Lazy-Nibble — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

+$63

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,210

lifetime

Volume

$74.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

$45

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-29 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

62% 83% +$28

Crypto

34% 0% $-5

Politics

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No		+64	$-18	70¢	$45	+$64	06-24 06:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+11	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	06-07 11:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	9	$5.1K	2,778	2,778	+0	open	—	05-26 14:51
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	8	$3.7K	1,893	1,893	+0	open	—	03-31 17:06
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$3.1K	1,609	1,609	+0	open	—	03-25 08:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	10	$2.3K	1,280	1,274	+6	open	—	04-24 03:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	12	$2.0K	1,034	1,033	+0	open	—	04-30 02:58
Over $3M committed to the Fluent public sale?	1	$1.9K	1,932	0	+1,932	open	—	04-13 13:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?	4	$1.8K	1,440	412	+1,027	No	+$26	05-08 00:11
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	14	$1.6K	886	886	+0	open	—	03-31 16:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	1	$1.5K	1,540	0	+1,540	open	—	04-29 22:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 10	1	$1.5K	1,510	0	+1,510	open	—	04-08 00:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	11	$1.4K	804	800	+4	open	—	04-24 03:43
wti closes above 83 on june 15 2026	4	$1.3K	1,439	0	+1,439	open	—	06-15 15:07
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	5	$1.3K	667	667	+0	open	—	03-31 17:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 11 2026?	8	$1.3K	657	657	+0	open	—	05-15 09:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	4	$1.1K	1,166	8	+1,158	open	—	05-28 03:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	6	$1.1K	640	637	+3	open	—	04-24 03:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	8	$1.0K	594	594	+0	open	—	05-27 20:51
sol updown 15m 1770564600	3	$962	692	364	+328	open	—	02-08 15:43
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	7	$931	664	664	+0	open	—	02-03 04:09
btc updown 15m 1770618600	2	$854	433	433	+0	open	—	02-09 06:44
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	4	$850	525	525	+0	open	—	02-02 15:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 1 2026?	2	$800	841	0	+841	open	—	06-02 07:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	10	$786	463	450	+13	open	—	04-29 11:12
will wti reach 100 by june 8 2026	5	$773	540	540	+0	open	—	06-11 00:05
sol updown 15m 1770569100	2	$758	393	393	+0	open	—	02-08 16:59
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	6	$694	609	344	+264	open	—	06-24 06:08
btc updown 15m 1770610500	2	$684	371	370	+1	open	—	02-09 04:24
will wti dip to 85 by june 8 2026	17	$629	1,125	111	+1,014	open	—	06-12 08:02
will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	9	$602	471	471	+0	open	—	06-12 21:07
eth updown 15m 1770553800	2	$582	300	300	+0	open	—	02-08 12:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 16:59:05	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xdf72f6…
06-29 14:24:32	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x3539a5…
06-29 14:24:17	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x976fce…
06-28 21:55:23	will wti reach 70 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x6e8408…
06-28 15:53:44	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x788c40…
06-28 15:51:49	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x3606ee…
06-26 01:08:40	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x9e17da…
06-26 01:01:01	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	No	BUY	248	98¢	$243	0x72f7db…
06-26 00:42:01	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	No	BUY	138	98¢	$136	0x4793b2…
06-25 23:33:05	will wti reach 90 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x95d058…
06-25 17:57:17	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xf0ac14…
06-25 16:48:11	will wti reach 90 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x7b8da6…
06-25 13:03:50	will wti dip to 65 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7e7b41…
06-25 06:54:22	wti closes above 72 on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf44158…
06-25 01:44:32	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc36859…
06-25 00:01:43	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x04fb1a…
06-24 15:28:10	wti closes above 70 on june 24 2026	No	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x55a2d5…
06-24 15:28:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	271	83¢	$225	0xcea784…
06-24 15:27:52	wti closes above 70 on june 24 2026	Yes	SELL	108	46¢	$50	0xb5a650…
06-24 13:08:01	wti closes above 70 on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	108	65¢	$70	0x2e2994…
06-24 13:07:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	271	74¢	$200	0x65eb06…
06-24 13:01:32	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	SELL	110	92¢	$101	0x4a895e…
06-24 13:01:19	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	SELL	177	7¢	$12	0x7c97a7…
06-24 08:23:14	wti closes above 70 on june 24 2026	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x486e85…
06-24 08:21:58	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x57417b…
06-24 08:17:13	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	SELL	170	9¢	$16	0x877cd4…
06-24 08:16:59	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	39	58¢	$23	0xd6939b…
06-24 06:08:43	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0xb5413e…
06-23 23:53:59	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	147	14¢	$20	0xb3bb70…
06-23 17:24:55	bitcoin up or down june 23 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x840caa…
06-23 17:24:37	bitcoin up or down june 23 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xd30a09…
