Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$293

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

87.1%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

$181

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-31 07:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

88% 68% +$181

Politics

10% 29% +$151

Crypto

1% 38% -$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes		+224	$188	81¢	$181	-$7	10-31 07:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$599	382	382	+0	Yes	+$164	03-16 05:17
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 340 359	3	$524	279	279	+0	No	+$34	01-22 10:49
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$521	296	296	+0	No	+$71	01-17 06:47
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 115 139	2	$475	250	250	+0	No	+$25	01-28 17:02
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 165 189	2	$435	235	235	+0	No	+$35	01-21 17:38
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 440 459	2	$419	224	224	+0	No	+$29	01-27 16:42
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	2	$412	225	225	+0	No	+$37	03-13 16:42
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$391	377	377	+0	open	—	10-27 21:04
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 65 89	2	$375	196	196	+0	No	+$15	01-26 06:57
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 300 319	2	$366	196	196	+0	No	+$26	01-29 17:27
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	2	$366	226	226	+0	Yes	+$86	03-09 15:52
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 0 39	2	$336	194	194	+0	No	+$52	02-08 16:47
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	2	$331	189	189	+0	No	+$44	03-12 22:16
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	2	$312	172	172	+0	No	+$32	03-17 12:28
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 380 399	1	$270	291	0	+291	No	+$21	01-22 11:14
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	3	$252	295	174	+121	No	-$134	03-21 07:51
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	2	$240	140	140	+0	No	+$40	03-09 06:41
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	2	$231	132	132	+0	No	+$31	03-20 05:20
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 340 359	2	$219	119	119	+0	No	+$19	02-06 11:24
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 500 519	2	$216	116	116	+0	No	+$16	01-23 16:48
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 115 139	2	$216	116	116	+0	No	+$16	02-04 16:56
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	2	$216	136	136	+0	No	+$56	02-10 14:33
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	1	$200	238	0	+238	Yes	-$200	01-29 17:37
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	1	$200	282	0	+282	Yes	-$200	03-18 05:01
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	1	$188	224	0	+224	open	—	10-31 07:35
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 140 164	2	$163	91	91	+0	No	+$18	01-31 16:51
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 115 139	1	$155	179	0	+179	Yes	-$155	02-08 16:53
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	1	$154	188	0	+188	No	+$34	10-30 11:51
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	2	$151	91	91	+0	Yes	+$31	02-02 06:57
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 215 239	1	$147	161	0	+161	No	+$14	01-17 06:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 07:35:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	84¢	$188	0x003b93…
10-30 11:51:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	188	82¢	$154	0xe4a985…
10-29 13:54:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0xea2fa0…
10-27 21:04:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	377	50¢	$187	0xb7489a…
10-27 07:03:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	377	54¢	$204	0xa07972…
03-21 07:51:49	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	Yes	BUY	121	66¢	$80	0xe5b900…
03-21 07:50:25	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	No	SELL	174	34¢	$59	0xcd3f4f…
03-20 05:31:09	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	No	BUY	174	65¢	$113	0x835b4e…
03-20 05:20:37	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	No	SELL	132	100¢	$131	0x2f8fed…
03-18 22:48:49	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x30cd71…
03-18 05:01:07	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	No	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0xab3d23…
03-17 13:40:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x0c85e8…
03-17 13:39:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3e0701…
03-17 13:36:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb7aad7…
03-17 12:40:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9c2df1…
03-17 12:35:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5f4881…
03-17 12:34:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2db358…
03-17 12:28:05	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x59a506…
03-16 19:25:47	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	BUY	172	81¢	$140	0xb476f8…
03-16 10:27:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8790be…
03-16 10:08:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x7b514a…
03-16 10:01:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	80	15¢	$12	0x3a832b…
03-16 09:52:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	57	26¢	$15	0xad495c…
03-16 09:17:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa80bae…
03-16 07:11:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 07:05 UTC	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xf3d342…
03-16 07:06:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	18	36¢	$7	0x1a0413…
03-16 06:52:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x25a643…
03-16 06:47:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x74658b…
03-16 05:17:13	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	382	100¢	$381	0x99cbca…
03-13 17:09:49	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	382	57¢	$217	0xc5db31…
03-13 17:09:21	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	119	6¢	$7	0xcaad94…
03-13 16:42:35	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	No	SELL	225	100¢	$224	0x8c1533…
03-12 22:56:27	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	No	BUY	225	83¢	$187	0x24175a…
03-12 22:16:39	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	No	SELL	189	99¢	$187	0x48668f…
03-12 10:31:55	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	No	BUY	189	76¢	$144	0x8f8be3…
03-12 10:21:25	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	Yes	SELL	84	63¢	$53	0xf1a2d5…
03-10 13:09:27	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	Yes	BUY	84	36¢	$30	0x47dd39…
03-09 15:52:23	elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	Yes	SELL	226	100¢	$226	0xad1669…
03-09 06:59:57	elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	Yes	BUY	226	62¢	$140	0x0eb161…
03-09 06:41:41	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x5c2159…
