Fumbling-Objection — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved (30d)

259

Trades (30d)

517

1,820 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.65K

$5.72K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 10-29 04:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 166 days

Categories

Other

97% 60% -$112

Sports

3% 50% -$15

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Crypto

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$52	163	155	+8	No	+$6	07-19 20:54
Will Gornik Zabrze win on 2026-08-08?	2	$31	16	16	+0	Yes	+$1	08-08 14:48
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-10-24?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	10-25 01:43
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-08-29?	2	$25	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	08-29 13:31
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-08-29?	2	$25	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	08-30 03:32
Will Arosa SC win on 2026-10-27?	2	$25	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	10-27 22:19
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-09-03?	3	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	-$3	08-31 18:32
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-10-22?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	10-23 20:50
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-08?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	08-09 16:22
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$22	41	37	+5	No	+$2	07-12 03:49
Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-26?	4	$22	15	15	+0	Yes	+$6	07-26 17:08
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-10-23?	2	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	10-23 19:07
Will NK Istra 1961 win on 2026-08-15?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	08-15 19:00
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	09-08 21:00
Will Guinea-Bissau win on 2026-09-29?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	09-29 18:10
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	10-26 20:35
Will Al-Ittihad Club win on 2026-08-11?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	08-11 18:04
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-15?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	10-15 18:18
Will FK Buxoro win on 2026-08-18?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	08-18 17:08
CF América vs. Columbus Crew: Team to Advance	2	$21	11	11	+0	CF América	+$1	08-27 05:00
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-26?	1	$20	22	0	+22	No	-$20	10-26 18:23
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-08-13?	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$2	08-14 01:34
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	7	$20	27	27	+0	Yes	+$2	07-07 18:07
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-08-13?	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$2	08-13 18:19
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-11?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	09-11 20:31
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	06-12 03:55
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-29?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	08-30 02:04
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-08?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	08-08 16:30
Will Johor Darul Ta'zim win on 2026-10-13?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	10-13 12:00
Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-10-18?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	10-18 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 04:37:34	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x59f2f6…
10-29 03:55:56	Will CF América win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xfdcdc2…
10-29 03:32:49	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xe2e177…
10-29 03:28:08	Will CD La Equidad Seguros win on 2026-08-17?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7970c1…
10-29 02:46:14	Will CD La Equidad Seguros win on 2026-08-17?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x9bfc7a…
10-29 02:12:22	Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x5f28d0…
10-29 01:37:08	Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x51c3a0…
10-29 01:27:58	Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x5e3eec…
10-29 01:03:52	Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	9	27¢	$3	0x09dbf8…
10-29 01:03:04	Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xef7c24…
10-29 00:43:44	Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xdd7013…
10-29 00:21:23	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x4494c0…
10-29 00:21:07	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xae1c07…
10-29 00:19:28	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0x24f71f…
10-28 23:54:13	Will Once Caldas win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf36dfe…
10-28 23:24:23	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x276719…
10-28 22:45:04	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6d5906…
10-28 22:05:16	Will AS FAR win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc5f62a…
10-28 21:46:25	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xe0ee31…
10-28 21:26:19	Will AS FAR win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x2a02c1…
10-28 21:09:56	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x2c8825…
10-28 20:57:20	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xfb0ae8…
10-28 20:55:31	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x41e2a2…
10-28 20:49:35	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xaad648…
10-28 20:25:47	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x421711…
10-28 19:42:02	Will Pisa SC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x180517…
10-28 19:12:53	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xced5e4…
10-28 19:02:43	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x668117…
10-28 18:27:35	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xd7aeb6…
10-28 17:55:58	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x3453ed…
10-28 17:54:32	Will National Bank of Egypt Club vs. El Masry SC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x481a59…
10-28 15:49:16	Will National Bank of Egypt Club vs. El Masry SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x92c6ef…
10-28 02:51:33	Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-08-17?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xaafa27…
10-28 02:43:41	Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-08-17?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xef9384…
10-28 01:25:00	Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x771584…
10-28 00:56:17	Will Águilas Doradas Rionegro win on 2026-08-15?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1e105e…
10-28 00:45:15	Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x20a3d1…
10-27 23:56:39	Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb400e4…
10-27 23:44:02	Will Águilas Doradas Rionegro win on 2026-08-15?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x2fb82f…
10-27 23:42:12	Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0xa4285b…
10-27 22:19:11	Will Arosa SC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe9d210…
10-27 21:49:47	Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x76c1b2…
10-27 21:49:02	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xd804e7…
10-27 21:48:15	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x8f1b47…
10-27 21:39:20	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x1d5a69…
10-27 21:32:53	Will Arosa SC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xa2be97…
10-27 21:29:02	Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xbfd2ab…
10-27 21:27:06	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe7b36f…
10-27 20:43:59	Will CD Don Benito win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3edb33…
10-27 20:41:42	Will Al-Shamal win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6ccb3a…
10-27 19:32:47	Will Al-Shamal win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xc76872…
10-27 14:41:29	Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xae9897…
10-27 14:08:23	Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x19eb77…
10-27 13:59:48	Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x0b143d…
10-27 13:54:17	Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x82683c…
10-27 13:08:36	Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1545de…
10-27 02:37:33	Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xdf1a0c…
10-27 02:30:14	Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xedf955…
10-27 02:08:20	Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xaaaaf9…
10-27 01:02:41	Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xfee2f5…
10-27 00:29:12	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcc7a6f…
10-27 00:14:26	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x6e13b4…
10-27 00:10:21	Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x9883dd…
10-26 23:27:24	Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x78b0a0…
10-26 23:02:56	Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa5ea15…
10-26 20:35:09	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xdd0797…
10-26 19:37:20	Will FC København win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x503421…
10-26 19:25:14	Will FC København win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xc130c4…
10-26 19:21:50	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xdd6e5f…
10-26 18:26:50	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x55e26d…
10-26 18:23:51	Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xac2b54…
10-26 16:32:51	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xcc820c…
10-26 16:30:32	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xcd86de…
10-26 04:19:08	Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xcfe6fd…
10-26 03:06:35	Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x360354…
10-26 02:36:48	Will CF América win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb66fe0…
10-26 01:50:12	Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x66a3f6…
10-26 01:17:02	Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1c8454…
10-26 00:47:15	Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xce6722…
10-25 22:39:21	Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xdcbc1b…
10-25 21:56:56	Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x00a9b4…
10-25 21:52:38	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8b3bf4…
10-25 20:53:26	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x27f7bb…
10-25 18:01:45	Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xc43207…
10-25 16:37:17	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x387284…
10-25 16:00:09	Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7f9d69…
10-25 15:59:35	Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd24658…
10-25 14:14:21	Will KRC Genk win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x46fd89…
10-25 14:06:54	Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x549a17…
10-25 14:02:30	Will KRC Genk win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x312b37…
10-25 04:30:27	Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0xb98b48…
10-25 04:29:44	Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa791c5…
10-25 04:29:20	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x59f24d…
10-25 04:12:24	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7f9def…
10-25 03:44:47	Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xc66dfb…
10-25 03:22:36	Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xf584a1…
10-25 02:51:09	Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3812ef…
10-25 02:48:30	Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x5e3d20…
10-25 02:25:29	Will Once Caldas win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf1e4d7…
10-25 02:22:27	Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xb0a74c…