Marvelous-Casket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$60

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,177

lifetime

Volume

$48.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 07-17 21:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

74% 100% +$41

Sports

10% 100% +$10

Other

9% 100% +$9

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	9	$806	406	406	+0	open	—	05-01 22:43
will trump say venezuela during june 24 rally 20260616194255612	5	$753	380	380	+0	open	—	06-25 01:52
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Small Business Summit?	9	$675	410	270	+140	No	+$4	05-06 13:32
will trump say mount trump during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547092	11	$643	325	325	+0	open	—	07-02 16:09
Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	10	$630	317	317	+0	open	—	05-01 22:57
Will Trump say "Tax" 5+ times during Small Business Summit?	5	$619	311	311	+0	Yes	+$2	05-04 21:40
will trump say restaurant during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547083	14	$615	310	310	+0	open	—	07-02 15:07
will trump say muscle in june	5	$603	303	303	+0	open	—	06-23 19:41
will trump say drill baby drill during june 24 rally 20260616194255617	7	$553	278	278	+0	open	—	06-25 02:09
will trump say hottest during june 24 rally 20260616194255606	8	$548	275	275	+0	open	—	06-25 01:19
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during epa announcement	8	$500	217	287	-70	open	—	02-12 20:46
will trump say sleepy joe or biden during ncaa national champions remarks on april 21	5	$497	300	200	+100	open	—	04-21 23:14
will trump say oil gas 5 times during pennsylvania events 20260619211746754	3	$477	391	100	+291	open	—	06-23 19:17
will trump say border 7 times during pennsylvania events 20260619211746752	6	$454	465	0	+465	open	—	06-24 02:12
will trump say fake news during pennsylvania events 20260619211746765	2	$443	224	224	+0	open	—	06-23 19:11
will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	6	$436	221	221	+0	open	—	04-02 01:43
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during fed chair announcement	6	$428	238	193	+45	open	—	01-31 05:07
will trump say maha or make america healthy again during june 24 rally 20260616194255614	4	$425	215	215	+0	open	—	06-25 02:39
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 6+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	9	$423	409	26	+383	No	+$12	05-12 02:13
will trump say breaking news in january	8	$415	213	213	+0	open	—	01-22 17:30
Will Trump say "Football" 8+ times during events with the 2026 National Football Champions?	4	$415	210	210	+0	Yes	+$5	05-11 23:32
Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?	21	$410	206	206	+0	open	—	05-02 00:06
will jd vance say biden administration 4 times in ohio on thursday	5	$404	210	210	+0	open	—	01-22 17:10
will trump say death tax during rose garden club dinner events 20260625143931358	4	$403	202	202	+0	open	—	06-25 23:37
Will Trump say "Social Security" at The Villages on May 1?	26	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	05-01 22:13
Will Trump say "Made in America" during Small Business Summit?	3	$399	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	05-04 21:31
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Small Business Summit?	4	$398	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	05-04 20:24
will trump say truck this week 20260622142828763	5	$382	193	193	+0	open	—	06-23 19:18
will trump say olympic during panthers visit	8	$372	391	0	+391	open	—	01-15 21:36
will jd vance say crypto or bitcoin in ohio on thursday	6	$370	182	195	-13	open	—	01-22 17:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 21:40:36	will trump say melania this week 20260710153927804	Yes	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0x3e66fa…
07-06 19:17:26	will the announcers say save or saves 5 times during the portugal vs spain fifa world cup match 20260706131659332	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa2bfd8…
07-06 19:17:19	will the announcers say save or saves 5 times during the portugal vs spain fifa world cup match 20260706131659332	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xeb8b1a…
07-05 22:00:07	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xfb1732…
07-05 21:09:13	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x22ab02…
07-02 16:09:05	will trump say mount trump during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547092	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x4c650b…
07-02 16:08:13	will trump say mount trump during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547092	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x9959ae…
07-02 15:47:25	will trump say mount trump during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547092	No	SELL	203	100¢	$202	0x94717d…
07-02 15:15:26	will trump say mount trump during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547092	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x59d15b…
07-02 15:08:19	will trump say jefferson during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547091	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2f4693…
07-02 15:07:58	will trump say booming during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547084	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x4c2718…
07-02 15:07:28	will trump say restaurant during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547083	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xcf9ca8…
07-02 15:07:26	will trump say restaurant during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547083	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xffbcd0…
07-02 15:07:26	will trump say restaurant during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547083	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x84025d…
07-02 15:07:26	will trump say restaurant during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547083	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7ebb06…
07-02 15:07:26	will trump say restaurant during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547083	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7da007…
07-02 15:07:26	will trump say restaurant during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547083	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1afdfc…
07-02 15:07:25	will trump say restaurant during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547083	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x0be477…
07-02 13:34:32	will trump say firework during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547098	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x7d5255…
07-02 13:33:47	will trump say firework during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547098	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x8e3c06…
07-02 13:27:07	will trump say jefferson during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547091	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x97590d…
07-02 13:26:34	will trump say six seven during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547094	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0xe5780f…
07-02 13:26:14	will trump say jefferson during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547091	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x266313…
07-02 13:25:46	will trump say six seven during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547094	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x427724…
07-02 13:21:41	will trump say booming during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547084	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x737381…
07-02 13:19:47	will trump say firework during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547098	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x54670c…
07-02 13:16:20	will trump say restaurant during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547083	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xdebc25…
07-02 13:15:07	will trump say mount trump during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547092	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf66d45…
07-02 12:43:16	will trump say restaurant during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547083	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x7ff89e…
07-02 12:41:02	will trump say firework during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547098	No	BUY	74	98¢	$72	0xed112f…
07-02 12:40:38	will trump say restaurant during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547083	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xe48eaf…
07-02 12:40:20	will trump say restaurant during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547083	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x20772a…
07-02 12:40:14	will trump say restaurant during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547083	No	BUY	221	98¢	$218	0x3e83e5…
07-02 12:37:31	will trump say six seven during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547094	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x1cf3dd…
07-02 12:36:16	will trump say mount trump during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547092	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x698ad4…
07-02 12:36:11	will trump say mount trump during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547092	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x7896a5…