06-23 17:24:25	bitcoin up or down june 23 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x9c10d5…
06-23 16:59:44	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xb41f07…
06-23 15:08:14	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	No	SELL	127	93¢	$118	0x0b2383…
06-23 10:18:02	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	39	67¢	$26	0xab40f7…
06-23 07:24:38	wti up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x02067a…
06-23 06:27:52	wti up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc24704…
06-22 16:06:07	wti closes above 75 on june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	32	10¢	$3	0xfb0930…
06-22 15:55:19	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xad0bae…
06-22 15:54:17	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc2f552…
06-22 09:00:22	wti closes above 75 on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xe61698…
06-22 08:58:52	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x00d3e6…
06-22 08:56:07	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x1467f2…
06-22 07:56:50	will wti reach 90 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x90dd39…
06-22 07:14:08	will wti reach 90 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xb8867b…
06-22 05:24:14	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	344	84¢	$289	0x89c5fc…
06-21 14:10:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0x1ca703…
06-20 13:18:01	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	195	76¢	$148	0x0442a3…
06-20 03:30:59	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	33	76¢	$25	0x7d8dc3…
06-20 03:30:46	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x431d9f…
06-20 03:30:31	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xb4a610…
06-20 03:19:19	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	35	76¢	$27	0x80a074…
06-20 00:42:53	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	209	33¢	$69	0x71708f…
06-19 21:29:17	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	SELL	134	75¢	$100	0x394102…
06-19 17:00:46	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	158	57¢	$90	0x4c4a52…
06-19 16:38:23	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0x7ed1d2…
06-19 16:36:29	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	BUY	123	65¢	$80	0x2d2489…
06-19 16:34:41	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	42	56¢	$24	0xe34ca8…
06-19 16:21:20	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0xf9eb80…
06-19 16:17:01	will wti reach 90 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0xcb4a81…
06-19 16:00:23	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xf51d9e…
06-18 21:38:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x186f1a…
06-18 20:52:16	wti closes above 75 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x5a3139…
06-18 20:51:59	wti closes above 75 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0xe8b8e5…
06-18 20:50:29	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Up	SELL	153	98¢	$151	0x31ee21…
06-18 20:38:43	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xaf28e2…
06-18 20:31:47	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x67e0f5…
06-18 20:18:07	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x02acbb…
06-18 14:13:13	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe75a41…
06-18 08:16:16	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xf007f9…
06-18 08:15:59	wti closes above 75 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xa8ffe5…
06-18 07:39:38	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xb59682…
06-18 07:39:23	wti closes above 75 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x96a5c4…
06-18 07:29:17	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xee81f1…
06-18 07:29:01	wti closes above 75 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x01352f…
06-18 07:07:07	wti closes above 75 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	75	68¢	$51	0x76b00f…
06-18 07:06:28	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xf907c1…
06-18 06:37:11	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x6fe115…
06-18 06:36:53	wti closes above 75 on june 18 2026	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xde42bc…
06-18 04:53:01	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x821699…
06-17 16:50:43	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x2c2e2f…
06-17 15:03:11	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc10123…
06-17 09:06:56	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x7837cf…
06-17 05:34:43	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfb583f…
06-17 03:57:49	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x962928…
06-17 01:39:19	will wti dip to 75 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2ff601…
06-16 21:18:52	wti up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd772f0…
06-16 12:24:16	wti up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcb300a…
06-16 10:27:37	wti up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x9025e9…
06-16 10:27:09	wti closes above 80 on june 16 2026	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x9cd5eb…
06-16 07:57:16	wti up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc28b27…
06-16 07:55:15	wti closes above 77 on june 16 2026	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x950f15…
06-15 15:08:18	wti up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	412	2¢	$9	0xdec27e…
06-15 15:07:24	wti closes above 83 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0xaa13d2…
06-15 13:40:00	wti up or down on june 15 2026	Up	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xe03ec0…
06-15 13:38:57	wti up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	537	6¢	$30	0xb5c4b6…
06-15 13:38:04	wti closes above 83 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	446	90¢	$400	0x32a1de…
06-15 13:36:57	wti up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x7d8eb5…
06-15 13:34:51	wti closes above 83 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	562	89¢	$500	0x572eca…
06-15 13:24:13	wti up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x2d3f61…