Concrete-Flugelhorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$146.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.08K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-26 02:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

99% 97% +$50

Crypto

1% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 80% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	51	$108.7K	200,000	0	+200,000	No	+$334	02-02 17:18
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$17.7K	18,000	0	+18,000	No	+$252	02-02 12:49
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$16.6K	18,000	0	+18,000	No	+$1,440	02-02 12:07
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	6	$2.0K	18,000	0	+18,000	Yes	-$1,980	02-02 12:40
will bitcoin reach 82k march 23 29	1	$79	79	0	+79	No	+$0	03-28 03:57
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 100 119	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	04-08 11:28
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	10-26 02:44
will the price of solana be between 120 130 on march 24	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	03-24 03:11
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$0	07-20 18:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	2	$42	28	28	+0	open	—	09-29 21:32
will xrp reach 1pt9 march 9 15	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	03-14 08:50
highest temperature in miami on march 22 2026 69forbelow	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	03-21 08:45
bitcoin above 94k on february 5	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	02-03 02:31
xrp above 0pt9 on march 27	1	$34	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	03-25 04:07
will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on april 16	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	04-14 03:15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	09-15 04:05
will the price of solana be between 50 60 on march 25	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	03-24 03:11
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	08-06 21:47
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 80 99	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	02-10 11:43
Will the price of Solana be above $135 on October 28?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	10-26 02:45
highest temperature in miami on march 11 2026 75forbelow	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	03-10 03:17
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 6	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	03-06 13:36
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on October 29?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	10-26 02:46
solana above 150 on february 8	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	02-06 05:50
xrp above 0pt9 on march 12	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	03-10 03:12
highest temperature in nyc on april 3 2026 76 77f	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-03 03:22
will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on april 17	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	04-14 03:17
xrp above 1pt6 on june 6 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-05 11:53
solana above 120 on february 7	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	02-06 05:50
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on October 27?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	10-26 02:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 02:46:32	Will the price of Solana be above $130 on October 29?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa58dea…
10-26 02:45:57	Will the price of Solana be above $135 on October 28?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc33c2a…
10-26 02:45:44	Will the price of Solana be above $130 on October 27?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb66768…
10-26 02:44:44	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x31096f…
09-29 21:32:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	80¢	$22	0xe5e47c…
09-15 04:06:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x2ed704…
09-15 04:06:01	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xf831a3…
09-15 04:05:31	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x793405…
08-06 21:47:27	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0x4cd611…
08-03 08:39:51	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0xa274f8…
08-03 08:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 3?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x45c406…
08-03 08:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on August 4?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdbf4c0…
08-03 08:37:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on August 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xada12a…
08-03 08:37:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 4?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x594037…
07-20 18:43:39	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xc8ef48…
07-03 06:31:34	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,100 on July 6?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8efd74…
07-03 06:30:29	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x1ebb78…
07-03 06:29:59	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0xfafb57…
07-03 06:29:32	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x97cc21…
06-05 11:54:52	will xrp reach 2 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0b8be5…
06-05 11:53:54	xrp above 1pt8 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc0ba77…
06-05 11:53:40	xrp above 1pt8 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc08f79…
06-05 11:53:27	xrp above 1pt6 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x994be6…
05-05 05:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 7?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7299e9…
05-05 05:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 7?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x614d70…
05-05 05:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 6?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x244cac…
05-05 05:51:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x63cec3…
04-19 10:58:38	highest temperature in hong kong on april 20 2026 24c	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x42bc4c…
04-14 03:17:01	will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on april 17	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb83ac4…
04-14 03:15:43	will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on april 16	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc7773c…
04-11 11:20:57	highest temperature in munich on april 12 2026 8c	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa4ee13…
04-08 11:28:41	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 100 119	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x3cafd1…
04-08 11:27:21	highest temperature in nyc on april 9 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe8b883…