07-02 12:36:05	will trump say mount trump during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547092	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x141f11…
07-02 12:35:58	will trump say mount trump during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547092	No	BUY	238	98¢	$233	0xfc76fa…
07-02 12:35:20	will trump say six seven during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547094	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x84b429…
07-02 00:04:49	will trump say mount trump during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547092	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x727f0a…
07-02 00:04:28	will trump say six seven during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547094	No	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0xe376fa…
07-01 20:26:16	will trump say genius in july 20260629200910949	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a08b7…
07-01 20:24:26	will trump say stock market during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547099	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb81e7e…
07-01 20:24:19	will trump say stock market during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547099	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfff12f…
07-01 20:23:35	will trump say landslide during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547100	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x43b6f9…
07-01 20:23:34	will trump say landslide during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547100	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8663a9…
07-01 20:23:32	will trump say landslide during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547100	Yes	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xa271bc…
07-01 20:23:32	will trump say landslide during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547100	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9544fe…
07-01 20:23:32	will trump say landslide during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547100	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7b6a6e…
07-01 20:08:35	will trump say genius in july 20260629200910949	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x64f8eb…
07-01 20:00:46	will trump say genius in july 20260629200910949	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xea2208…
07-01 20:00:19	will trump say muscle in july 20260629200910951	Yes	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xfd8b54…
07-01 19:57:05	will trump say muscle in july 20260629200910951	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x63908d…
07-01 19:56:56	will trump say muscle in july 20260629200910951	Yes	BUY	115	98¢	$113	0x13ea4d…
07-01 19:52:43	will trump say fake news during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547082	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc52d7f…
07-01 19:43:16	will trump say tariff during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547095	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4eefa1…
07-01 19:41:41	will trump say tariff during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547095	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x54d466…
07-01 19:41:40	will trump say tariff during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547095	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe0a6ac…
07-01 19:41:35	will trump say tariff during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547095	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x13d05f…
07-01 19:40:13	will trump say police this week 20260626175002247	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xc3b116…
07-01 19:40:08	will trump say police this week 20260626175002247	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe3f699…
07-01 19:40:05	will trump say police this week 20260626175002247	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xe4d45a…
07-01 19:40:04	will trump say police this week 20260626175002247	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xcebb36…
07-01 19:39:59	will trump say police this week 20260626175002247	Yes	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0x1f0855…
07-01 19:39:44	will trump say patriot this week 20260626175002249	Yes	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x6d3a80…
07-01 19:35:28	will trump say democrat during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547089	Yes	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x9c7430…
07-01 19:32:29	will trump say genius in july 20260629200910949	Yes	BUY	184	97¢	$178	0x1406d0…
06-29 21:37:08	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	18	63¢	$11	0x42516a…
06-28 01:48:13	will the announcers say golden boot during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716826	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x43260a…
06-28 01:40:28	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716806	No	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0x8daa09…
06-28 01:38:22	will the announcers say golden boot during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716826	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc75ff2…
06-28 01:37:16	will the announcers say qatar during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716816	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeef268…
06-28 01:36:58	will the announcers say qatar during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716816	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xef5288…
06-28 01:36:23	will the announcers say shoulder to shoulder during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716811	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x81e8f6…
06-28 01:36:13	will the announcers say shoulder to shoulder during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716811	No	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x763fac…
06-28 01:35:38	will the announcers say record during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716818	Yes	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0xf87d14…
06-28 01:34:43	will the announcers say record during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716818	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8b0ce8…
06-28 01:32:44	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716810	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb1e2d2…
06-28 01:31:25	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716810	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xcae5cf…
06-28 01:30:59	will the announcers say qatar during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716816	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xb79d03…
06-28 01:29:08	will the announcers say shoulder to shoulder during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716811	No	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0x9b54c9…
06-28 01:12:59	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716810	Yes	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x48180f…
06-28 01:12:19	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716810	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7b8552…
06-28 01:12:16	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716810	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xa78bcb…
06-28 01:12:16	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716810	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x719b36…
06-28 01:06:19	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716810	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x092343…
06-28 01:05:31	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716810	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0x479853…
06-28 01:03:46	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716810	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8cf838…
06-28 00:24:55	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716810	No	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0x85e0b2…
06-28 00:11:13	will the announcers say ronaldo 20 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716807	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaed655…
06-28 00:06:19	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716810	No	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0x10d464…
06-27 23:36:46	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716810	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1e39d4…
06-27 23:36:38	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716810	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x2c6eb7…
06-27 23:34:28	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716810	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x8c98a9…
06-27 23:00:04	will the announcers say history during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511673	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x782830…
06-27 22:52:55	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511661	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xdf704c…
06-27 22:52:26	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511661	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xb33149…
06-27 22:50:17	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511663	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd413bb…
06-27 22:47:56	will the announcers say shoulder to shoulder during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511664	No	BUY	35	93¢	$33	0x8e1b44…
06-27 22:07:55	will the announcers say qatar during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511669	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xfa5cac…