Elementary-Galley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

72.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$92

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-13 19:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

80% — —

Other

20% 43% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (5)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 13?	Yes		-2	$-1	58¢	$-1	$-0	05-13 12:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$21	0	22	-22	open	—	05-13 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-13 13:08
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 10?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	05-10 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$6	0	23	-23	open	—	05-13 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	05-13 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-13 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-13 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$5	0	45	-45	open	—	05-13 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-13 19:38
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 12?	2	$2	4	4	+0	No	$-0	05-11 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$2	0	3	-3	open	—	05-13 18:52
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 13?	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-13 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	$-1	05-11 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-13 18:42
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 11?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	05-11 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 11?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	$-1	05-11 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-13 19:47
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 12?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	$-1	05-11 13:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	+$2	05-11 11:58
Ethereum Up or Down on May 13?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-13 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$0	0	12	-12	open	—	05-13 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$0	0	11	-11	open	—	05-13 15:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 19:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd29abd…
05-13 19:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x25f0fb…
05-13 19:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8c980f…
05-13 18:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0xf37fb6…
05-13 18:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x93c7cf…
05-13 18:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7db7ea…
05-13 17:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x6b39df…
05-13 16:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0x4ad889…
05-13 16:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	45	10¢	$5	0x387f92…
05-13 15:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x5638a7…
05-13 15:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x74d3f5…
05-13 15:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0xb7a837…
05-13 14:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb04b65…
05-13 13:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xca2666…
05-13 13:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x9d8781…
05-13 12:18:27	Ethereum Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x21022a…
05-13 12:18:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 13?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x0919da…
05-11 14:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdbe4d1…
05-11 14:56:51	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 11?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x99b0fb…
05-11 13:42:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe01c24…
05-11 11:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdf5955…
05-11 11:18:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x740fd2…
05-11 11:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 12?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xeb953a…
05-11 10:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 12?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcbebc7…
05-10 20:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 10?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd7111d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	9	$908	35	05-13 19:49
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	8	$1.49K	18	05-13 19:49
Blond-Feed-Robe 0xb9c1…2ed1	5	$2.70K	27	05-13 19:49
Visible-Fashion 0x976c…735e	5	$1.27K	20	05-13 19:38
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	5	$631	22	05-13 19:49