Deadly-Tobacco — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.08K

Unrealized P&L

-$112

Hit rate

48.5%

Resolved

203

Trades

265

lifetime

Volume

$19.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 07-28 07:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

43% 29% +$200

Politics

38% 11% -$1,166

Crypto

7% 28% -$167

Sports

7% 7% -$752

Tech

5% 50% +$809

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+438	$126	3¢	$14	-$112	07-20 11:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	4	$2.9K	2,701	1,728	+974	Yes	-$188	07-13 10:23
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	2	$1.1K	618	618	+0	No	+$112	07-04 21:56
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	3	$1.1K	1,160	351	+809	Yes	+$12	06-24 03:36
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	1	$780	839	0	+839	Yes	+$59	06-24 20:17
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	1	$700	853	0	+853	Yes	+$153	07-11 22:57
iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	1	$700	835	0	+835	No	+$135	07-13 22:14
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	1	$593	1,802	0	+1,802	No	+$1,209	07-04 21:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 17:20 UTC	2	$525	818	0	+818	Up	+$85	06-25 17:23
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$469	1,778	667	+1,111	Yes	-$131	07-18 23:18
iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	3	$452	665	665	+0	Yes	-$448	07-21 19:49
gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	1	$400	12,102	0	+12,102	Yes	-$400	07-08 12:46
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?	3	$367	239	239	+0	No	-$83	07-23 04:38
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$313	586	586	+0	open	—	07-21 19:14
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?	1	$290	322	0	+322	Yes	+$32	07-11 22:59
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?	3	$282	687	687	+0	No	-$186	06-16 21:10
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals declan rice gte1	2	$261	241	241	+0	Yes	+$221	07-18 21:42
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$259	546	0	+546	No	-$259	07-14 20:40
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	1	$258	266	0	+266	Egypt	+$8	07-03 20:50
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	3	$246	487	487	+0	Yes	+$46	06-19 12:37
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	1	$200	602	0	+602	No	-$200	07-17 09:50
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	1	$200	294	0	+294	Yes	+$94	06-23 22:01
Croatia to score first vs. Panama?	1	$200	286	0	+286	Yes	+$86	06-23 22:01
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	2	$196	114	114	+0	No	+$4	07-28 06:48
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	1	$190	327	0	+327	Yes	+$137	07-02 22:33
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$184	851	414	+438	open	—	07-20 11:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$183	244	244	+0	open	—	07-20 12:01
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$172	103	103	+0	Yes	-$1	07-08 23:00
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	3	$155	156	156	+0	Yes	+$55	06-17 19:15
Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	2	$146	696	696	+0	open	—	07-10 21:06
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$131	345	345	+0	No	+$71	07-19 19:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 07:33:51	Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	24¢	$27	0xec06f6…
07-28 07:33:24	Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	41¢	$70	0x456810…
07-28 06:48:48	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	114	87¢	$100	0x7635e7…
07-27 16:05:06	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb2af82…
07-23 04:38:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xeb0a50…
07-23 04:27:12	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	550	0¢	$2	0xa58a62…
07-22 20:31:01	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	114	84¢	$96	0x01c554…
07-22 20:20:07	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	1,150	0¢	$3	0xa6a48e…
07-22 20:17:33	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	606	3¢	$20	0x03e431…
07-22 20:17:25	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	551	4¢	$20	0xc8dc55…
07-22 20:17:10	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	1,150	0¢	$5	0xf74865…
07-22 12:50:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	229	61¢	$140	0x95146e…
07-21 20:06:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x30846d…
07-21 20:03:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x05cded…
07-21 19:49:54	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	SELL	665	0¢	$2	0x2c12b8…
07-21 19:28:58	Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?	Yes	BUY	239	94¢	$225	0x4a5a24…
07-21 19:14:12	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	586	28¢	$163	0x6bce9a…
07-21 19:14:06	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	254	26¢	$66	0xd1b576…
07-20 12:11:30	iran successfully targets shipping on july 20	No	BUY	72	66¢	$48	0xb02a0f…
07-20 12:03:51	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	553	76¢	$420	0xee1038…
07-20 12:01:46	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	244	34¢	$83	0xf14a02…
07-20 11:59:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xd1f322…
07-20 11:58:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x691a43…
07-20 11:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xb20356…
07-20 11:44:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x541723…
07-20 11:39:27	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	438	8¢	$35	0x0cbaed…
07-20 11:39:19	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	414	7¢	$29	0xd65b0f…
07-20 07:22:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x169755…
07-20 07:13:07	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	SELL	208	31¢	$65	0x524950…
07-19 21:46:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	432	9¢	$40	0xa537d4…
07-19 21:03:37	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	170	23¢	$40	0xb9cb51…
07-19 20:58:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 11pt5	Over	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x9dceb0…
07-19 20:52:04	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	271	15¢	$40	0x2f52de…
07-19 19:26:12	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	179	39¢	$71	0xb04853…
07-19 00:44:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x803290…
07-19 00:37:15	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 18	Yes	BUY	267	37¢	$100	0x6dca3c…
07-19 00:32:27	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 16	No	BUY	350	6¢	$20	0x6dcc08…
