Forceful-Orchid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$154

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

95.8%

Resolved

3,031

Trades

4,576

lifetime

Volume

$109.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$56

1 position

First seen

2026-04-30

last 09-23 03:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 96% -$46

Other

4% 76% +$212

Sports

3% 62% -$26

Politics

1% 71% +$12

Tech

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes		+78	$64	72¢	$56	-$7	09-23 03:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	13	$1.5K	818	818	+0	Spurs	+$1	05-16 04:13
Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks	5	$761	382	382	+0	Los Angeles Sparks	+$1	05-16 04:14
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	6	$720	361	361	+0	Pistons	+$0	05-16 02:08
HYPE Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	7	$575	576	0	+576	Up	+$1	05-17 03:51
Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducks	6	$479	244	244	+0	Beijing Ducks	+$9	05-17 13:55
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	8	$477	478	0	+478	Up	+$1	05-19 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	7	$470	235	235	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 07:44
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	6	$430	432	0	+432	Knicks	-$29	05-20 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	3	$404	204	204	+0	Up	+$4	05-19 13:44
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	4	$400	400	0	+400	Up	+$0	05-17 11:44
base fdv above 500m one day after launch	7	$379	266	266	+0	open	—	07-10 10:20
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	5	$340	341	0	+341	Down	+$1	05-19 07:44
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	7	$334	334	0	+334	Down	+$0	05-15 13:42
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	6	$330	325	5	+320	Up	+$0	05-17 03:29
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 12:30 UTC	7	$310	314	0	+314	Up	+$4	06-10 12:31
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 10:55 UTC	11	$305	307	0	+307	Up	+$2	06-10 10:59
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 8AM ET	3	$300	301	0	+301	Up	+$1	05-17 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	3	$300	300	0	+300	Down	+$0	05-17 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	3	$300	200	100	+100	Up	+$0	05-18 01:58
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	5	$292	787	787	+0	No	-$108	06-06 13:06
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	12	$285	288	0	+288	Down	+$3	06-06 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	5	$280	280	0	+280	Up	+$0	05-17 01:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	5	$265	265	0	+265	Up	+$0	05-17 09:13
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 12AM ET	5	$260	260	0	+260	Up	+$0	05-19 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET	3	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	05-18 12:45
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 2AM ET	3	$250	250	0	+250	Down	+$0	05-17 06:54
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	5	$245	245	0	+245	Up	+$0	05-14 12:41
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	4	$240	271	271	+0	Yes	+$0	06-03 23:07
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	3	$240	240	0	+240	Down	+$0	05-17 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	4	$240	240	0	+240	Up	+$0	05-19 23:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 03:03:50	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	28	84¢	$23	0x65938f…
09-23 03:02:29	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x388cc6…
08-07 01:45:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x819de9…
08-07 01:44:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x073e92…
08-07 01:44:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x18eb4a…
07-30 02:04:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3b160d…
07-30 02:04:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc097a7…
07-30 01:49:47	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a9524…
07-30 01:44:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xef3704…
07-10 10:20:41	base fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	266	69¢	$185	0xc78297…
07-08 05:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xf4fa49…
07-08 05:24:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa0a4e1…
07-08 05:19:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd7b78a…
07-08 05:14:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x890c6c…
07-08 05:09:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x169783…
07-08 04:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xf2f0ea…
07-08 04:14:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2f9989…
07-08 04:09:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xc30b0e…
07-08 03:59:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xaa6eb5…
07-08 03:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6e94b7…
07-08 03:39:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x77fdd5…
07-08 03:24:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xb3e9cd…
07-08 03:09:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xb9fc5c…
07-08 02:59:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x702ff9…
07-08 02:59:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x0b0f93…
07-08 02:49:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x0197e1…
07-08 02:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf85677…
07-08 02:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xb28e56…
07-08 01:59:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x916327…
07-08 01:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x31bc92…
07-08 01:34:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2a8140…
07-08 01:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xefe451…
07-08 01:00:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x066d33…
07-08 00:44:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x29d557…
07-08 00:34:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6ca306…
07-08 00:29:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xdd5dd9…
07-08 00:14:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x54bed0…
07-08 00:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x243b05…
07-07 01:34:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x230c5c…
07-07 01:14:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xd0bd1c…
07-07 01:09:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb97be2…
07-07 00:44:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf5ae02…
07-07 00:44:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x5c8d49…
07-07 00:34:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x33f5f0…
07-07 00:29:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xf07c7e…
07-07 00:29:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x7239c8…
07-07 00:15:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x4bc8f7…
07-07 00:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x2f463e…
07-07 00:09:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x30a44a…
07-06 23:58:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xfdb130…
07-06 03:59:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6c01da…
07-06 03:59:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3452a4…
07-06 03:49:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xcdb98a…
07-06 03:34:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf55039…
07-06 03:34:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbca030…
07-06 03:19:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xda47b3…
07-06 03:14:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xba1266…
07-06 03:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x2e8661…
07-06 03:04:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x5d229f…
07-06 02:59:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x93c1ae…
07-06 02:49:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7e655b…
07-06 02:32:32	base fdv above 500m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4be65b…
07-06 02:19:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5b5ea2…
07-06 02:19:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb99e3e…
07-06 02:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x96a953…
07-06 02:14:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x84e49f…
07-06 01:54:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6f56d7…
07-06 01:44:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1ea32d…
07-06 01:29:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7c4336…
07-06 01:19:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xfb852f…
07-06 01:14:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x66f23a…
07-06 01:08:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x95e897…
07-06 00:54:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbd3ff0…
07-06 00:44:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x044190…
07-06 00:19:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x50d5d8…
07-06 00:09:58	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xd5fbc7…
07-06 00:09:38	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0xcf996e…
07-06 00:09:35	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x57a3e7…
07-06 00:09:31	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x167384…
07-06 00:04:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x397793…
07-05 23:59:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x81b9d5…
07-05 23:49:56	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe9a4d4…
07-05 23:45:01	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9e2d32…
07-05 23:44:58	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x84691e…
07-05 23:44:55	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x564cd2…
07-05 03:09:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xddbdd3…
07-05 03:09:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x4a7e5e…
07-05 02:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x645b4c…
07-05 02:34:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x062cab…
07-05 02:29:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xac42c4…
07-05 00:59:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x909fce…
07-05 00:50:01	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xcc2984…
07-05 00:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xeaf901…
07-05 00:34:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4431f1…
07-04 22:44:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xdb6bb4…
07-04 22:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x186f1d…
07-04 22:24:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xda8784…
07-04 22:19:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x871b76…
07-04 22:19:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2c084b…
07-04 22:09:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xe470c0…