Somber-Park — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

289

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$3.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-01 04:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 225 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 90% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 04:51
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 04:51
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-30 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 29?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-29 10:34
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-28 01:23
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-27 11:49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 25?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-25 10:03
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-24 08:54
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:39
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:13
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 00:44
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-22 09:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 23:48
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:14
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 5c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:12
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 12:07
highest temperature in denver on april 19 2026 72 73f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 02:29
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:44
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 01:37
highest temperature in chengdu on april 18 2026 30c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:22
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:35
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 12c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:54
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:40
highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 28c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 01:39
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 23c	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-16 15:31
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$22	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:13
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 03:57
highest temperature in busan on april 15 2026 22c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-15 10:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 04:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe00fae…
10-31 09:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xa5bf7c…
10-30 09:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xb4327b…
10-29 17:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa704a2…
10-29 08:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e3faf…
10-28 05:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x063168…
10-27 08:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ce349…
10-26 08:58:59	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7ce8f…
10-24 09:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4db536…
10-22 10:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb7fe5…
10-20 04:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cf2c7…
10-19 08:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x593c2e…
10-18 08:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c9852…
10-17 08:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9d4c2…
10-16 08:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x444a98…
10-15 08:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d74c0…
10-14 08:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb14094…
10-13 08:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd661a7…
10-12 08:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33f64c…
10-11 07:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e256f…
10-08 08:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d11f0…
10-07 13:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce9777…
10-06 07:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fa635…
10-04 10:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3885fb…
10-03 05:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0acf00…
10-02 07:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86925d…
10-01 08:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17f57a…
09-30 12:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ae7b3…
09-29 09:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5001d…
09-28 09:13:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99b2c5…
09-27 08:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5cb1b1…
09-25 08:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7a592…
09-24 08:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42cb69…
09-23 05:22:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89ab58…
09-22 07:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44211e…
09-21 08:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d05eb…
09-20 05:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe699f2…
09-19 07:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x794d86…
09-18 01:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x632557…
09-17 03:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73db13…
09-16 07:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0e497…
09-15 08:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b8f06…
09-14 07:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0adbbe…
09-13 09:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74a4cb…
09-12 10:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc9004…
09-11 07:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x463caa…
09-10 02:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee1848…
09-09 01:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed9918…
09-08 01:50:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xceffd7…
09-07 08:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d9c28…
09-06 17:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28f5d4…
09-06 08:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84844a…
09-05 09:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb0bb0…
09-04 09:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f8bb3…
09-03 08:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc6e4e…
09-01 01:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c881c…
08-30 07:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb3da4…
08-29 06:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d29b9…
08-28 06:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1de349…
08-27 07:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4aa20e…
08-26 08:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37f564…
08-25 07:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc4713…
08-24 09:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x667f8d…
08-23 08:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc50d61…
08-22 07:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28f993…
08-21 03:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6040ae…
08-20 08:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x443aa9…
08-19 08:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3760e7…
08-18 04:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x034c5e…
08-17 07:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc90ed1…
08-16 10:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb67065…
08-15 08:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fef0b…
08-14 06:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x604c23…
08-13 07:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49f700…
08-12 07:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1dbfab…
08-11 00:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe81d15…
08-10 00:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2b067…
08-09 01:11:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28e1c1…
08-08 07:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2db12…
08-07 00:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad2739…
08-06 00:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3d04a…
08-05 07:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48e8f1…
08-04 07:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C or higher on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53c579…
08-03 01:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe879ff…
08-02 01:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87a705…
08-01 00:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x973777…
07-31 07:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f568b…
07-30 01:21:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c315c…
07-29 05:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8b1f8…
07-28 05:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8619fd…
07-27 07:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f43d2…
07-26 06:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22389e…
07-25 00:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd67aa2…
07-24 08:13:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf24020…
07-23 09:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x715055…
07-23 02:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc34b48…
07-22 01:40:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b93f2…
07-20 23:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd256a7…
07-20 02:14:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a18cd…
07-18 22:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89d90d…