Thin-Embarrassment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$80

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 08-03 01:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

56% 100% +$0

Other

21% — —

Sports

19% 100% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-22 01:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 23:37
Lakers vs. Rockets	3	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-02 03:47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-23 01:35
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	04-24 22:59
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-13 00:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	07-09 04:58
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	06-06 11:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	06-06 11:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-09 00:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-25 13:34
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-11 00:57
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-22 13:04
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 11:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 14:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 14:32
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$2	2	0	+2	Thunder	+$0	05-07 10:42
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-22 00:44
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-11 13:47
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	08-03 01:10
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-25 13:43
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-14 13:32
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	07-02 04:14
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-11 01:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$0	0	2	-2	open	—	06-25 00:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 01:10:36	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xaa6b34…
07-09 04:58:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xfc2e08…
07-02 04:14:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbdf95a…
06-26 13:59:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfb7f76…
06-25 00:44:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x65db3f…
06-22 13:04:49	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x88692b…
06-17 12:12:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1c7ede…
06-16 01:21:13	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xeac5d1…
06-14 13:32:31	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb45cca…
06-11 13:47:04	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x584a96…
06-11 01:04:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd4e670…
06-06 11:51:40	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xafe209…
06-06 11:51:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc54702…
05-25 13:43:26	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbed134…
05-25 13:34:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9a6111…
05-23 01:35:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc35886…
05-22 00:44:59	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x42a326…
05-16 11:42:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x183927…
05-16 01:31:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9175ac…
05-13 00:38:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa49519…
05-12 01:22:54	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe42739…
05-11 00:57:54	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x79165f…
05-09 01:00:27	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7e018d…
05-09 00:54:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x64873e…
05-07 10:42:41	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x390ac1…
05-05 11:49:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x799ed1…
05-02 03:47:10	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x48c184…
05-02 00:46:14	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9f80b9…
04-30 23:37:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5f81c9…
04-27 14:32:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd49f53…
04-27 14:32:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd69047…
04-27 11:55:38	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x2c31c5…
04-27 11:51:54	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaa0dbe…
04-26 12:40:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x370a46…
04-25 13:35:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd2aa57…
04-24 22:59:28	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	SELL	4	37¢	$2	0x1eeb1a…
04-24 04:08:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb8b287…
04-23 11:03:10	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa4fd09…
04-23 01:40:44	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9d9cc0…
04-22 01:17:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x4d48ca…
04-21 10:26:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xe90f37…