Negligible-Ratio — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

Trades

825

lifetime

Volume

$3.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-09 06:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	06-04 15:55
bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	2	$31	40	0	+40	open	—	06-08 03:04
bitcoin above 62k on june 9 2026	2	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	06-09 02:50
bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	5	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	06-09 06:06
btc updown 5m 1777018500	5	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	04-24 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	05-15 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	3	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-30 09:15
bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	2	$22	30	0	+30	open	—	06-08 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	5	$21	21	17	+4	open	—	04-27 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$20	15	15	+0	Down	+$10	05-13 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	5	$19	18	17	+1	open	—	04-27 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$19	25	16	+9	open	—	04-27 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	3	$19	12	12	+0	open	—	04-30 09:29
btc updown 5m 1777018800	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 08:23
bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 08:22
bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	4	$18	22	0	+22	open	—	06-05 03:50
btc updown 5m 1777019100	6	$17	15	14	+0	open	—	04-24 08:28
bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	3	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$17	19	11	+8	open	—	04-27 07:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	3	$17	19	11	+8	open	—	04-27 03:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$16	23	15	+8	open	—	05-15 07:58
btc updown 5m 1777018200	5	$16	15	10	+5	open	—	04-24 08:14
btc updown 5m 1777019400	5	$15	15	10	+5	open	—	04-24 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	04-28 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$15	18	0	+18	open	—	05-02 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	3	$15	12	6	+6	open	—	04-27 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$15	11	10	+0	open	—	04-27 08:53
btc updown 5m 1777021200	5	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	04-24 09:03
ethereum above 1700 on june 5 2026	3	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	06-05 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$15	16	9	+6	open	—	04-27 10:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:29:01	bitcoin above 62k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xa6f8ca…
06-09 06:06:39	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x166a29…
06-09 03:15:54	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb2c5e8…
06-09 03:15:18	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x420f46…
06-09 03:15:12	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x2dee62…
06-09 03:01:07	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x435b45…
06-09 02:50:49	bitcoin above 62k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xd57662…
06-09 02:50:49	bitcoin above 62k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x2fe665…
06-08 03:09:22	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x46df39…
06-08 03:04:03	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x1cb499…
06-08 03:03:34	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x820608…
06-08 03:02:31	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0xde9236…
06-05 14:04:43	bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x1d9b7b…
06-05 03:58:19	ethereum above 1700 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x2fda4e…
06-05 03:50:37	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x4a1a6f…
06-05 03:46:07	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x39c885…
06-05 03:42:37	ethereum above 1700 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x96c59f…
06-05 03:42:12	ethereum above 1700 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x465fc6…
06-05 03:31:10	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x46c175…
06-05 03:19:00	bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x7519e0…
06-04 15:55:43	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x743f8b…
06-04 13:40:16	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x5b195b…
06-04 09:37:37	btc updown 5m 1780565700	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xae157c…
06-04 09:28:52	btc updown 5m 1780565100	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x8c5f90…
06-04 09:28:10	btc updown 5m 1780565100	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa34059…
06-04 09:28:03	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xa2b2e5…
06-04 09:19:21	btc updown 5m 1780564500	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x0b22ae…
06-04 09:16:57	btc updown 5m 1780564500	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x34a650…
06-04 09:11:15	btc updown 5m 1780564200	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xd28469…
06-04 08:22:07	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xd6c0f0…
06-04 05:36:07	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x06f26b…
06-04 05:31:33	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0b2362…
06-04 05:29:37	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x726011…
06-04 05:23:06	btc updown 5m 1780550400	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x0759f4…
06-04 05:22:12	btc updown 5m 1780550400	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x863a46…
06-04 05:19:09	btc updown 5m 1780550100	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x27f0fe…
06-04 05:11:31	btc updown 5m 1780549800	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x6850cc…
06-04 05:01:06	btc updown 5m 1780549200	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x0229b6…
06-03 09:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x86d704…
06-03 08:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb849f3…
06-03 08:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x05ed87…
06-03 08:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x3188f3…
06-03 07:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xe38352…
06-03 07:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa390f6…
06-03 07:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xbbbf23…
06-03 07:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe66f15…
06-03 07:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x73b114…
06-03 07:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x89167b…
06-03 07:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	85¢	$6	0x2df91c…
06-03 07:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xb47cc7…
06-03 07:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xfa98b5…
06-03 06:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x903ced…
06-03 06:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x81b216…
06-03 06:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xb2772e…
06-03 06:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xdcae21…
06-03 06:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2d9110…
06-03 06:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xeffbbe…
06-03 06:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x093f2b…
06-03 06:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x9d9357…
06-03 06:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xabac2c…
06-03 06:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x11341c…
06-03 06:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x0086bf…
06-03 05:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x512162…
06-03 05:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xe8742e…
06-03 05:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x6bebf1…
06-03 05:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xd3cb03…
06-03 05:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x765e66…
06-03 04:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x52aea6…
06-03 04:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x49def2…
06-03 04:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x656239…
06-03 03:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x617fa5…
06-03 03:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xc96dac…
06-03 02:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x317bfa…
06-02 09:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x099ec9…
06-02 09:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xcbaea7…
06-02 09:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb569c1…
06-02 09:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x488d24…
06-02 09:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xfa1958…
06-02 09:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4a3a87…
06-02 08:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x476761…
06-02 08:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1753d5…
06-02 08:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xdec864…
06-02 07:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x62cc14…
06-02 07:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xebbd4e…
06-02 07:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8c5895…
06-02 07:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0eb4d4…
06-02 07:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf6e595…
06-02 07:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x942515…
06-02 06:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x82ae45…
06-02 06:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x50adc6…
06-02 06:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd5e195…
06-02 06:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x949fbc…
06-02 06:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa92a71…
06-02 05:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7c9ea7…
06-02 05:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf8ac3b…
06-02 05:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xda55a1…
06-02 05:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x341fd7…
06-02 05:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x923e1b…
06-02 05:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x809358…
06-02 05:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc69680…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	538	$459.6K	19,284	06-10 03:18
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	528	$157.1K	44,904	06-04 09:39
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	528	$141.3K	44,259	06-04 09:39
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	527	$208.1K	34,441	06-04 09:39
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	527	$168.8K	48,884	06-04 09:39
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	526	$190.9K	30,414	06-04 09:39
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	521	$45.7K	4,701	06-04 09:39
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	521	$44.9K	4,813	06-04 09:39