Marvelous-Casket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$511

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

586

Trades

1,696

lifetime

Volume

$79.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-25 01:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Politics

73% 98% +$761

Other

16% 93% +$36

Sports

7% 93% -$320

Crypto

4% 95% +$34

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	9	$806	406	406	+0	Yes	+$5	05-01 22:43
Will Trump say "Muscle" or "Muscular" this week?	1	$767	775	0	+775	Yes	+$8	10-16 21:37
will trump say venezuela during june 24 rally 20260616194255612	5	$753	380	380	+0	Yes	+$6	06-25 01:52
Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	7	$739	649	93	+556	Yes	+$3	10-23 01:05
will zoom say customer 25 times during earnings call	2	$723	724	0	+724	Yes	+$1	08-25 21:38
will trump say world cup in august 20260728220215938	5	$722	636	100	+536	Yes	+$13	08-06 23:30
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	11	$698	412	405	+7	Yes	+$14	09-06 23:28
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Small Business Summit?	9	$675	410	270	+140	No	+$4	05-06 13:32
will trump say mount trump during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547092	11	$643	325	325	+0	No	+$6	07-02 16:09
Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	10	$630	317	317	+0	Yes	+$3	05-01 22:57
Will Trump say "Tax" 5+ times during Small Business Summit?	5	$619	311	311	+0	Yes	+$2	05-04 21:40
will trump say restaurant during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547083	14	$615	310	310	+0	No	+$5	07-02 15:07
will trump say muscle in june	5	$603	303	303	+0	Yes	+$2	06-23 19:41
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	16	$573	346	346	+0	Yes	+$5	09-05 22:26
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	10	$557	446	250	+196	Yes	+$4	09-07 01:51
will trump say gay in august 20260728220215918	2	$554	566	0	+566	Yes	+$12	08-21 23:58
will trump say drill baby drill during june 24 rally 20260616194255617	7	$553	278	278	+0	Yes	+$2	06-25 02:09
will trump say hottest during june 24 rally 20260616194255606	8	$548	275	275	+0	Yes	+$1	06-25 01:19
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	13	$524	614	150	+464	Yes	+$6	09-06 22:12
Will Trump say "Damn" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	8	$518	436	93	+342	No	+$11	10-06 01:09
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during epa announcement	8	$500	217	287	-70	No	+$3	02-12 20:46
will trump say sleepy joe or biden during ncaa national champions remarks on april 21	5	$497	300	200	+100	No	+$3	04-21 23:14
will trump say trump derangement syndrome in august 20260728182325264	3	$482	500	0	+500	Yes	+$18	08-05 22:00
will trump say oil gas 5 times during pennsylvania events 20260619211746754	3	$477	391	100	+291	Yes	+$14	06-23 19:17
will trump say manufacturing during remarks in las vegas 20260804184614725	5	$473	238	238	+0	Yes	+$3	08-05 22:02
Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	4	$455	461	0	+461	Yes	+$6	10-06 00:29
will trump say border 7 times during pennsylvania events 20260619211746752	6	$454	465	0	+465	Yes	+$11	06-24 02:12
Will Trump say "Front Row Joe" in October?	3	$453	303	155	+148	Yes	+$4	10-03 00:14
will trump say drone during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255813	2	$451	456	0	+456	Yes	+$5	07-25 01:44
will trump say los angeles in august 20260728181450073	2	$446	400	50	+350	Yes	+$4	08-06 23:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 01:39:44	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$71	0xda2415…
10-25 00:56:17	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xaa3a73…
10-25 00:54:45	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x38f7a8…
10-25 00:36:12	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1c8106…
10-25 00:21:11	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x8644a5…
10-23 01:05:06	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x135e68…
10-23 01:00:02	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x777c78…
10-23 00:43:15	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfd6aa5…
10-23 00:30:54	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x47bb07…
10-23 00:29:33	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1e76cb…
10-23 00:26:41	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	379	100¢	$379	0xb9c71b…
10-21 20:32:00	Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during his roundtable?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd150d8…
10-21 19:20:48	will trump say elon during his roundtable october 21	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9a6e22…
10-21 19:19:44	Will Trump say "Hyperliquid" during his roundtable?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6b5457…
10-21 19:19:23	Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during his roundtable?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x80b95f…
10-21 19:19:06	Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during his roundtable?	Yes	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x5aa2d3…
10-21 18:51:24	Will Trump say "Cybercrime" during his roundtable?	Yes	BUY	83	99¢	$83	0x25126f…
10-20 02:54:47	Will Trump say "Fertilizer" or "Rural" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc979ca…
10-20 02:54:47	Will Trump say "Fertilizer" or "Rural" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xaf20fd…
10-20 02:34:06	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6059eb…
10-20 02:34:06	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0d8036…
10-20 01:49:06	Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7a16bc…
10-20 01:48:51	Will Trump say "Fertilizer" or "Rural" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x87e55d…
10-20 01:48:33	Will Trump say "Maduro" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x303148…
10-20 01:45:59	Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xca005a…
10-20 01:37:18	Will Trump say "Animal" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x91911e…
10-20 01:33:57	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x2efef2…
10-20 01:32:33	Will Trump say "Gay" or "Palestine" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2a6057…
10-20 01:30:20	Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	41	85¢	$35	0xd43b1e…
10-20 01:01:38	Will Trump say "Moon" or "UFO" or "UAP" this week?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0xc0070e…
10-20 00:38:47	Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8d5339…
10-20 00:30:05	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xd688e5…
10-20 00:05:20	Will Trump say "Jumbotron" this week?	Yes	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0x730b38…
