Stiff-Frog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.41K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved

11,860

Trades

20,189

lifetime

Volume

$423.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 08-14 23:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% +$1,414

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	3	$177	198	+198	Down	+$21	05-28 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	4	$163	185	+185	Down	+$22	06-01 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	3	$161	183	+183	Up	+$21	05-30 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	4	$160	183	+183	Down	+$23	06-02 05:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$156	189	+189	Up	+$33	06-01 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	3	$155	198	+198	Down	+$43	05-28 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	4	$153	183	+183	Down	+$30	06-02 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$149	205	+205	Up	-$149	06-01 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$147	181	+181	Down	+$34	06-02 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$147	180	+180	Up	+$33	06-02 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$146	150	+150	Down	+$4	05-31 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$145	173	+173	Up	-$145	06-02 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	6	$144	150	+150	Up	+$6	05-27 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$143	173	+173	Down	+$29	05-29 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$143	157	+157	Down	+$14	05-28 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$143	186	+186	Down	+$35	06-02 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	4	$142	159	+159	Down	-$36	06-02 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	4	$142	199	+199	Down	+$57	06-02 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$142	185	+185	Down	-$10	06-02 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$141	157	+157	Up	+$15	05-28 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$140	158	+158	Down	-$75	06-02 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$140	155	+155	Down	+$8	06-03 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	4	$139	153	+153	Up	-$132	06-01 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$139	143	+143	Down	+$4	05-29 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$139	163	+163	Down	+$24	06-02 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$139	167	+167	Up	+$20	06-02 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$139	198	+198	Up	+$59	05-29 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$139	165	+165	Up	+$26	06-02 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$139	156	+156	Up	+$18	06-03 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	4	$138	161	+161	Down	-$78	06-03 03:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 23:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x51e62f…
08-14 19:23:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7994ca…
08-14 18:34:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8d599e…
08-14 16:13:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6a9d9a…
08-14 16:04:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x141d87…
08-14 14:59:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:55 UTC	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x903321…
08-14 14:57:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd4e993…
08-14 14:33:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xf3d2bb…
08-14 14:33:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x5d1725…
08-14 14:27:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x125abd…
08-14 14:24:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:20 UTC	Up	SELL	21	90¢	$19	0xd4f010…
08-14 14:23:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9dd0f9…
08-14 14:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0xd51c6a…
08-14 14:03:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xd6c905…
08-14 13:08:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x0920e8…
08-14 08:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x16c6da…
08-14 08:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x836a72…
08-14 08:24:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9a5674…
08-14 02:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbe0e5f…
08-14 01:22:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x294be9…
08-14 01:08:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf0db08…
08-14 01:08:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc310ac…
08-14 01:08:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4c9d73…
08-14 00:28:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5f351e…
08-14 00:03:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x9000eb…
08-14 00:03:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xebf7ab…
08-13 23:58:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x890fe6…
08-13 22:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xed9780…
08-13 20:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x19e000…
08-13 18:34:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcf970d…
08-13 17:35:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 17:30 UTC	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xa1275d…
08-13 17:33:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x5d7f84…
08-13 17:22:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xc671e6…
08-13 17:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x4f47e5…
08-13 16:59:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8375d3…
08-13 16:47:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x78b05a…
08-13 16:41:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x181ee7…
08-13 16:37:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x32729c…
08-13 16:28:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3a5f39…
08-13 16:23:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x78d782…
08-13 15:08:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x538d96…
08-13 15:03:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0xebbc72…
08-13 15:03:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x4395de…
08-13 14:38:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x84d0e1…
08-13 14:32:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x8d2b45…
08-13 14:28:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb26481…
08-13 14:09:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 14:05 UTC	Up	SELL	21	56¢	$12	0x2ca5dd…
08-13 14:08:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xaea0fa…
08-13 13:52:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xa6c17c…
08-13 12:34:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	21	52¢	$11	0xec6844…
08-13 12:32:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x8ad9ae…
08-13 10:03:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x35dc45…
08-13 05:19:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5761cd…
08-13 05:09:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdef64e…
08-13 01:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x609ef7…
08-13 00:19:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd448f7…
08-12 22:33:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5e6ac1…
08-12 22:33:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x77cb05…
08-12 22:33:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xab2522…
08-12 22:33:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4f35cb…
08-12 22:13:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xe65e5a…
08-12 22:13:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x267e31…
08-12 21:28:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x181de7…
08-12 20:04:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8bd3fa…
08-12 19:19:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfb7534…
08-12 18:18:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x412b1a…
08-12 17:23:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xefd29b…
08-12 16:18:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x9e149c…
08-12 16:18:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x040b4a…
08-12 16:08:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x981eb9…
08-12 15:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2c41a9…
08-12 15:23:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xb42c1e…
08-12 15:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xd4d855…
08-12 14:58:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5c92a7…
08-12 14:52:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x05cd28…
08-12 14:52:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x029bf2…
08-12 14:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	22	25¢	$6	0x6ea03c…
08-12 14:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	88¢	$20	0xd2f723…
08-12 14:11:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x9a7f8e…
08-12 13:52:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x902094…
08-12 13:52:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0e15b5…
08-12 13:52:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1bf0d6…
08-12 13:49:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x42468c…
08-12 13:49:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x615158…
08-12 13:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x81c470…
08-12 13:03:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x4dbe4f…
08-12 12:47:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x3457a0…
08-12 12:36:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc5fccc…
08-12 12:17:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xf89cd7…
08-12 10:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x10d94f…
08-12 10:34:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbbba2e…
08-12 10:03:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x92319a…
08-12 09:38:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3ba2c7…
08-12 09:32:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0b776a…
08-12 04:58:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x54404e…
08-12 04:24:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3f2d3e…
08-11 20:08:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xbc1dad…
08-11 20:02:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb57695…
08-11 19:18:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9b3fef…
08-11 19:09:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9bf240…