07-19 00:31:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,066	0¢	$10	0x490128…
07-18 23:53:24	Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?	No	BUY	426	5¢	$20	0x6966e8…
07-18 23:52:31	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	476	4¢	$20	0xd53152…
07-18 23:51:46	Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	290	10¢	$30	0x98082b…
07-18 23:51:36	Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x8bfa0b…
07-18 23:39:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xd18b36…
07-18 23:37:18	Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x5106f2…
07-18 23:31:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	294	5¢	$15	0x5b8567…
07-18 23:23:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals ferran torres gte1	Yes	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x41cf44…
07-18 23:23:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals giuliano simeone gte1	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xf0f6f4…
07-18 23:22:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals fabian ruiz gte1	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xea06b0…
07-18 23:22:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals dani olmo gte1	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xd481b3…
07-18 23:22:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals enzo fernandez gte1	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x117932…
07-18 23:20:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	133	22¢	$30	0xa960a0…
07-18 23:18:12	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x257c1b…
07-18 23:17:42	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x6d5614…
07-18 22:50:48	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x7ec1c6…
07-18 22:41:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 shots ousmane dembele gte1	No	BUY	240	4¢	$10	0x6a17bc…
07-18 22:27:49	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0xcdb5ca…
07-18 21:42:12	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals declan rice gte1	Yes	SELL	241	100¢	$241	0x515b73…
07-18 21:38:40	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0x0c174e…
07-18 21:38:13	Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	252	7¢	$18	0x8b8f2f…
07-18 21:15:49	Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	154	6¢	$10	0xa11b9c…
07-18 21:15:34	Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xd8ed4b…
07-18 21:15:09	Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x0e86cd…
07-18 21:11:07	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners total 7pt5	Under	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x4a41a3…
07-18 20:59:01	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals declan rice gte1	Yes	BUY	241	8¢	$20	0xa5b8e2…
07-18 20:58:46	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals anthony gordon gte1	Yes	SELL	125	7¢	$9	0x0f6239…
07-18 20:58:22	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals anthony gordon gte1	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x50e497…
07-18 20:58:10	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals marcus rashford gte1	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x9367fe…
07-18 20:57:57	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0xadfc92…
07-18 20:55:49	England to score first vs. France?	Yes	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0xf6ca15…
07-18 20:54:57	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	194	31¢	$60	0x1ab072…
07-18 20:53:57	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	254	24¢	$60	0x96670a…
07-17 19:37:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts first half	Yes	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0x25be83…
07-17 19:35:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 assists lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0xfb0be2…
07-17 19:24:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	304	23¢	$70	0x1b5ad8…
07-17 19:24:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x89adaf…
07-17 19:21:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lautaro martinez gte1	Yes	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0x959a0b…
07-17 19:21:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	252	8¢	$20	0xbda312…
07-17 09:50:28	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	BUY	602	33¢	$200	0x94d273…
07-15 21:47:29	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	714	0¢	$4	0xf9bb4a…
07-14 20:40:11	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	265	60¢	$159	0x8d3aab…
07-14 20:39:44	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	667	25¢	$169	0x1e89a1…
07-13 22:14:20	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	No	BUY	835	84¢	$700	0x3814e9…
07-13 10:23:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	No	BUY	974	31¢	$300	0xe639b5…
07-13 10:01:47	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	SELL	1,728	78¢	$1,349	0x7b4a47…
07-12 06:54:44	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	1,502	81¢	$1,217	0xa2d744…
07-12 00:28:02	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals johan manzambi gte1	Yes	SELL	744	1¢	$8	0x728d0e…
07-12 00:24:55	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals breel embolo gte1	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x4572d1…
07-12 00:24:28	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals johan manzambi gte1	Yes	BUY	744	1¢	$10	0xc9c1d3…
07-12 00:23:53	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals ruben vargas gte1	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x7781c5…
07-12 00:23:41	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals granit xhaka gte1	Yes	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0xb9ae35…
07-12 00:22:29	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x4705d9…
07-12 00:21:59	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	194	15¢	$30	0x5fe2a6…
07-11 23:57:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xff9b03…
07-11 23:42:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	SELL	182	4¢	$7	0x9044cc…
07-11 23:28:07	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcb27d9…
07-11 22:59:23	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	322	90¢	$290	0xe6ff2e…
07-11 22:57:16	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	853	82¢	$700	0x7a1281…
07-11 21:50:01	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals jude bellingham gte2	Yes	BUY	129	19¢	$25	0x2dd80f…
07-11 20:27:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xc294a4…
07-11 20:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x828fb8…