Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
93.8%
Resolved
475
Trades
922
lifetime
Volume
$11.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$1.38K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-25
last 09-20 21:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
60% 80% -$76
Sports
20% 84% +$36
Politics
16% 84% +$40
Tech
2% 71% +$22
Crypto
1% 80% -$14
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Werder Bremen be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +157 $157 100¢ $157 $0 09-09 23:15
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +111 $111 100¢ $111 $0 09-04 10:12
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +95 $86 96¢ $91 +$6 09-05 12:05
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +89 $86 95¢ $84 -$1 09-18 01:02
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +64 $64 100¢ $64 +$0 09-18 01:03
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +63 $62 99¢ $62 $0 09-13 00:50
Will SC Freiburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +54 $53 99¢ $53 +$0 09-09 22:59
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +49 $47 100¢ $49 +$2 09-13 17:35
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $48 100¢ $48 +$0 09-09 13:11
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $48 98¢ $47 $0 09-18 01:03
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $45 91¢ $44 -$1 09-14 02:57
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 09-07 23:27
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 09-13 17:34
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $39 98¢ $40 +$1 09-14 03:23
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +39 $39 100¢ $39 +$0 09-13 00:54
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $34 93¢ $38 +$4 09-07 23:11
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $38 86¢ $35 -$4 09-13 17:35
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 +$0 09-02 17:30
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $32 99¢ $32 +$0 09-09 13:11
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $31 100¢ $31 +$0 09-13 21:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +28 $24 98¢ $27 +$3 09-01 18:04
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +25 $24 99¢ $24 +$0 09-13 01:04
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $24 100¢ $24 +$0 09-13 00:50
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $24 100¢ $24 +$0 09-13 17:36
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $24 99¢ $24 $0 09-13 17:35
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $23 97¢ $23 +$0 09-14 02:57
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $23 96¢ $23 +$0 09-14 02:57
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $23 96¢ $23 +$0 09-18 01:02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +63 $17 36¢ $22 +$5 08-26 21:10
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +24 $23 89¢ $21 -$2 09-14 03:23