Thankful-Dash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$178

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

127

Trades

227

lifetime

Volume

$1.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-04 21:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 27% -$15

Other

7% 13% +$146

Politics

6% 38% +$0

Sports

5% 50% +$53

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+334	$2	0¢	$1	-$1	07-22 14:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	20	$380	216	190	+26	Up	$0	10-04 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	7	$122	63	63	+0	Up	+$2	05-28 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$109	108	108	+0	Down	+$105	05-22 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	6	$93	84	48	+36	Up	+$3	05-26 03:26
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$81	76	76	+0	No	+$71	05-16 22:57
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$67	62	62	+0	No	+$57	07-19 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	3	$61	59	32	+28	Up	+$1	05-19 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$61	62	31	+30	Up	+$1	05-19 08:35
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	1	$60	74	0	+74	No	+$14	06-11 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$50	50	50	+0	Down	+$48	05-27 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$44	45	24	+21	Down	+$4	05-28 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	5	$44	172	22	+150	Up	$0	05-28 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$41	161	20	+140	Down	-$1	05-28 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$25	52	0	+52	Down	-$25	05-19 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$25	30	0	+30	Up	-$25	05-19 08:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	6	$24	256	11	+246	Up	-$4	05-23 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 16:25 UTC	2	$24	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	04-08 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	4	$22	211	6	+205	Down	-$10	05-19 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 19:10 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	04-08 19:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 07:45 UTC	2	$20	11	10	+0	Down	+$0	04-09 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$20	47	0	+47	Down	+$3	05-29 14:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:30 UTC	2	$19	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	04-10 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$19	14	14	+0	Up	+$9	05-19 09:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 16:50 UTC	1	$16	0	16	-16	Down	$0	04-08 16:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 17:20 UTC	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	04-08 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	3	$12	17	6	+11	Up	+$0	05-19 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$11	88	0	+88	Up	-$11	05-28 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$11	93	0	+93	Up	-$11	05-28 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$11	124	0	+124	Up	-$11	05-28 16:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 21:07:22	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xfe1733…
10-04 21:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x631ac1…
10-04 14:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0x981f0e…
10-04 14:28:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4d01d2…
10-04 14:28:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8383e1…
10-04 14:28:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x16874f…
10-04 14:28:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb4abdc…
10-04 14:28:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x559cbe…
10-04 14:28:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0f85c2…
10-04 14:28:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x580fab…
10-04 14:28:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xda3e53…
10-04 14:28:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x76ecca…
10-04 14:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xaac553…
10-04 14:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0efabc…
10-04 14:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xfcb105…
10-04 14:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5d49fd…
10-04 14:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1e141b…
10-04 14:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe1dd62…
10-04 14:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2cbe59…
10-04 14:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x47d531…
10-04 14:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x688e25…
10-04 14:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xe2e7bc…
10-04 14:24:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2c7648…
10-04 13:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	310	0¢	$1	0x6f489d…
10-04 13:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xd2ed11…
10-04 13:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3b0c65…
09-05 23:01:46	Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	No	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xb21f02…
09-05 23:00:18	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 8?	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x819233…
09-05 22:56:10	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?	Yes	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0x7b1e8a…
08-09 14:25:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9a4294…
08-09 14:25:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xa99ba6…
07-26 14:45:19	Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x4e0a19…
07-23 11:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xc54a5c…
07-23 11:39:46	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xd66a51…
07-23 11:38:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xe7d308…
07-22 14:33:16	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x48b54d…
07-20 07:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x23ad61…
07-19 22:45:33	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	134	1¢	$1	0x17d300…
07-19 22:43:00	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xcfcd71…
07-19 22:12:36	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x4b5536…
07-19 16:18:06	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xdca686…
07-19 16:14:36	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x4ab168…
06-27 22:03:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x40c79b…
06-27 22:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x88cc11…
06-16 07:06:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x61f8cd…
06-11 12:47:00	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	74	81¢	$60	0x050aac…
06-06 22:18:48	Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x2a1ba7…
06-06 22:17:04	Will annual inflation be 4.0% in May?	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x5b5de8…
06-06 22:16:49	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in May?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x77ae64…
06-06 22:16:27	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in May?	Yes	BUY	215	0¢	$1	0xf69e03…
06-06 21:51:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x4cf80c…
05-31 09:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x97c218…
05-29 14:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x690112…
05-29 14:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x4bc422…
05-29 14:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb34c5b…
05-29 14:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xad283e…
05-28 23:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x063544…
05-28 21:21:46	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	SELL	16	28¢	$4	0xe7fcde…
05-28 21:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xc37b9b…
05-28 21:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4f96a4…
05-28 21:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xda9647…
05-28 21:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc3a9a4…
05-28 21:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x848fb0…
05-28 21:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xd23f18…
05-28 21:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x259990…
05-28 20:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7d03e1…
05-28 20:45:30	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xa7e221…
05-28 18:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x886ed2…
05-28 18:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc489e2…
05-28 17:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfaa761…
05-28 17:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x7ff951…
05-28 17:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x97a61a…
05-28 17:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x304ac3…
05-28 17:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xcd290b…
05-28 17:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5613e5…
05-28 17:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x8c1926…
05-28 17:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9121e1…
05-28 16:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5b64ae…
05-28 16:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x07b4a8…
05-28 16:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2aecf7…
05-28 16:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x88fff0…
05-28 16:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x83bbcb…
05-28 16:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x0c58f2…
05-28 16:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x831b3c…
05-28 13:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	63	99¢	$62	0x1e6076…
05-28 13:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xee2ac0…
05-28 13:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x069b6c…
05-28 13:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x5564cc…
05-28 13:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6c71cf…
05-28 13:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6ac83f…
05-28 13:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf92b66…
05-28 13:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3914a2…
05-28 13:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xf0dcf6…
05-28 13:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x52ec41…
05-28 13:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x019263…
05-28 13:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x026c04…
05-28 13:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd4024e…
05-28 13:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1daefe…
05-28 13:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x36a934…
05-28 13:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbbc847…