Stupendous-Secretion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$264

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

3,261

Trades

5,200

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 11-04 07:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 45% -$231

Other

2% 36% -$31

Tech

1% 0% $0

Politics

0% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	10	$80	58	58	+0	Yes	$0	02-15 07:03
bitcoin above 70k on february 19	1	$54	4,155	0	+4,155	No	-$54	02-19 05:38
will the price of ethereum be less than 2000 on february 7	8	$41	85	85	+0	No	+$27	02-07 07:21
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	2	$37	91	91	+0	Yes	+$17	03-19 17:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 23:45 UTC	5	$25	39	0	+39	Up	+$14	04-19 23:48
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	3	$24	125	71	+53	No	-$6	03-20 13:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:10 UTC	3	$24	22	22	+0	Down	+$20	07-08 14:15
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	2	$23	238	238	+0	No	+$3	02-16 13:12
bitcoin above 70k on february 18	11	$22	300	300	+0	No	+$1	02-18 10:44
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on february 16	2	$21	425	425	+0	No	+$1	02-16 13:11
ethereum up or down on february 15	7	$21	463	461	+2	Down	-$5	02-15 15:18
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	2	$21	77	77	+0	No	+$1	03-16 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$20	70	70	+0	Up	+$5	05-01 11:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 00:20 UTC	4	$20	27	0	+27	Up	+$7	04-20 00:23
will ethereum reach 3200 in february 2026	2	$20	2,134	0	+2,134	No	-$20	02-16 14:15
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$20	13	13	+0	Yes	$0	02-15 07:03
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	2	$20	13	13	+0	No	$0	02-15 07:03
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	1	$19	52	0	+52	No	-$19	02-10 05:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 19:15 UTC	4	$19	27	0	+27	Up	+$8	04-19 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 13:30 UTC	5	$18	25	0	+25	Up	+$6	03-09 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 04:45 UTC	2	$18	18	18	+0	Down	+$14	07-08 04:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 16:55 UTC	7	$18	47	0	+47	Up	+$12	04-23 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 19:10 UTC	21	$18	129	0	+129	Up	-$18	04-23 19:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	2	$18	1,867	0	+1,867	No	-$18	05-22 19:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 11:20 UTC	2	$17	32	0	+32	Down	-$1	04-19 11:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 11:05 UTC	2	$17	34	0	+34	Up	+$0	04-19 11:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 03:15 UTC	4	$16	15	15	+0	Down	+$8	07-09 03:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 11:25 UTC	6	$16	35	0	+35	Down	+$8	04-19 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 15:35 UTC	4	$15	16	16	+0	Down	+$7	07-08 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$14	15	14	+2	Up	+$12	04-26 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 07:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x4ee72a…
11-04 07:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x585c69…
11-04 06:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x96d89a…
11-04 06:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf38254…
11-04 05:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xe3b238…
11-04 05:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1b1f03…
11-04 05:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x4813a6…
11-04 04:38:16	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x4e1346…
11-04 04:38:13	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xa5d3ff…
11-04 04:08:36	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x601b2d…
11-04 04:08:33	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbfdbe4…
11-04 03:53:55	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x83ca4a…
11-04 03:53:52	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xe90863…
11-04 03:32:30	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x80fe89…
11-04 03:32:27	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x0ab5e5…
11-04 01:33:55	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x8708ff…
11-04 01:07:16	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x60cb9c…
11-04 01:07:12	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x462f57…
11-04 00:52:25	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x66f269…
11-04 00:52:22	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x73f2dd…
11-04 00:22:33	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xf225d5…
11-04 00:22:30	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xce5e64…
11-03 19:33:54	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0xc8185b…
11-03 19:33:51	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x3593bc…
11-03 19:13:15	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb17efd…
11-03 19:08:10	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6c3e31…
11-03 17:52:54	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x0f5cec…
11-03 17:52:34	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3fc75c…
11-03 17:13:33	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x403ff1…
11-03 17:13:30	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x1e741f…
11-03 16:22:12	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x0b57ad…
11-03 15:07:15	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x915c21…
11-03 15:07:12	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x856b01…
11-03 14:52:13	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xec6407…
11-03 14:52:10	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1fb5e7…
11-03 14:37:55	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x155239…
11-03 14:17:25	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x9637ad…
11-03 14:17:21	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x730f08…
11-03 14:08:39	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xdc2216…
11-03 13:53:55	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x214868…
11-03 13:42:13	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8b8cb6…
11-03 13:37:16	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x2e6133…
11-03 13:37:13	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x207b6b…
11-03 12:32:42	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x31ba83…
11-03 12:32:31	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x592908…
11-03 06:53:03	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x6dd8c6…
11-03 06:52:58	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x9d5463…
11-02 20:53:40	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xe337f7…
11-02 20:53:31	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x30bba4…
11-02 20:32:30	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xd8ce61…
11-02 20:32:27	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x7bce65…
11-02 19:57:19	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x6ce4b5…
11-02 19:57:16	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc14e0e…
11-02 19:48:01	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xad5c42…
11-02 19:47:49	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe8dc93…
11-02 19:42:09	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x2755a1…
11-02 19:42:06	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6e933e…
11-02 19:28:39	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x85e711…
11-02 19:28:36	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x82e3d4…
11-02 19:23:54	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x287699…
11-02 19:23:49	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x79f7a4…
11-02 19:07:15	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xacb9be…
11-02 19:07:12	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x5aedb2…
11-02 19:03:27	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x494282…
11-02 19:03:19	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xba0466…
11-02 18:42:16	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x61a33e…
11-02 18:42:10	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6f8f5a…
11-02 18:32:30	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x091362…
11-02 18:32:27	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xf070c7…
11-02 18:17:37	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xf906fe…
11-02 18:17:09	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x345024…
11-02 18:13:21	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0xdd1f73…
11-02 18:13:16	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x98b33c…
11-02 18:02:10	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x08a3b0…
11-02 18:02:07	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xfc2c4d…
11-02 17:54:12	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x236b6c…
11-02 17:18:58	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xc42895…
11-02 17:18:54	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xb0e4be…
11-02 16:53:12	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x9ad1b5…
11-02 16:52:45	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x044300…
11-02 16:48:42	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x6a11f1…
11-02 16:48:39	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x4912b0…
11-02 16:28:19	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x543f6b…
11-02 16:12:10	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x53de66…
11-02 16:12:06	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe717c6…
11-02 16:07:52	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x90b957…
11-02 16:07:49	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x140c92…
11-02 15:24:00	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x397dc9…
11-02 15:17:30	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x014529…
11-02 15:17:27	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xe20883…
11-02 14:53:58	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0xbdfe4e…
11-02 14:53:43	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x1d0f6c…
11-02 14:38:37	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xa84e02…
11-02 14:28:03	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xaaceb1…
11-02 14:28:00	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x95231d…
11-02 14:22:49	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x6227db…
11-02 14:22:45	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xe56020…
11-02 13:52:46	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7fb641…
11-02 13:32:42	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x33eddc…
11-02 13:13:33	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x7408d6…