Critical-Unique — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$263

Unrealized P&L

-$32

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

405

Trades

2,286

lifetime

Volume

$16.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$39

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 11-13 13:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% +$291

Other

0% 0% -$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10AM ET	Up	—	+155	$71	25¢	$39	-$32	11-13 15:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	17	$245	213	213	+0	Down	+$42	11-13 11:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	21	$205	289	297	-8	Yes	+$79	05-01 12:39
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?	15	$203	266	266	+0	No	+$2	05-06 13:24
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 2?	14	$199	186	216	-30	Yes	+$14	05-02 02:59
bitcoin above 72k on april 14	9	$186	200	192	+8	Yes	+$20	04-13 14:58
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 04:00 UTC	19	$181	208	181	+28	Down	+$24	04-13 06:46
ethereum up or down april 12 2026 12pm et	21	$179	198	190	+8	Up	+$12	04-12 16:49
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-14 04:00 UTC	16	$179	215	204	+11	Up	+$85	04-14 07:36
ethereum up or down april 12 2026 2pm et	8	$169	165	159	+6	Down	+$22	04-12 18:19
ethereum up or down june 16 2026 5am et	13	$164	215	215	+0	Down	-$12	06-16 09:47
ethereum up or down june 16 2026 2am et	14	$161	125	125	+0	Up	+$17	06-16 06:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12PM ET	18	$157	171	171	+0	Up	+$25	05-02 16:49
ethereum up or down april 12 2026 7am et	14	$143	121	117	+4	Up	+$24	04-12 11:14
ethereum up or down april 11 2026 2am et	19	$142	149	142	+6	Up	+$29	04-11 06:48
ethereum up or down april 13 2026 6am et	14	$140	298	282	+17	Down	+$4	04-13 10:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	7	$137	137	137	+0	Down	+$17	05-01 17:40
ethereum up or down june 16 2026 1am et	12	$135	103	103	+0	Up	+$16	06-16 05:51
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-13 08:00 UTC	15	$131	144	138	+6	Up	+$15	04-13 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12PM ET	16	$130	133	133	+0	Down	+$15	05-02 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	13	$126	90	90	+0	Up	+$34	04-29 03:28
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 10am et	17	$124	167	159	+8	Up	+$22	04-13 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	11	$123	177	42	+135	Up	+$82	04-28 19:37
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 9am et	12	$112	100	96	+4	Up	+$26	04-13 13:49
solana up or down april 13 2026 8pm et	13	$112	100	96	+4	Down	+$15	04-14 00:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12PM ET	14	$112	106	106	+0	Down	+$12	05-06 16:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 00:15 UTC	12	$111	105	101	+4	Down	-$2	04-14 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7AM ET	11	$111	99	99	+0	Down	+$14	11-13 12:17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 5?	16	$109	288	120	+169	No	-$26	05-05 13:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	9	$108	83	83	+0	Yes	+$20	05-01 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	12	$107	219	219	+0	Down	-$14	05-02 06:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 15:01:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0xd89e8b…
11-13 15:00:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	43¢	$14	0x49275d…
11-13 15:00:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	43¢	$13	0xd70b20…
11-13 15:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x236e2e…
11-13 15:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xd06a53…
11-13 15:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1e405f…
11-13 14:59:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdade28…
11-13 14:57:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x1c3ce9…
11-13 14:57:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x3b37e1…
11-13 14:23:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	39	60¢	$24	0xc52751…
11-13 14:23:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x55c5f8…
11-13 14:22:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xa9899c…
11-13 14:22:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xb0e2ef…
11-13 14:19:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	18	58¢	$10	0x964fe5…
11-13 14:11:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x3006a8…
11-13 14:10:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x200ac8…
11-13 14:10:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x7c7127…
11-13 13:38:09	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x561cf7…
11-13 13:37:45	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x8399c3…
11-13 13:35:13	BNB Up or Down - November 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3befc3…
11-13 12:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x3f2446…
11-13 12:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x8bb589…
11-13 12:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x0ce15b…
11-13 12:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0x238dfa…
11-13 12:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0x37e39a…
11-13 12:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0xc16265…
11-13 12:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	1	59¢	$0	0x574351…
11-13 12:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	24	59¢	$14	0x22a173…
11-13 11:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x4f5345…
11-13 11:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0xb3862a…
11-13 11:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0xf9be93…
11-13 11:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x7894ff…
11-13 11:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$4	0x891262…
11-13 11:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0x04ab8f…
11-13 11:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xdf64bd…
11-13 11:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x916f52…
11-13 11:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xe924d4…
11-13 11:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xe11a09…
11-13 11:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	20	77¢	$16	0xfbc345…
11-13 11:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	41	78¢	$32	0x8d8db4…
11-13 11:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	27	69¢	$19	0xac18a6…
11-13 11:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	36	58¢	$21	0xc7ccd8…
11-13 11:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	48	56¢	$27	0x0fa762…
11-13 11:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xf60ce2…
11-13 11:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x9d9ab5…
11-13 11:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	55	49¢	$27	0xeba0d7…
11-13 11:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xaf1369…
11-13 11:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	66	51¢	$34	0xd6c693…
06-16 13:03:01	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xbb9f0b…
06-16 13:00:24	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9f6209…
06-16 12:54:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x960e94…
06-16 12:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xbdb346…
06-16 12:54:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xbe6fc3…
06-16 12:54:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:50 UTC	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xc63fa2…
06-16 12:52:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe09bb7…
06-16 12:51:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xcd0c5f…
06-16 12:49:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6d35c2…
06-16 12:48:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x62fdb4…
06-16 12:44:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-16 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8d46a8…
06-16 12:40:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-16 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xdc4813…
06-16 12:38:58	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-16 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x5299e9…
06-16 12:38:49	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-16 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x7d7f90…
06-16 12:17:57	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$3	0x1a66f3…
06-16 12:17:01	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0xae2df0…
06-16 12:16:10	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xb1d876…
06-16 12:11:45	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	24	62¢	$15	0x9f765d…
06-16 12:11:04	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0xda2ec1…
06-16 12:10:40	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	21	64¢	$14	0x97041d…
06-16 12:00:24	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0xd7b492…
06-16 12:00:10	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xbf4275…
06-16 11:18:39	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0x8bcf48…
06-16 11:17:16	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	15	56¢	$9	0xd886c0…
06-16 11:16:42	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0xe4a452…
06-16 11:16:09	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	20	52¢	$11	0xb3411e…
06-16 11:10:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x39a968…
06-16 11:09:00	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x53e3e8…
06-16 11:08:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xc71234…
06-16 11:07:51	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xc4a7ee…
06-16 11:07:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x37223c…
06-16 11:06:31	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2a05e6…
06-16 11:05:25	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x943af2…
06-16 11:05:09	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xfb01f9…
06-16 11:00:48	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xd807a4…
06-16 10:47:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xee82f5…
06-16 10:46:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x299810…
06-16 10:46:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 10:45 UTC	Down	SELL	14	56¢	$8	0x60f204…
06-16 10:45:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x4cee23…
06-16 10:31:48	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x5e6114…
06-16 10:31:40	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	7	88¢	$7	0x6a13f5…
06-16 10:14:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 10:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x384efe…
06-16 10:13:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 10:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xf3fd9f…
06-16 10:13:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 10:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xf55d59…
06-16 10:00:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x89f716…
06-16 09:59:52	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6febc4…
06-16 09:59:09	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x72675d…
06-16 09:55:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xc73de0…
06-16 09:52:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xae78e3…
06-16 09:52:46	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x5a9c36…
06-16 09:52:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xdf0a95…
06-16 09:52:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x3ab1e7…