Short-Term-Normalisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$121

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

455

Trades

752

lifetime

Volume

$36.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 05-06 12:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 63% -$25

Sports

3% 83% +$203

Other

2% 58% -$57

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 15:15 UTC	3	$641	451	445	+7	Up	+$247	03-07 15:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 05:25 UTC	3	$609	467	254	+213	Up	+$21	03-13 05:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 14:15 UTC	3	$526	331	327	+4	Up	+$130	03-06 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 05:45 UTC	3	$507	703	95	+608	Down	-$190	03-13 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 04:45 UTC	3	$422	513	201	+313	Down	-$68	03-13 04:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 02:30 UTC	3	$420	274	270	+4	Up	+$124	03-07 02:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 08:15 UTC	2	$400	535	0	+535	Up	+$135	03-12 08:28
nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	4	$400	477	0	+477	Clippers	+$77	03-10 04:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 14:00 UTC	3	$391	245	242	+3	Down	+$95	03-06 14:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 06:15 UTC	3	$387	528	358	+170	Down	-$207	03-13 06:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 13:45 UTC	2	$362	224	224	+1	Up	-$38	03-16 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 05:50 UTC	1	$300	390	0	+390	Up	+$90	03-13 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 04:20 UTC	3	$300	512	0	+512	Up	-$300	03-13 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 05:55 UTC	1	$300	331	0	+331	Up	+$31	03-13 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 07:55 UTC	1	$300	352	0	+352	Up	+$52	03-13 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 05:15 UTC	3	$300	350	0	+350	Up	+$50	03-13 05:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 03:15 UTC	3	$300	436	0	+436	Up	+$136	03-08 03:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 11:55 UTC	1	$300	309	0	+309	Down	+$9	03-13 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 15:15 UTC	2	$300	313	0	+313	Down	+$13	03-08 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 05:20 UTC	2	$292	396	0	+396	Down	-$292	03-13 05:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 12:00 UTC	3	$289	1,283	279	+1,004	Down	+$91	03-08 12:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 11:45 UTC	3	$287	323	318	+4	Up	-$113	03-08 11:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 11:30 UTC	3	$266	311	307	+4	Down	-$134	03-08 11:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 03:45 UTC	2	$261	165	163	+2	Up	+$64	03-08 04:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 08:45 UTC	2	$261	184	181	+3	Up	+$64	03-08 08:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 09:20 UTC	2	$256	160	158	+2	Up	+$58	03-12 09:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 05:05 UTC	3	$245	334	0	+334	Up	+$88	03-13 05:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 12:15 UTC	5	$219	542	536	+6	Up	-$193	03-08 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 12:50 UTC	2	$213	119	119	+1	Up	+$13	03-07 12:52
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:55 UTC	2	$211	116	116	+0	Up	+$12	03-10 14:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 12:01:32	Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage	Drama eSports	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x5563bc…
05-06 11:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xc8ed08…
05-06 11:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x049372…
05-06 11:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x67e5a5…
05-06 11:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0xbd4bce…
05-06 11:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc2fb2d…
05-06 11:44:22	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x7846de…
05-06 11:43:26	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xf1ac59…
05-06 11:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x30a9a8…
05-06 11:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x7f71e0…
05-06 11:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	88¢	$14	0x10bd61…
05-06 11:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x502cc6…
05-06 11:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	21	70¢	$15	0x711592…
05-06 11:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x12c380…
05-06 11:29:32	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x68d406…
05-06 11:28:46	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x051e6d…
05-06 11:24:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xe5053d…
05-06 11:23:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x25b363…
05-06 11:22:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0x085be0…
05-06 11:21:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xe34328…
05-06 11:19:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0xc1e131…
05-06 11:18:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x8c64cf…
05-06 11:17:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	42	18¢	$8	0xc24d79…
05-06 11:16:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xabb38c…
05-06 11:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x58c910…
05-06 11:11:26	LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Team WE	SELL	68	62¢	$42	0x4ad180…
05-06 11:09:58	LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Team WE	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0xbf7bec…
05-04 16:02:48	Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	MOUZ NXT	SELL	37	1¢	$0	0x6782d6…
05-04 15:58:00	Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	MOUZ NXT	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xc6d627…
05-04 15:56:52	Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	MOUZ NXT	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3c558a…
05-04 15:55:12	Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	MOUZ NXT	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x0d1939…
05-04 15:47:58	Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs m1x (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	m1x	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x89dee3…
05-04 15:46:54	Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs m1x (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	m1x	SELL	97	30¢	$29	0x554e38…
05-04 15:44:40	Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs m1x (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	m1x	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x161f26…
05-04 15:36:18	Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs m1x (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	m1x	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xc51333…
05-04 15:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x5e3049…
05-04 15:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x05008f…
05-04 15:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe63292…
05-04 15:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x0f4dce…
05-04 15:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0xd47c0d…
05-04 15:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xf77baf…
05-04 15:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	57¢	$12	0x009be7…
05-04 15:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xae77b1…
05-04 15:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	38	34¢	$13	0x91d03b…
05-04 15:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0xa2abdc…
05-02 15:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x66970a…
05-02 15:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	36	4¢	$1	0xc04566…
05-02 15:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xea9311…
05-02 15:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	38	49¢	$18	0x2d217f…
05-02 15:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xfd952c…
05-02 15:49:52	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xde3df9…
05-02 15:43:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x32a1bf…
05-02 15:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x1b55a8…
05-02 15:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xb21705…
05-02 15:18:10	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x68efd6…
05-02 15:13:54	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x1f0db0…
05-02 14:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x26efd5…
05-02 14:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	22	19¢	$4	0x0e98e1…
05-02 14:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xeae5a1…
05-02 14:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x81bef8…
05-02 14:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x382bde…
05-02 14:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x2ac924…
05-02 14:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xda6293…
05-02 14:30:24	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	70¢	$10	0x21c085…
05-02 14:28:10	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xf4cdf3…
05-02 14:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x1f0a25…
05-02 14:15:32	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x17652b…
05-02 14:13:08	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x55033f…
05-02 14:09:30	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xb14b51…
05-02 13:54:36	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xd6f615…
05-02 13:54:12	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe6fc26…
05-02 13:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xa83107…
05-02 13:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xda9133…
04-29 14:52:16	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Eternal Fire	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x2b5fcb…
04-29 14:19:30	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Eternal Fire	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xffb90d…
04-29 13:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x4fe588…
04-29 13:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6510ad…
04-29 12:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xd15a5e…
04-29 12:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x778142…
04-29 12:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x977d3d…
04-29 12:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfb6af1…
04-29 12:44:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	22	71¢	$16	0x76b9b7…
04-29 12:43:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x68edc9…
04-29 12:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xe89f38…
04-29 12:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	73¢	$5	0x6105e7…
04-29 12:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xe2dbe2…
04-29 12:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xf300fe…
04-29 12:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0x13ca6f…
04-29 12:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x96fc14…
04-29 12:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x4ada94…
04-29 12:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x723bb2…
04-29 12:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	62¢	$13	0xe6089f…
04-29 12:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x563102…
04-29 12:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x0a8908…
04-29 12:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6fcd7b…
04-29 12:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	31	39¢	$12	0x300aa4…
04-29 12:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x2b7ca0…
04-29 12:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	64¢	$12	0xae2e95…
04-29 12:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x2ce363…
04-29 12:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0xad26c9…