Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$442

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved (90d)

118

Trades (90d)

219

521 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.34K

$4.58K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-14

last 09-07 07:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 60% -$305

Other

36% 29% -$258

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22	4	$833	486	486	+0	TEAM VISION	+$75	08-22 12:45
dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21	2	$256	244	244	+0	Team Yandex	+$56	08-21 15:56
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	3	$179	250	250	+0	Team Spirit	-$21	08-23 08:09
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC	7	$172	350	0	+350	Up	+$78	08-31 16:22
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 20:00 UTC	8	$160	250	0	+250	Down	-$160	08-31 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	9	$152	228	150	+78	Up	+$2	09-02 21:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 14:00 UTC	15	$116	145	144	+1	Up	+$1	07-14 14:13
HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 20:00 UTC	7	$106	220	0	+220	Up	-$6	08-31 20:37
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	1	$100	1,001	0	+1,001	Team Spirit	-$100	08-23 07:14
dota2 ts8 vsn2 2026 08 21	1	$100	500	0	+500	TEAM VISION	-$100	08-21 13:35
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?	4	$95	100	100	+0	open	—	09-06 18:44
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	4	$94	200	0	+200	Up	-$94	08-31 13:24
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	1	$90	141	0	+141	TEAM VISION	-$90	08-23 08:01
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	3	$74	150	0	+150	Up	+$26	08-31 13:27
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC	3	$72	150	0	+150	Up	-$22	08-31 16:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 14:45 UTC	3	$67	69	34	+35	Up	-$2	07-14 14:58
dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	1	$55	229	0	+229	Team Yandex	-$55	08-21 16:34
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	4	$52	150	0	+150	Up	+$97	08-31 13:55
Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	9	$48	65	35	+30	Up	+$0	09-02 20:48
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 14:00 UTC	2	$45	41	41	+0	Down	-$5	07-14 14:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 14:45 UTC	2	$44	38	38	+0	Up	-$6	07-14 14:48
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 14:00 UTC	2	$38	74	0	+74	Down	-$1	07-14 14:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 14:05 UTC	2	$35	68	0	+68	Up	$0	07-14 14:07
Solana Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$32	50	0	+50	Up	+$18	09-02 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 14:10 UTC	7	$30	32	15	+17	Up	-$1	07-14 14:13
XRP Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$30	50	50	+0	Up	+$1	09-02 21:03
lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 8 2026 1159 pm et	9	$29	82	82	+0	Yes	-$13	09-06 21:21
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 19:20 UTC	3	$28	29	0	+29	Up	+$1	08-16 19:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 19:40 UTC	3	$28	29	0	+29	Down	-$28	08-16 19:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 14:05 UTC	17	$26	128	0	+128	Up	-$26	07-14 14:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 07:21:19	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xbf289d…
09-07 07:21:19	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x0f34ce…
09-07 07:18:57	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xba8705…
09-07 07:18:57	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x99c0cc…
09-06 21:21:27	Will Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	No	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x4039be…
09-06 21:19:48	Will Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x6f1445…
09-06 21:19:48	Will Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x2de5c9…
09-06 21:19:25	Will Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x4e1707…
09-06 20:19:10	Will Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	No	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0xf58796…
09-06 20:11:07	Will Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xc73a2c…
09-06 19:13:49	Will Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	No	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x2f2ad0…
09-06 18:44:28	Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x3ca35c…
09-06 18:38:01	Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xfd3508…
09-06 15:56:42	Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x070214…
09-06 14:42:30	Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xa39474…
09-06 14:41:45	Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x6509d4…
09-06 14:41:37	Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x9a88a2…
09-06 14:38:39	Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x14fad2…
09-05 19:41:06	lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 8 2026 1159 pm et	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x3c3a77…
09-05 19:32:33	lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 8 2026 1159 pm et	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xe153ef…
09-02 21:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	39	48¢	$19	0xce3259…
09-02 21:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0xcdceb6…
09-02 21:03:27	Solana Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xb1a6f9…
09-02 21:03:10	XRP Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x3b9f6f…
09-02 21:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x60055b…
09-02 21:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xa065aa…
09-02 20:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0xd4651e…
09-02 20:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x785bc2…