03-05 07:11:37	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	No	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0x8c549c…
03-03 13:49:17	elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 40 64	No	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x4967b3…
02-23 17:32:20	US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x869511…
02-23 01:50:54	US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	31¢	$29	0xc182dc…
02-19 20:29:02	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	150	14¢	$21	0x15d61a…
02-18 09:02:44	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 115 139	Yes	BUY	98	37¢	$36	0xc968c2…
02-17 09:23:49	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x67052d…
02-16 07:09:45	elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 40 64	Yes	BUY	23	32¢	$7	0x7ae872…
02-12 07:32:11	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 420 439	No	BUY	107	75¢	$80	0x8d1777…
02-11 08:07:17	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 140 164	No	BUY	90	61¢	$55	0xc29ad7…
02-10 14:33:59	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0xec71f4…
02-09 22:08:41	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	No	BUY	136	59¢	$80	0x32bfd3…
02-08 16:53:31	elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 115 139	No	BUY	179	87¢	$155	0x483d0e…
02-08 16:47:27	elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 0 39	No	SELL	194	100¢	$194	0x885806…
02-08 07:58:25	elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 0 39	No	BUY	194	73¢	$142	0xb98a18…
02-06 11:45:09	elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 90 114	No	BUY	142	88¢	$125	0x25eca3…
02-06 11:24:09	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 340 359	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x720908…
02-04 21:40:55	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 340 359	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x529c80…
02-04 16:56:07	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 115 139	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x7f5711…
02-03 17:35:38	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 115 139	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x42e231…
02-03 09:22:48	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	No	BUY	109	26¢	$28	0x846e31…
02-02 07:00:20	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 115 139	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xe09e1f…
02-02 06:57:08	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	Yes	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x470ed0…
01-31 20:04:12	us strikes iran by february 3 2026	Yes	BUY	86	11¢	$10	0xb27368…
01-31 20:03:36	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x3575dd…
01-31 16:51:38	elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 140 164	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x3e178e…
01-31 13:31:12	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x46315d…
01-30 17:15:48	elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 140 164	No	BUY	91	80¢	$73	0xf7f388…
01-29 17:37:32	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x2b75ac…
01-29 17:27:44	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 300 319	No	SELL	196	100¢	$196	0x12bbd9…
01-28 17:22:24	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	Yes	BUY	91	66¢	$60	0xaefe53…
01-28 17:13:10	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 300 319	No	BUY	196	87¢	$170	0x40b52c…
01-28 17:02:16	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 115 139	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0xb420f4…
01-27 16:47:41	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 90 114	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x8bf6e0…
01-27 16:47:35	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 165 189	Yes	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0xd0a844…
01-27 16:47:17	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 140 164	Yes	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0xf43f11…
01-27 16:43:31	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 115 139	No	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0x704099…
01-27 16:42:05	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 440 459	No	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0x7ed9b3…
01-26 07:02:40	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 440 459	No	BUY	224	87¢	$195	0xf2db59…
01-26 06:57:38	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 65 89	No	SELL	196	100¢	$195	0x410629…
01-24 17:06:18	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 65 89	No	BUY	196	92¢	$180	0xcfc78a…
01-24 17:01:44	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x818b80…
01-24 13:22:04	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xa7c78e…
01-23 17:33:56	elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 140 164	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x26e17f…
01-23 16:48:00	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 500 519	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x8f4be6…
01-23 06:55:40	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 500 519	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xd4788a…
01-22 11:14:14	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 380 399	No	BUY	291	93¢	$270	0x55dd1f…
01-22 10:49:00	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 340 359	No	SELL	279	100¢	$279	0x80bc0c…
01-22 07:12:02	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 340 359	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x320089…
01-22 04:59:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 22	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x92ac5f…
01-21 20:38:10	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 340 359	No	BUY	273	88¢	$240	0x98e356…
01-21 17:38:34	elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 165 189	No	SELL	235	100¢	$235	0xe10af4…
01-21 17:38:34	elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 90 114	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5cf5cc…
01-21 06:46:02	elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 90 114	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8a867c…
01-19 21:07:28	elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 165 189	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0xb9edaf…
01-19 17:59:48	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase january 20 26	No	BUY	811	4¢	$30	0xedfd49…
01-19 13:49:52	highest temperature in london on january 19 11c	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x158702…
01-19 05:14:52	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase january 13 19	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x29d226…
01-19 05:04:38	highest temperature in london on january 19 11c	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x47f067…
01-18 08:29:40	elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 165 189	No	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0x8924d4…