Shabby-Eye — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

2,228

Trades

8,736

lifetime

Volume

$353.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$113

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-27

last 10-25 00:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

48% 47% -$17,599

Crypto

47% 49% -$5,695

Sports

3% 62% -$334

Politics

2% 50% +$72

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 2637 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	+76	$70	97¢	$73	+$3	10-22 18:36
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	+23	$20	88¢	$20	+$0	10-22 18:35
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+22	$20	92¢	$20	-$1	10-22 20:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+11	$10	4¢	$0	-$10	09-26 19:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	10	$4.8K	2,681	2,681	+0	Yes	+$158	09-21 02:26
dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06 game1	4	$3.3K	4,409	4,409	+0	Aurora	-$687	06-06 16:14
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	5	$3.2K	2,052	2,052	+0	Arman Tsarukyan	+$167	09-20 03:17
dota2 aur1 lgd 2026 06 06	3	$3.1K	4,352	2,500	+1,852	LGD Gaming	-$915	06-06 18:12
fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 team total home 0pt5	2	$2.6K	1,592	1,592	+0	Over	+$589	06-18 20:33
dota2 flc liquid 2026 06 04 game2	4	$2.4K	1,593	1,593	+0	Team Falcons	+$791	06-04 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	5	$2.4K	2,377	0	+2,377	Up	+$2	09-13 20:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:55 UTC	74	$2.3K	25,233	0	+25,233	Up	-$1,592	09-15 07:59
Dota 2: Daxak Club vs VooDooSh Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group B	13	$2.3K	1,264	1,264	+0	VooDooSh Club	+$234	09-15 15:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 09:10 UTC	33	$2.2K	1,558	1,262	+296	Down	+$343	09-15 09:14
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	3	$2.0K	1,406	1,406	+0	No	+$16	06-07 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	4	$2.0K	2,008	0	+2,008	Down	+$2	09-13 13:26
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner	3	$2.0K	1,259	1,259	+0	Tundra Esports	+$558	05-30 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	7	$1.9K	1,935	0	+1,935	Up	+$2	09-14 01:44
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	4	$1.8K	1,283	1,283	+0	Yes	+$644	06-20 21:59
dota2 lgd ty 2026 06 04 game2	3	$1.8K	1,344	1,344	+0	LGD Gaming	+$843	06-04 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	11	$1.8K	1,833	0	+1,833	Up	+$2	09-13 17:15
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	3	$1.8K	916	916	+0	Aurora	+$15	09-22 15:57
dota2 rostik1 cooman 2026 09 14	5	$1.8K	910	910	+0	Rostik999 Club	+$9	09-14 19:21
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	3	$1.8K	1,010	1,010	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$209	06-07 18:07
dota2 rearis ill 2026 08 09	12	$1.8K	2,469	1,469	+1,000	RE.Arise	-$1,003	08-09 21:32
dota2 vpp z10 2026 06 08 game1	7	$1.8K	1,327	1,327	+0	VP.Prodigy	+$213	06-08 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	7	$1.7K	1,749	0	+1,749	Down	+$17	09-14 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	5	$1.7K	1,718	0	+1,718	Up	+$2	09-13 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	6	$1.7K	1,687	0	+1,687	Up	+$2	09-13 17:40
dota2 re z10 2026 08 11 game2	4	$1.7K	956	956	+0	Zero Tenacity	+$255	08-11 20:50
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	3	$1.6K	850	850	+0	Natus Vincere	+$50	09-20 14:40
dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	3	$1.6K	2,347	0	+2,347	Team Yandex	-$1,600	06-06 11:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 09:15 UTC	5	$1.6K	1,598	0	+1,598	Down	+$2	09-14 09:29
atp shelton giron 2026 06 10	4	$1.6K	1,649	1,649	+0	Ben Shelton	+$216	06-12 15:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 00:54:45	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x1e98d3…
10-25 00:48:17	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xa2df7b…
10-25 00:45:54	Bengals vs. Ravens	Bengals	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x34002c…
10-25 00:42:50	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x9f2673…
10-24 15:01:03	Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Zero Tenacity	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x90e87b…
10-24 14:57:36	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xecc86e…
10-24 13:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc9cf83…
10-24 13:41:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe6d5af…
10-24 13:37:56	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x0fe30f…
10-24 13:37:39	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 2 Winner	OG	SELL	143	6¢	$9	0xb2d935…
10-24 13:00:56	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 2 Winner	OG	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x7b92f2…
10-24 12:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	89	98¢	$87	0x21016a…
10-24 12:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 24?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x8837cd…
10-23 23:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x5237d2…
10-23 22:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xfb1618…
10-23 22:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xf9d015…
10-23 22:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	74	81¢	$60	0xdcc034…
10-23 21:09:36	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A	Inner Circle	BUY	126	78¢	$98	0xbaaeab…
10-23 21:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	SELL	102	97¢	$99	0x456f7a…
10-23 19:46:20	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner	Inner Circle	BUY	157	25¢	$39	0xe645a5…
10-23 19:45:23	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A	HULIGANI	SELL	81	52¢	$42	0x8a81fa…
10-23 19:32:51	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A	HULIGANI	BUY	81	52¢	$42	0x4a6b9f…
10-23 19:04:09	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner	Inner Circle	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xf51df9…
10-23 18:57:57	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner	Inner Circle	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0x2a3816…
10-23 18:57:14	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner	Inner Circle	BUY	18	80¢	$15	0x2d5ac8…
10-23 17:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x0fbfec…
10-23 17:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xf1e8e5…
10-23 17:20:26	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner	Astra Invicta	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0xa4f133…
10-23 15:52:57	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner	Astra Invicta	BUY	132	48¢	$64	0x39c016…
10-23 15:51:09	Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Team Synapse	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x8ef4e4…
10-23 14:52:17	Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Team Synapse	BUY	64	28¢	$18	0x25e699…
10-23 14:44:51	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x450236…
10-23 14:25:21	Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)	GamerLegion	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0xe465ea…