10-16 22:02:03	Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	116	99¢	$114	0xb47d36…
10-16 21:54:41	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe59e96…
10-16 21:38:24	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbafcf0…
10-16 21:38:24	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x165b21…
10-16 21:37:20	Will Trump say "Muscle" or "Muscular" this week?	Yes	BUY	775	99¢	$767	0x7ee7fb…
10-16 21:32:47	Will Trump say "Tax" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x8f045f…
10-16 20:32:09	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf6c2b2…
10-16 20:31:18	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x00adf1…
10-16 20:30:57	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xea07ee…
10-15 04:05:14	will trump say russia during his midterm rally in montana october 14	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5b5e12…
10-15 03:34:59	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4ceab3…
10-15 03:34:53	will trump say great falls during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xef5b0d…
10-15 03:17:29	will trump say hell 14 times during his midterm rally in montana	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xb9f873…
10-15 02:49:49	will trump say great falls during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2ad5c8…
10-15 02:49:47	will trump say great falls during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5432e1…
10-15 02:49:46	will trump say great falls during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbe009e…
10-15 02:47:14	will trump say antifa during his midterm rally in montana october 14	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc2a58…
10-15 02:45:55	will trump say forest during his midterm rally in montana october 14	No	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0xf3fbed…
10-15 02:45:05	will trump say rural during his midterm rally in montana october 14	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x585d0a…
10-15 02:43:20	will trump say healthcare during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	233	98¢	$229	0x30c0d5…
10-15 02:31:02	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdb4e2d…
10-15 02:11:43	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfe477f…
10-15 02:11:32	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf91438…
10-15 02:11:32	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x67e65e…
10-15 02:11:32	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x435760…
10-15 02:11:32	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x3f252d…
10-15 02:08:19	will trump say si during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	243	99¢	$240	0xb176bc…
10-15 02:08:13	will trump say si during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc608c8…
10-15 01:59:49	will trump say antifa during his midterm rally in montana october 14	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x144b1a…
10-15 01:55:50	will trump say tariff during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xaeb5d9…
10-15 01:55:31	will trump say tariff during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xf14395…
10-15 01:55:28	will trump say tariff during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1de7ca…
10-14 22:03:52	will trump say america first during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xf62c57…
10-14 22:03:01	will trump say iran during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xac0886…
10-14 22:01:51	will trump say school choice during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	No	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0xb5c0c3…
10-14 21:47:00	will trump say transgender during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	Yes	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x85ed27…
10-14 21:46:09	will trump say transgender during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb4cb38…
10-14 21:32:55	will trump say russia during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x55c1c6…
10-14 21:14:16	will trump say chip during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x7cf651…
10-14 20:56:55	will trump say hormuz during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x647ae9…
10-14 20:56:37	will trump say hormuz during his midterm rally in arizona october 14	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x584641…
10-11 23:17:12	Will Trump say "Witch" this week?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x0e681d…
10-10 23:05:33	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x842263…
10-10 22:56:12	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcb8409…
10-10 22:15:37	Will Trump say "Cadillac" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x8f81af…
10-10 22:10:45	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0xa47a26…
10-10 22:10:22	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xbe4b56…
10-10 21:54:52	Will Trump say "Helicopter" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbccbbe…
10-10 21:53:24	Will Trump say "Job" 17+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	No	BUY	164	97¢	$160	0x30fbca…
10-10 21:45:19	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4bdf6a…
10-10 21:32:15	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0e554a…
10-10 21:32:12	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2a856e…
10-10 21:29:13	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	246	99¢	$244	0x81b368…
10-10 21:28:51	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0x716f47…
10-10 21:21:57	Will Trump say "Depression" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe00460…
10-10 21:21:40	Will Trump say "Cadillac" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x62291d…
10-10 20:55:30	Will Trump say "Depression" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd2a58e…
10-10 20:34:04	Will Trump say "Alabama" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xdeb3a9…
10-10 20:32:18	Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcc6470…
10-10 20:22:52	Will Trump say "Blowing it away" this week?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x0078a8…
10-10 20:22:24	Will Trump say "Blowing it away" this week?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x167ace…
10-10 02:08:17	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb94ec5…
10-10 01:39:46	Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$3	0xe145fb…
10-10 01:38:58	Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf50192…
10-10 01:37:56	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0xe08e9a…
10-10 01:37:40	Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x45b8f1…
10-10 01:34:28	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x748d7e…