	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	133	17¢	$22	0x4c87e1…
10-26 21:48:05	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	630	17¢	$106	0x1974b7…
10-26 21:48:02	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x278d3b…
10-26 21:48:00	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xa91ae4…
10-26 21:47:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x196521…
10-26 21:47:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	127	17¢	$21	0xe5dd6a…
10-26 21:47:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	133	17¢	$22	0xe55ae1…
10-26 21:47:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	133	17¢	$22	0xd0cf7d…
10-26 21:47:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	133	17¢	$22	0xd01b91…
10-26 21:47:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	133	17¢	$22	0xc36dcf…
10-26 21:47:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	133	17¢	$22	0xc1fb5d…
10-26 21:47:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	133	17¢	$22	0x4568b6…
10-26 21:47:51	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xa9e57c…
10-26 21:47:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x27011e…
10-26 21:47:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	371	17¢	$62	0xecdd76…
10-26 21:47:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x612d51…
10-26 21:47:42	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa35a17…
10-26 21:47:39	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x22aff2…
10-26 21:47:38	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	17¢	$168	0x69b87c…
10-26 21:47:05	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x847cc6…
10-26 21:47:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xb5315e…
10-26 21:47:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x5be60e…
10-26 21:47:02	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x9b93a5…
10-26 21:47:02	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x773215…
10-26 21:47:02	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x284da4…