10-23 13:00:57	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x2e8f7c…
10-23 11:37:48	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xf506fb…
10-23 11:36:03	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xfb0b7c…
10-23 11:35:05	Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)	GamerLegion	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x031dab…
10-23 09:55:02	Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner	OG	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xb84e1f…
10-23 09:54:29	Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner	OG	BUY	95	74¢	$70	0xb0e6fc…
10-23 09:54:06	Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	1win	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x9ad86b…
10-23 02:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x959908…
10-23 01:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x55bc52…
10-23 01:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xc092a4…
10-23 01:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on October 23?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7bab08…
10-22 21:00:54	Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	1win	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x9c4987…
10-22 20:16:03	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xa03f59…
10-22 20:13:18	Dota 2: TheBot$ vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	Zero Tenacity	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x1e7483…
10-22 19:54:03	Dota 2: TheBot$ vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	Zero Tenacity	BUY	114	87¢	$100	0x905e17…
10-22 19:51:06	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x544d9b…
10-22 19:27:59	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x14e51f…
10-22 19:11:54	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x9c2db1…
10-22 19:01:03	Dota 2: TheBot$ vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner	Zero Tenacity	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xff0a4a…
10-22 18:53:15	Dota 2: TheBot$ vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner	Zero Tenacity	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x14f997…
10-22 18:52:57	Dota 2: TheBot$ vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner	TheBot$	SELL	105	3¢	$3	0xf1a919…
10-22 18:50:35	Dota 2: TheBot$ vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner	TheBot$	SELL	145	5¢	$7	0xb389f4…
10-22 18:44:57	Dota 2: TheBot$ vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner	TheBot$	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x8f75c8…
10-22 18:36:30	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0xeb65ba…
10-22 18:35:50	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xd3e84f…
10-22 13:34:30	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	18¢	$5	0x5bc8f8…
10-22 10:29:29	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xb5c4dc…
10-22 10:29:29	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0x68ac9c…
10-22 08:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x70bb2f…
10-22 07:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x3181da…
10-22 07:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x6b30e9…
10-22 04:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x11cef6…
10-22 01:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x080bec…
10-21 23:45:08	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x37f527…
10-21 23:44:29	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x7b1188…
10-21 23:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xbdbf8f…
10-21 23:37:00	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x5286b6…
10-21 23:06:56	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	213	12¢	$25	0x1b105a…
10-21 20:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x218dc6…
10-21 19:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x201f4a…
10-21 19:46:08	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs TheBot$ - Game 2 Winner	TheBot$	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xf518c8…
10-21 19:43:32	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs TheBot$ - Game 2 Winner	TheBot$	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xbed8ea…
10-21 19:42:50	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs TheBot$ - Game 2 Winner	TheBot$	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xdd8ad9…
10-21 18:58:30	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs TheBot$ - Game 1 Winner	TheBot$	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x6c720a…
10-21 18:53:27	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs TheBot$ - Game 1 Winner	TheBot$	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x1dd5c6…
10-21 17:57:18	Dota 2: salamit vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0xd27432…
10-21 17:57:02	Game Handicap: HULIGANI (-1.5) vs salamit (+1.5)	HULIGANI	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x661392…
10-21 17:46:45	Game Handicap: HULIGANI (-1.5) vs salamit (+1.5)	HULIGANI	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xc86adc…
10-21 17:45:47	Game Handicap: HULIGANI (-1.5) vs salamit (+1.5)	HULIGANI	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x482bc5…
10-21 17:45:35	Game Handicap: HULIGANI (-1.5) vs salamit (+1.5)	HULIGANI	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xacff25…
10-21 17:40:56	Dota 2: salamit vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xbdcf2b…
10-21 17:39:29	Dota 2: salamit vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x02d280…
10-21 17:38:29	Game Handicap: HULIGANI (-1.5) vs salamit (+1.5)	HULIGANI	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x7c72ff…
10-21 17:38:18	Dota 2: salamit vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner	salamit	SELL	42	11¢	$5	0x189155…
10-21 17:35:27	Dota 2: salamit vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner	salamit	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x827e14…
10-21 17:11:38	Dota 2: salamit vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xe7ac4b…
10-21 17:05:14	Dota 2: salamit vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner	HULIGANI	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xf2210a…
10-21 16:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x7a6d24…
10-21 16:20:35	Dota 2: salamit vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0xee9a26…
10-21 16:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x26cc4f…
10-21 13:04:11	Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner	Zero Tenacity	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xc67181…
10-21 12:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xe3890c…
10-21 12:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xdc8cb4…
10-21 10:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xf59ab1…
10-21 09:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x10ee98…
10-21 09:13:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-21 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x3be0ed…
10-21 08:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x12318e…