Noted-Eavesdropper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved

1,266

Trades

2,800

lifetime

Volume

$216.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 11-06 04:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 28% -$21,492

Other

8% 21% +$813

Sports

2% 21% -$866

Politics

0% 0% -$61

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$1.8K	1,449	1,449	+0	Down	+$1,035	11-05 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$1.5K	1,490	1,490	+0	Up	+$884	11-05 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	5	$1.4K	1,141	1,141	+0	Up	+$878	10-02 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$1.4K	1,575	1,075	+500	Down	+$677	11-05 22:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:15 UTC	6	$1.3K	1,270	1,270	+0	Up	+$692	06-05 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	6	$1.3K	1,135	1,135	+0	Up	+$675	10-22 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:55 UTC	6	$1.2K	1,681	1,025	+656	Down	+$878	06-25 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:05 UTC	7	$1.2K	2,538	972	+1,566	Up	+$497	06-05 20:08
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?	2	$1.2K	1,250	1,250	+0	Yes	+$612	05-02 15:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 22:15 UTC	6	$1.1K	957	957	+0	Down	+$561	06-23 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$1.1K	869	869	+0	Down	+$669	11-05 23:39
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-01?	2	$1.0K	827	827	+0	Yes	+$587	05-02 14:20
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 3pt5	2	$1.0K	1,038	1,038	+0	Japan	+$847	06-21 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 01:40 UTC	6	$1.0K	1,031	948	+83	Down	+$652	06-22 01:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 23:55 UTC	7	$999	766	766	+0	Up	+$519	06-17 00:00
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	4	$998	883	861	+22	Raptors	+$709	04-26 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$996	941	941	+0	Up	+$676	10-15 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	7	$960	1,513	970	+543	Up	+$344	10-22 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$903	756	756	+0	Down	+$593	11-05 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	3	$894	743	743	+0	Up	+$576	11-01 03:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:45 UTC	7	$892	1,396	651	+745	Up	+$172	06-05 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:00 UTC	7	$871	3,278	585	+2,693	Down	+$49	06-05 20:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:45 UTC	4	$866	1,194	778	+416	Down	+$371	06-25 22:49
Will PSV win on 2026-05-02?	3	$841	821	821	+0	No	+$389	05-02 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$840	1,314	714	+600	Up	+$370	09-13 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 10:05 UTC	3	$831	695	695	+0	Up	+$491	08-08 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$830	626	626	+0	Up	+$410	05-04 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	6	$814	1,527	624	+903	Up	+$154	10-11 21:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 13:25 UTC	5	$787	1,732	1,039	+693	Down	+$269	08-28 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$784	622	622	+0	Up	+$448	10-15 21:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 04:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	405	24¢	$97	0xfee904…
11-06 04:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	447	15¢	$67	0x952faa…
11-06 04:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	247	27¢	$67	0x9f8f80…
11-06 04:49:15	Heat vs. Warriors	Heat	BUY	1,230	15¢	$190	0x192a5b…
11-06 04:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	82	18¢	$15	0xa92b6f…
11-06 04:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	428	16¢	$67	0x5baf81…
11-06 04:14:37	Spread: Heat (-9.5)	Heat	BUY	1,051	13¢	$140	0x37d6c4…
11-06 04:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0x668033…
11-06 04:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	371	18¢	$67	0xc2a028…
11-06 03:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	951	2¢	$20	0xd2bde6…
11-06 03:56:49	Magic vs. Suns	Magic	BUY	1,250	1¢	$15	0xfb050b…
11-06 03:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	302	22¢	$67	0xf66d1a…
11-06 03:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	117	26¢	$30	0xa844ab…
11-06 03:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0xcac934…
11-06 03:00:30	Magic vs. Suns	Magic	BUY	417	29¢	$121	0x339317…
11-06 02:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	97	30¢	$29	0x6ea23e…
11-05 23:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	308	13¢	$40	0xe3472c…
11-05 23:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	444	9¢	$40	0x4f7f21…
11-05 23:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	554	36¢	$200	0x4f99ff…
11-05 23:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1,449	99¢	$1,435	0xdaf230…
11-05 23:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	817	24¢	$200	0x794952…
11-05 23:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	632	32¢	$200	0xd34ef0…
11-05 23:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	821	24¢	$200	0x112ada…
11-05 23:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	556	36¢	$200	0xd3c358…
11-05 23:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	869	99¢	$860	0xdae930…
11-05 23:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	869	22¢	$191	0x316c0d…
11-05 23:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6,700	1¢	$67	0x388983…
11-05 23:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	267	25¢	$67	0xe0533f…
11-05 23:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	396	88¢	$348	0xcbf507…
11-05 23:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	396	25¢	$99	0xa14d53…
11-05 23:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	951	16¢	$155	0xfbf98d…