09-02 20:51:55	XRP Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xc31372…
09-02 20:48:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xf03155…
09-02 20:48:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xc4ffe8…
09-02 20:48:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xb349bf…
09-02 20:48:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x7d99ce…
09-02 20:48:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x6927df…
09-02 20:47:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x78d133…
09-02 20:45:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x91824a…
09-02 20:44:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe3c476…
09-02 20:44:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xaaf2e8…
09-02 20:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0x8b0f93…
09-02 20:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xba6713…
09-02 20:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x6cb295…
08-31 20:46:13	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x59c053…
08-31 20:38:13	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x4a8df6…
08-31 20:37:13	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x43e033…
08-31 20:36:31	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x024cab…
08-31 20:32:57	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x820006…
08-31 20:32:54	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x30b4e2…
08-31 20:32:54	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	49	64¢	$31	0x0cbca8…
08-31 20:28:45	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xeff147…
08-31 20:14:07	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x0310ec…
08-31 20:13:54	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x212af4…
08-31 17:55:30	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x41f9d0…
08-31 16:23:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x2067e7…
08-31 16:22:31	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x403675…
08-31 16:21:31	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x74dc56…
08-31 16:20:33	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x057a99…
08-31 16:19:27	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x363a53…
08-31 16:19:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x1830f3…
08-31 16:18:57	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x5eb2c4…
08-31 16:18:00	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x86ff61…
08-31 16:16:16	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x70fcb3…
08-31 16:15:22	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xee2b31…
08-31 13:55:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	39	27¢	$11	0xc3315e…
08-31 13:55:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xe25cc4…
08-31 13:43:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xacc578…
08-31 13:36:54	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x6b70a6…
08-31 13:35:54	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x80e25a…
08-31 13:27:34	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x198567…
08-31 13:24:09	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x5ab758…
08-31 13:22:55	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x631cd2…
08-31 13:21:55	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xb5e58e…
08-31 13:20:57	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x7e2586…
08-31 13:18:52	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xb3f194…
08-31 13:18:27	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xb68fbb…
08-31 13:14:06	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x0105d8…
08-23 08:09:52	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x0c7c0b…
08-23 08:01:31	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	141	64¢	$90	0xb330b4…
08-23 08:00:54	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	SELL	244	32¢	$78	0x5fda4e…
08-23 07:57:42	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x8820ed…
08-23 07:14:00	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	TEAM VISION	BUY	1,001	10¢	$100	0xa82a30…
08-22 12:45:00	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22	TEAM VISION	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0x5ed0ce…
08-22 10:30:27	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22	TEAM VISION	BUY	224	85¢	$191	0xcc240e…
08-22 10:18:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7bfe22…
08-22 10:17:43	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xafff55…
08-22 10:17:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x6a1374…
08-22 10:17:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x1140fa…
08-22 10:17:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$8	0x5389df…
08-22 10:13:24	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22	TEAM VISION	SELL	262	88¢	$230	0x679d0a…
08-22 08:59:10	dota2 vsn2 ty 2026 08 22	TEAM VISION	BUY	262	72¢	$188	0x5e2a69…
08-22 08:57:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x53c159…
08-21 16:34:42	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	229	24¢	$55	0x66e8a0…
08-21 15:56:18	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21	Nigma Galaxy	SELL	244	64¢	$156	0xed3e7b…
08-21 14:36:12	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x847d9e…
08-21 13:35:00	dota2 ts8 vsn2 2026 08 21	Team Spirit	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x0aaf01…
08-20 05:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xbb09ac…
08-20 05:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x32d7c0…
08-16 19:52:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xfd3d34…
08-16 19:52:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x211a49…
08-16 19:43:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xfef4de…
08-16 19:42:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xdac22c…