04-03 03:22:39	highest temperature in nyc on april 3 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3bae4d…
03-28 03:57:03	will bitcoin reach 82k march 23 29	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x9ad59a…
03-25 04:07:03	xrp above 0pt9 on march 27	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xbf6066…
03-25 04:06:37	xrp above 1pt2 on march 25	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x063562…
03-24 03:11:27	will the price of solana be between 50 60 on march 25	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x52ba4a…
03-24 03:11:11	will the price of solana be between 120 130 on march 24	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x5f063e…
03-21 08:45:49	highest temperature in miami on march 22 2026 69forbelow	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb85bff…
03-21 08:44:55	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 23 2026 20corbelow	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc704ea…
03-21 08:44:43	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 22 2026 20corbelow	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x12a04d…
03-21 08:44:17	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 21 2026 26c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcb3e12…
03-18 07:46:19	highest temperature in shanghai on march 19 2026 6c	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbdba77…
03-18 07:46:09	highest temperature in shanghai on march 18 2026 14c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0e999d…
03-18 07:45:39	highest temperature in dallas on march 19 2026 73forbelow	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcbe219…
03-18 07:45:27	highest temperature in dallas on march 18 2026 63forbelow	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x49ca9c…
03-14 08:51:07	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 9 15	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb119b6…
03-14 08:50:37	will xrp reach 1pt9 march 9 15	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xf5805b…
03-14 08:50:03	xrp above 1pt9 on march 18	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb06144…
03-14 08:49:51	xrp above 0pt9 on march 17	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xce6e8a…
03-10 03:17:11	highest temperature in miami on march 11 2026 75forbelow	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x40bbd3…
03-10 03:12:05	xrp above 0pt9 on march 12	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x48c11f…
03-10 03:10:51	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on march 12	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfc74e1…
03-10 03:10:31	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on march 11	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe5b9be…
03-06 13:36:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 6	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x480693…
03-06 13:35:29	ethereum above 1500 on march 8	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x202b54…
03-06 13:35:03	ethereum above 2400 on march 7	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0xe03995…
03-06 13:34:45	ethereum above 1800 on march 6	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x09ab19…
03-06 13:33:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x0b96e7…
03-01 04:03:33	solana above 140 on march 4	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe0f5b6…
03-01 04:03:13	solana above 40 on march 3	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x21afb5…
03-01 04:03:03	solana above 60 on march 1	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x80c19b…
03-01 04:01:15	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xa3399b…
02-10 11:43:49	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 80 99	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4658a5…
02-10 11:43:31	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 40 59	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x28e681…
02-10 11:43:03	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf2edce…
02-10 11:42:05	us strikes iran by february 10 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x6d8d6d…
02-06 05:51:27	will the price of solana be between 120 130 on february 7	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2e41ac…
02-06 05:51:11	solana above 150 on february 9	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x107ae6…
02-06 05:50:43	solana above 150 on february 8	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4cbdd6…
02-06 05:50:31	solana above 120 on february 7	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x762ca3…
02-03 02:31:46	bitcoin above 94k on february 5	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xfdba89…
02-03 02:31:26	bitcoin above 90k on february 4	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc08a73…
02-03 02:30:58	bitcoin above 86k on february 3	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x175c53…
02-02 17:18:12	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	8,357	98¢	$8,223	0x64a72c…
02-02 17:15:42	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	117	98¢	$115	0xc293a0…
02-02 17:15:42	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	84	98¢	$82	0x573a34…
02-02 17:15:40	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	62	98¢	$62	0x7accd3…
02-02 17:15:40	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	83	98¢	$82	0x230f86…
02-02 17:15:36	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0x82cc67…
02-02 17:15:36	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	90	98¢	$89	0x42c798…
02-02 17:15:36	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	90	98¢	$89	0x3fb5be…
02-02 17:15:32	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	139	98¢	$137	0xfc4ca1…
02-02 17:15:30	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	900	98¢	$886	0x79b56f…
02-02 17:13:06	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	7,984	98¢	$7,856	0x2d24e6…
02-02 12:49:12	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	18,000	99¢	$17,748	0x3aeb81…
02-02 12:40:44	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	15,657	11¢	$1,722	0xc2fd93…
02-02 12:26:06	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x58810c…
02-02 12:25:58	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x64f9b3…
02-02 12:25:48	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x73df65…
02-02 12:25:32	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xb160ef…
02-02 12:25:30	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2,316	11¢	$255	0x9ac630…
02-02 12:07:34	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	18,000	92¢	$16,560	0x43e2ec…
02-02 08:21:48	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0xa33319…
02-02 08:13:12	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0xb1f378…
02-02 08:12:46	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	4,212	98¢	$4,149	0xe56e95…
02-02 07:53:20	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	303	98¢	$298	0x50441f…
02-02 07:47:36	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	265	98¢	$260	0xc17316…
02-02 07:44:44	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	588	98¢	$578	0x5b5f6c…