Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

+$521

Hit rate

64.8%

Resolved

316

Trades

2,274

lifetime

Volume

$29.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$10.6K

9 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 09-13 14:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

96% 46% +$23

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	+3,487	$2,293	84¢	$2.9K	+$619	08-30 14:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	+2,590	$2,390	97¢	$2.5K	+$110	09-01 04:14
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	+3,366	$2,381	70¢	$2.4K	-$25	09-13 14:43
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	No	+1,113	$1,045	96¢	$1.1K	+$27	08-30 21:44
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	Anthropic	+625	$571	93¢	$581	+$10	09-04 04:42
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	+1,652	$717	31¢	$512	-$205	09-07 07:18
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	+612	$504	73¢	$446	-$58	08-11 07:59
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	+245	$191	96¢	$235	+$44	08-13 17:00
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	+31	$23	66¢	$21	-$2	08-13 07:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	7	$2.5K	2,633	0	+2,633	Yes	+$107	08-15 05:05
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	15	$2.4K	2,590	0	+2,590	open	—	09-01 04:14
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	27	$2.4K	3,366	0	+3,366	open	—	09-13 14:43
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	12	$2.3K	3,487	0	+3,487	open	—	08-30 14:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	6	$1.0K	1,113	0	+1,113	open	—	08-30 21:44
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	31	$1.0K	1,383	1,383	+0	Yes	-$1	03-14 09:50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	14	$717	1,652	0	+1,652	open	—	09-07 07:18
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	6	$571	625	0	+625	open	—	09-04 04:42
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	2	$504	612	0	+612	open	—	08-11 07:59
aapl above 210 on march 31 2026	74	$439	919	0	+919	Yes	-$1	03-31 17:55
will nvda reach 200 in march	41	$417	829	0	+829	No	-$2	03-31 15:36
highest temperature in dallas on march 5 2026 86 87f	18	$398	813	0	+813	No	+$0	03-05 22:06
highest temperature in dallas on february 18 2026 82forhigher	19	$342	911	0	+911	No	+$4	02-19 05:55
will nvda reach 228 in march	34	$321	644	0	+644	No	-$1	03-27 21:33
highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 13c	6	$314	629	0	+629	No	+$1	03-02 06:04
highest temperature in ankara on february 27 2026 7corhigher	8	$313	514	0	+514	No	+$1	02-27 12:55
highest temperature in wellington on march 5 2026 16c	3	$296	592	0	+592	No	+$0	03-04 12:56
highest temperature in seoul on february 21 2026 6corbelow	6	$289	581	0	+581	No	+$2	02-19 23:53
highest temperature in seoul on february 21 2026 10c	8	$286	627	0	+627	No	+$1	02-20 11:58
highest temperature in chicago on february 27 2026 68forhigher	3	$267	534	0	+534	No	+$0	02-27 21:55
highest temperature in atlanta on february 18 2026 60 61f	8	$234	470	0	+470	No	+$1	02-17 11:51
highest temperature in seoul on february 19 2026 7corhigher	9	$232	464	0	+464	No	+$0	02-19 05:33
highest temperature in paris on march 5 2026 15c	5	$226	452	0	+452	No	+$0	03-05 06:41
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 18 2026 41c	9	$222	319	0	+319	No	+$1	02-18 04:57
will amzn dip to 152 in march	19	$201	400	0	+400	No	-$1	03-28 12:42
aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	21	$200	415	0	+415	No	+$8	03-30 05:52
highest temperature in seattle on march 3 2026 48 49f	2	$196	392	0	+392	No	+$0	03-03 08:26
highest temperature in atlanta on february 26 2026 68 69f	6	$195	298	0	+298	No	+$3	02-26 20:30
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	4	$191	245	0	+245	open	—	08-13 17:00
highest temperature in seattle on february 27 2026 46 47f	6	$185	373	0	+373	No	+$2	02-26 11:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 14:43:01	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	77	80¢	$61	0xefb46b…
09-12 14:42:39	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	146	80¢	$117	0x0d5ab1…
09-12 14:28:06	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	77	80¢	$62	0x3252e5…
09-07 09:54:36	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	500	81¢	$405	0xba3dbb…
09-07 07:18:27	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xcbad9e…
09-04 04:42:04	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	Anthropic	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xe9aee0…
09-04 04:41:43	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	Anthropic	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x33d7d9…
09-04 04:41:07	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	Anthropic	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x30b0c9…
09-04 03:12:55	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	Anthropic	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xaee015…
09-03 19:54:36	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	52	42¢	$22	0x6943a9…
09-03 19:52:36	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x8e5f23…
09-03 19:52:36	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x5c3bce…
09-03 19:52:34	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xd8a365…
09-03 19:52:34	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x4deb3a…
09-03 19:52:34	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x4a6148…
09-03 19:52:34	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x446c82…
09-03 19:52:34	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x08eb78…
09-03 19:52:33	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x2ca600…
09-03 19:52:31	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x812331…
09-03 19:52:31	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x0b2f6d…
09-03 19:52:28	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	500	44¢	$220	0x96a283…
09-01 04:14:43	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x158990…
08-31 20:14:16	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0xf8d89b…
08-31 19:13:06	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x25a856…
08-31 19:00:09	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0xfe5434…
08-30 21:44:51	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	No	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0x823607…