11-05 23:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	614	25¢	$155	0xa6006d…
11-05 23:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x3acebf…
11-05 23:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	738	21¢	$155	0x2fb321…
11-05 23:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	588	26¢	$155	0xc90388…
11-05 23:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	756	99¢	$748	0x31b884…
11-05 23:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	756	21¢	$155	0x276fcf…
11-05 23:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	739	21¢	$155	0x6c3fd7…
11-05 23:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	610	25¢	$155	0x43ae0e…
11-05 23:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	218	29¢	$63	0x9c543a…
11-05 23:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	175	24¢	$43	0xf2b275…
11-05 23:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	647	24¢	$155	0xcb708d…
11-05 23:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	753	21¢	$155	0xefbdb0…
11-05 23:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	601	27¢	$165	0x3f6956…
11-05 22:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	744	9¢	$67	0xb81c65…
11-05 22:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	319	21¢	$67	0x1905a0…
11-05 22:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	211	79¢	$166	0xd6ca26…
11-05 22:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1,279	82¢	$1,048	0x329c3f…
11-05 22:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	893	18¢	$165	0xeaeddb…
11-05 22:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	598	28¢	$165	0x323026…
11-05 22:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	419	16¢	$67	0x340bc3…
11-05 22:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	532	31¢	$165	0xeddf0d…
11-05 22:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	323	21¢	$67	0x9e6431…
11-05 22:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	786	21¢	$165	0x064f15…
11-05 22:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	732	23¢	$165	0xb3f689…
11-05 22:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0xc23aa3…
11-05 22:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1,075	96¢	$1,027	0xaf21c3…
11-05 22:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	589	28¢	$165	0x2aec3a…
11-05 22:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	485	34¢	$165	0x4620eb…
11-05 22:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	318	6¢	$20	0x08a26a…
11-05 22:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	670	10¢	$67	0x98dab3…
11-05 22:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	660	25¢	$165	0xbc05b4…
11-05 22:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x79ee19…
11-05 22:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	625	26¢	$165	0x469ce7…
11-05 22:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	573	99¢	$567	0x77e0a8…
11-05 22:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	325	21¢	$67	0xd93f3f…
11-05 22:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	248	27¢	$67	0xf43268…
11-05 22:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	744	9¢	$67	0xdaa001…
11-05 22:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	223	30¢	$67	0x28c0b9…
11-05 22:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	239	28¢	$67	0xf98c3c…
11-05 22:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	281	3¢	$8	0x5abf94…
11-05 22:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	612	91¢	$556	0xb68fc4…
11-05 22:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	364	18¢	$67	0x11d667…
11-05 22:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	248	27¢	$67	0xd5d604…
11-05 21:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	957	7¢	$67	0xf3fcbf…
11-05 21:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	197	34¢	$67	0x12a292…
11-05 21:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	887	2¢	$20	0xf03b01…
11-05 21:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	459	15¢	$67	0xccc594…
11-05 21:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x0e9153…
11-05 21:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	212	99¢	$210	0x426242…
11-05 21:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	212	32¢	$67	0x2d79af…
11-05 21:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	207	32¢	$67	0x6ebb2d…
11-05 21:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	644	3¢	$18	0x5b196c…
11-05 21:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	205	22¢	$45	0x1000ec…
11-05 21:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	155	29¢	$45	0xcf9794…
11-05 21:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1,085	4¢	$45	0x3c0a5b…
11-05 21:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	162	28¢	$45	0x384787…
11-05 21:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	198	17¢	$34	0x43fef9…
11-05 21:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	150	22¢	$33	0x789aba…
11-05 21:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	97	34¢	$33	0xb6d04c…
11-05 21:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0xb79f72…
11-05 21:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x8fb63a…
11-05 21:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc365df…
11-05 21:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xfa065f…
11-05 21:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x87ed4f…
11-05 20:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf80697…
11-05 20:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x8270e5…
11-05 20:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0xbe734c…
11-05 20:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x93f769…
11-05 20:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xd62149…