Raw-Halfbrother — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$101

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$78

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-10 18:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

72% 100% +$3

Politics

19% 100% +$1

Sports

4% 100% +$2

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	+32	$24	100¢	$32	+$8	05-07 22:09
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	-41	$-29	68¢	$-28	+$1	05-08 08:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	+19	$17	94¢	$18	+$2	05-10 15:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 18:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x831e34…
05-10 18:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xda1706…
05-10 15:20:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	19	85¢	$17	0x8840c2…
05-08 08:24:41	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	41	72¢	$29	0x796deb…
05-07 22:09:36	Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	32	75¢	$24	0x628dd4…
05-06 20:56:38	Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xbbf23c…
05-06 19:24:59	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xdd1f26…
05-06 11:02:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x3389d3…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$29	0	41	-41	open	—	05-08 08:24
Will the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$24	32	0	+32	open	—	05-07 22:09
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	1	$20	23	0	+23	Yes	+$3	05-06 20:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$17	19	0	+19	open	—	05-10 15:20
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$4	6	0	+6	Yes	+$2	05-06 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	05-10 18:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$1	05-06 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$0	0	0	-0	open	—	05-10 18:21