08-30 14:33:28	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0xde11fe…
08-30 10:44:09	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7a04d8…
08-30 07:54:58	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x6d30c9…
08-30 04:59:18	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x70e9b0…
08-28 21:41:43	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	106	71¢	$75	0x321dad…
08-28 16:25:18	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	866	71¢	$615	0x38c7da…
08-28 01:30:21	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	BUY	112	92¢	$103	0x0d9b57…
08-21 13:32:00	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	245	65¢	$159	0x9002da…
08-21 12:46:24	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x0a4347…
08-21 12:46:01	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xd45cce…
08-21 12:46:01	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xcef682…
08-21 12:46:01	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xa1ee27…
08-21 12:46:00	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2b40c3…
08-21 12:46:00	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x2a68d4…
08-21 11:29:52	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xdb0cec…
08-21 11:29:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x46a0b8…
08-21 11:28:46	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xbef009…
08-21 11:28:04	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x924388…
08-21 11:28:03	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xfbd77d…
08-21 11:28:03	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x3cf0aa…
08-21 11:28:03	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x388930…
08-21 11:28:01	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x12bedd…
08-21 10:36:09	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	71	65¢	$46	0x320359…
08-21 10:36:09	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x266bf2…
08-21 10:36:07	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf0f25a…
08-21 10:36:07	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x1bae26…
08-20 13:40:51	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	165	65¢	$107	0xa4ab44…
08-19 13:56:27	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0xd264a7…
08-18 08:42:48	will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xb364ba…
08-17 19:55:43	will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x31e8ce…
08-17 19:44:13	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	Anthropic	BUY	375	92¢	$345	0x9a3a44…
08-17 08:51:48	will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0x58783c…
08-16 15:31:21	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	Anthropic	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xeae9d7…
08-16 13:09:58	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x8b0f99…
08-16 11:10:52	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x0aa269…
08-16 11:10:49	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0xca5ce3…
08-16 11:06:45	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x584d74…
08-16 11:06:39	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	600	92¢	$552	0xf5e12d…
08-16 11:06:24	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x8c1aec…
08-16 05:16:43	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	BUY	1,000	73¢	$730	0xa31351…
08-15 21:18:40	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	845	93¢	$786	0x24a8a5…
08-15 15:53:27	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x465b79…
08-15 05:05:09	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xad4792…
08-15 03:12:21	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	106	95¢	$101	0xe23ddf…
08-15 00:59:03	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x483f17…
08-14 14:44:49	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	150	93¢	$140	0x403d44…
08-13 18:19:57	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	442	95¢	$420	0x434082…
08-13 17:03:18	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	BUY	112	57¢	$64	0x57c759…
08-13 17:00:13	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	BUY	225	78¢	$176	0x218177…
08-13 16:27:40	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x20dba7…
08-13 16:26:33	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2d7c2e…
08-13 16:26:30	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xb22f5b…
08-13 15:19:37	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	959	97¢	$931	0xc68f83…
08-13 14:24:57	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0xcda9cc…
08-13 14:24:13	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	BUY	651	57¢	$371	0xee99ee…
08-13 13:11:42	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	991	96¢	$951	0xe0aef2…
08-13 07:13:58	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x19261f…
08-13 07:09:49	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	237	92¢	$218	0x9e5828…
08-12 20:13:33	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0xc9ba1d…
08-12 08:02:18	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	BUY	204	50¢	$102	0xbf35d0…
08-12 06:42:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb2d9be…
08-12 02:28:22	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9496a4…
08-11 15:29:13	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x99e23e…
08-11 10:08:09	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	BUY	333	50¢	$166	0x5f6020…
08-11 07:59:18	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	BUY	169	83¢	$140	0xe2aed0…
08-11 07:59:15	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	BUY	444	82¢	$364	0x221d07…
08-11 07:58:12	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	66	88¢	$58	0xd662c4…
04-28 20:14:50	Will Opendoor dip to $2 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xf33572…
04-23 11:03:28	Will Netflix dip to $0 in April?	Yes	SELL	57	0¢	$0	0xbc407b…
04-17 15:03:30	Will Microsoft reach $503 in April?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xd169e1…
04-17 06:57:36	Will Opendoor dip to $2 in April?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xb5e03f…
04-17 06:52:34	Will Opendoor dip to $2 in April?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x6cd5d3…
04-17 06:47:30	Will Opendoor dip to $2 in April?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x30a46f…
04-17 06:42:26	Will Opendoor dip to $2 in April?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x343252…