Insistent-Deficit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.64K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

46.4%

Resolved

11,683

Trades

27,355

lifetime

Volume

$66.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 11-09 01:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 65% -$2,419

Other

4% 66% -$209

Tech

1% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 1058 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	—	+29	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	11-09 01:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 14:20 UTC	53	$2.0K	2,202	1,830	+372	Up	+$137	07-28 14:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:45 UTC	105	$977	1,703	0	+1,703	Up	+$71	08-24 09:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 14:45 UTC	70	$947	858	853	+5	Up	+$73	07-28 14:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:50 UTC	140	$846	2,790	0	+2,790	Up	-$150	08-24 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:35 UTC	79	$719	1,876	0	+1,876	Down	-$719	08-24 10:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 15:05 UTC	53	$539	1,054	0	+1,054	Up	-$127	07-28 15:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 11:20 UTC	97	$521	1,005	0	+1,005	Down	-$70	07-27 11:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 15:35 UTC	68	$512	833	416	+417	Up	+$83	07-28 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 14:50 UTC	71	$497	1,027	0	+1,027	Down	+$70	07-28 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 21:10 UTC	44	$496	767	0	+767	Down	-$112	07-27 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 14:55 UTC	47	$494	966	0	+966	Down	-$13	07-28 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:35 UTC	71	$464	911	0	+911	Down	+$71	07-28 18:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:25 UTC	55	$440	919	0	+919	Up	+$19	07-27 23:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 15:10 UTC	82	$396	1,011	0	+1,011	Up	+$81	07-28 15:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:50 UTC	47	$378	810	0	+810	Up	+$20	07-27 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 21:00 UTC	53	$376	706	0	+706	Down	-$41	07-27 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:55 UTC	49	$368	668	0	+668	Up	-$34	07-27 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 15:15 UTC	44	$367	818	0	+818	Down	-$4	07-28 15:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:05 UTC	35	$359	742	0	+742	Down	-$39	07-28 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 22:40 UTC	95	$352	722	0	+722	Up	+$27	07-25 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:30 UTC	76	$346	669	0	+669	Up	+$124	07-28 18:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 00:00 UTC	102	$345	703	0	+703	Up	-$16	07-26 00:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 12:40 UTC	23	$338	646	0	+646	Up	+$49	07-28 12:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:40 UTC	36	$314	576	0	+576	Down	-$26	07-27 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 11:10 UTC	51	$312	611	0	+611	Down	-$4	07-27 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	100	$311	648	0	+648	Down	-$7	07-25 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:45 UTC	39	$304	606	0	+606	Down	+$11	07-27 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 12:30 UTC	22	$304	703	0	+703	Up	+$134	07-28 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 12:50 UTC	35	$301	680	0	+680	Down	-$10	07-28 12:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 12:45 UTC	30	$296	596	0	+596	Up	-$89	07-28 12:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 01:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x54bebf…
11-09 01:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x252a4b…
11-09 01:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x2a1104…
11-09 01:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd9f109…
11-09 01:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9ca28b…
11-09 01:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x4a4532…
11-09 01:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe199dd…
11-09 01:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe687cb…
11-09 01:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6da515…
11-09 01:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5eb1a3…
11-09 01:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd977a6…
11-09 00:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc29131…
11-09 00:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1dff38…
11-09 00:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc878be…
11-09 00:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa1749c…
11-09 00:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x243883…
11-09 00:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc6ee86…
11-09 00:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2b4ec6…
11-09 00:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x30fa39…
11-09 00:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf7cd2e…
11-09 00:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1a759e…
11-09 00:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x93cdbd…
11-09 00:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7abc68…
11-09 00:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc90f98…
11-09 00:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe48d13…
11-09 00:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x33a43e…
11-09 00:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb3a53a…
11-09 00:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdc8f84…
11-09 00:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd2250e…
11-09 00:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x74d0f6…
11-09 00:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0eef31…
11-09 00:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x300a25…
11-09 00:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x45eeeb…
11-09 00:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xada159…
11-09 00:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xdc5dec…
11-08 23:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbde93a…
11-08 23:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfdbef2…
11-08 23:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa874c1…
11-08 23:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1a1c4e…
11-08 23:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1b81c2…
11-08 23:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa0a644…
11-08 23:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x02dc60…
11-08 23:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x891279…
11-08 23:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xaea675…
11-08 23:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xbf780e…
11-08 23:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6bc7eb…
11-08 23:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xe47a10…
11-08 23:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xeb3a43…
11-08 23:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x88b95b…
11-08 23:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7ba0c6…
11-08 23:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc076ac…
11-08 23:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb0fada…
11-08 23:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x54655c…
11-08 23:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x279213…
11-08 23:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x20f1ed…
11-08 23:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x199a3e…
11-08 23:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x471e06…
11-08 23:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x221fba…
11-08 23:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x860368…
11-08 22:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x96106c…
11-08 22:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x516ab6…
11-08 22:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5f34dd…
11-08 22:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x640aaf…
11-08 22:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x00caf2…
11-08 22:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x1498e5…
11-08 22:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x38a4c1…
11-08 22:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd32e2d…
11-08 22:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xfdb57d…
11-08 22:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1382f2…
11-08 22:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x66a080…
11-08 22:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1dd335…
11-08 22:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd85266…
11-08 22:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc93b40…
11-08 22:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xedf169…
11-08 22:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x806ce9…
11-08 22:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x68b650…
11-08 22:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x055784…
11-08 22:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x01fb51…
11-08 22:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xfb33b1…
11-08 22:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x90c386…
11-08 22:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x85c1bc…
11-08 21:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd430bb…
11-08 21:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf0bf7d…
11-08 21:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1c5e18…
11-08 21:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x25021e…
11-08 21:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xdc2ca2…
11-08 21:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x74a919…
11-08 21:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x10402b…
11-08 21:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x227672…
11-08 21:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x899b6f…
11-08 21:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x3283f2…
11-08 21:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x60e6cc…
11-08 21:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa90eef…
11-08 21:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1836bf…
11-08 21:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x10d97e…
11-08 21:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc4a928…
11-08 21:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdd4528…
11-08 14:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd2c298…
11-07 16:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd77867…
11-05 23:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd20d8a…