Grounded-Plum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

Trades

277

lifetime

Volume

$271

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-13 02:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

40% 100% +$0

Politics

31% 0% $-0

Crypto

20% 50% +$0

Tech

5% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 02:45
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-27 01:50
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 02:47
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-12 02:25
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 07:05
will bangladesh jamaat e islami finish with the second most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 06:44
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 02:09
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:17
will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:26
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-12 07:28
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-23 01:47
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-02 01:56
will france strike iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 02:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 01:59
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 02:40
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-13 02:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-25 02:19
Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 01:42
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 09:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-08 01:05
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 01:31
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 01:31
bitcoin above 64k on april 7	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-07 01:30
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 02:38
Espresso FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	02-11 01:15
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:33
military action against iran ends on march 19 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 01:26
bitcoin above 72k on march 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 01:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 02:56:04	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x65822e…
06-13 02:55:43	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x73efda…
06-13 02:25:28	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x750e2e…
06-12 03:07:09	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x88c1fe…
06-12 02:54:54	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8e1ace…
06-11 02:40:40	president trump to attend usa opening match 20260607163739001	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xcad208…
06-11 02:26:19	president trump to attend usa opening match 20260607163739001	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x106903…
06-11 02:10:00	will city protocol launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xbc3ead…
06-11 02:09:07	will city protocol launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x908f57…
06-09 01:03:54	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x1a14de…
06-09 00:57:12	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd02c3e…
06-08 01:05:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x05c432…
06-08 00:56:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x855277…
06-06 02:37:27	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x18d3ea…
06-06 02:35:28	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb8c7ab…
06-06 02:15:18	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbb3034…
06-06 02:09:21	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x90d1bd…
06-05 02:21:34	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb5f434…
06-05 02:19:39	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x5e25e2…
06-05 02:03:57	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x85d7eb…
06-05 01:55:21	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5dfbc6…
06-04 01:51:51	will trump praise gianni infantino by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xbadee6…
06-04 01:30:16	will trump praise gianni infantino by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0a3361…
06-03 01:21:37	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xed2e56…
06-02 00:58:53	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xae013d…
06-01 02:09:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x35721d…
06-01 02:07:26	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xda64f6…
06-01 01:50:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x91627c…
06-01 01:46:00	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x872c3b…
05-30 01:43:12	Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xc0758b…
05-30 01:41:55	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x706169…
05-30 01:20:55	Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6a1cea…
05-30 01:13:30	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa157fa…
05-29 01:32:51	Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x5e4532…
05-29 01:21:34	Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd9dd4c…
05-27 01:50:51	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3dab4a…
05-27 01:21:23	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x81c315…
05-25 02:19:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb72dec…
05-25 02:03:42	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6ee43e…
05-23 01:48:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe6f5ae…
05-23 01:47:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa9c7f2…
05-23 01:36:30	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc2792f…
05-23 01:30:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9d6ec3…
05-22 02:04:01	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x72710d…
05-22 01:37:08	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1f1eb9…
05-21 02:26:28	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x03362b…
05-21 02:23:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x568716…
05-21 02:06:26	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf262c3…
05-21 01:59:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x76fc67…
05-20 02:21:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xc1dd56…
05-18 02:06:33	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xdacc72…
05-18 01:53:36	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8a2bd0…
05-16 02:24:57	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x405f6a…
05-16 01:37:21	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6b8fd6…
05-15 02:25:19	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xdae591…
05-15 02:19:38	Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0c7837…
05-14 01:52:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x938610…
05-14 01:51:17	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd0dd69…
05-14 01:34:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x71278c…
05-14 01:26:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x792889…
05-13 02:25:26	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in May?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x22c3d2…
05-13 02:19:43	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b2ad5…
05-12 02:26:43	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in May?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf7305d…
05-12 02:25:09	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc47ce0…
05-12 02:17:20	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfc4cb2…
05-12 02:09:57	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc888ee…
05-11 01:46:31	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5c1476…
05-09 01:22:53	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x48df11…
05-09 01:10:54	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x57d31d…
05-08 02:41:08	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x1ee644…
05-08 02:39:20	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7285ce…
05-08 02:33:42	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4ddaa3…
05-08 02:30:59	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6e7cf6…
05-07 01:17:56	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0b3aca…
05-07 01:09:16	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x55b4ab…
05-05 01:59:32	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x24de7a…
05-05 01:50:38	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd94551…
05-04 01:31:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5b59cb…
05-04 01:21:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4cea9f…
04-30 02:45:26	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2bebbf…
04-30 02:40:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x282653…
04-30 02:32:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3f3230…
04-30 02:26:02	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x71ef51…
04-29 01:42:28	Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2d55f0…
04-29 01:40:08	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xeb85b0…
04-29 01:34:00	Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7c4223…
04-29 01:28:04	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc6fd73…
04-28 01:37:58	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xf57bea…
04-28 01:30:08	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd5eb87…
04-27 01:28:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xee6022…
04-27 01:27:10	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3611d9…
04-27 01:13:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4f4186…
04-25 01:45:38	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x137654…
04-25 01:39:52	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x7849a3…
04-25 01:31:06	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb8ac8a…
04-25 01:27:18	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe6dfc6…
04-24 01:37:28	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x07fd3b…
04-24 01:34:58	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3f7323…
04-24 01:31:54	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x62155d…
04-24 01:29:14	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc5f58c…